TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Signal Research Group, LLC
(Matthew Spangler)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

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BluStar Market Insights

Monday, August 9, 2021

The stock market looks like it is in its last few days of this mighty bull market run since March 23, 2020.  Ideally, we top mid-week this week. The precious metals could have a huge 5 trading day spike up into the 16th of August, which is a sign to me that we are going into a new bear phase that could easily last into October.

All the classic signs are there: RSI, MACD, Stochastics, OBV, and A/D line failures amongst many others.  The ideal 16.5 month top was due on July 7th but is running 5 weeks late. We are also in the final phase of Benner's Cycle, which last saw the 2000-2003 and 1987 bear markets and also 34 FIB years since 1987 and 89 FIB Year's since the 1932 low.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator had been negative for five weeks but went positive again a fortnight ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 7.6% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 16th of July has slowed to a neutral stance in the last fortnight. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now 30.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, August 7, 2021

We are on a short-term sell signal. Short term, my cycle forecast model has the next two weeks down. I look for this decline to be greater than the near 5% decline in mid-July.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Long decline into the end of November made up of two-week short-term drops followed by a week or so of corrective pause. Just slam pause, slam pause over and over until the end of the year.

New Active Traders Index (volume) failed to confirm the new market highs.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 8, 2021

The US stock market risk sunk to a low-risk rating of 17%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a low-risk level of 18%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a low-risk score of 17%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KMW Timing, LLC
(Skip Wilson)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."
 
(February 26, 2021)
Ramsland Technology changes developer name to Pattern Timing and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Pattern Timing TQQQ and QLD."
 
(February 20, 2021)
System Research LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "System Research Bond Signal."
 
(February 18, 2021)
Equity Defense adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Equity Defense Rocket Profit in Down Days."

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 6, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market finally broke above its trading range last Wednesday. The All-Ord’s index increased by 1.6% over the last week and is now up 5.3% since it last dipped on the 19th of May. 

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator went positive on the 27th of May after being negative for four weeks.

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one.

America's Market.

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator has been positive since the 27th of May after being negative for the previous five weeks.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The index is now 25% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, June 6, 2021

The current www.StockIndexTiming.com  service is short-term trading signals on the S&P 500. In the next few weeks, we may see the final up segment of the final up leg of the bull market. As we pass the market top at the end of June, down legs will be stronger than the previous down leg, and up legs will be weaker than the previous up leg.

 Indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: The next cycle forecast segment is up and begins mid-week and continues to June 28. The Cycle forecast is strong through the end of June, then heavy, suggesting a bear market through November 2022. 

New Active Traders Index at new highs suggests new highs are just ahead.

COT for S&P: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is BUY, but negative positions are gaining.

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Russell 2000: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Gold: Most recent signal is BUY

COT for Silver: Most recent signal is SELL

COT for Swiss: Most recent signal is BUY

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 6, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk rating of 19%. US tech stock risk closed unchanged at a low-risk level of 18%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a low-risk score of 14%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TSPFundTrading 

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(January 25, 2021)
StockIndexTiming.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "StockIndexTiming."
 
(January 6, 2021)
Leveraged Momentum changes the name of a strategy from "Leveraged FANG from Leveraged Momentum" to "FNGUTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(December 31, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds four new strategies to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity Plus, Equity Advantage Plus, ST Equity and Treasury Plus, and Equity and Treasury Advantage Plus."
 
(December 13, 2020)
Looking Glass Strategies ends the tracking of one strategy called "Looking Glass Strategies LLC 4QTiming ETF-2x."
 
(December 10, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity - STEQ."
 
(November 28, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull IT Stock Market Premium and LT Stock Market Premium."
 
(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
 
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."

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RISXX Inc.

Monday, January 25, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a high-risk reading of 88%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe increased to a high-risk score of 88%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 24, 2021

The Australian All-Ords share price index closed fractionally lower (-0.1%) for the week.

America's S&P 500 share index fell by a heftier 1.5% after posting record highs the week before.

Australian Market

The share index which broke the 7,000 level on Friday 8th January and after drifting sideways for two weeks has now risen above that level. Also, its MACD price momentum has finally gone positive These are both good signs that the market has broken out of its eight weed doldrums.

Since the 20th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 2.4% short of its previous peak on Thursday 20th February 2020.

American Market

America’s S&P500 share index shows its recent negative (MACD) momentum went positive again last Wednesday. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery.  Also, it was such a short flash crash that the index’s long term Coppock momentum indicator never went negative.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KT Number 

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(January 6, 2021)
Leveraged Momentum changes the name of a strategy from "Leveraged FANG from Leveraged Momentum" to "FNGUTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(December 31, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds four new strategies to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity Plus, Equity Advantage Plus, ST Equity and Treasury Plus, and Equity and Treasury Advantage Plus."
 
(December 13, 2020)
Looking Glass Strategies ends the tracking of one strategy called "Looking Glass Strategies LLC 4QTiming ETF-2x."
 
(December 10, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity - STEQ."
 
(November 28, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull IT Stock Market Premium and LT Stock Market Premium."
 
(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
 
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 17, 2021

The Australian All-Ords share price index closed fractionally lower (-0.1%) for the week.

America's S&P 500 share index fell by a heftier 1.5% after posting record highs the week before.

Australian Market

The share index which on Friday 8th January broke the 7,000 barriers, has now fallen below that level. Yet its MACD price momentum has become less negative since Christmas, though has still to go positive. Overall, the market has drifted sideways since December 9th

Since the 20th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 3.2% shy of its previous peak on Thursday 20th February 2020.

American Market

Unlike the Australian All Ords index, America’s S&P500 share index shows its recent positive (MACD) momentum went negative again on Friday as the market became more concerned about the possibility of ongoing economic lockdowns because of the vaccination rollout and take-up may take longer than originally anticipated.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery.  Also, it was such a short flash crash that the index’s long term Coppock momentum indicator never went negative.

 

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 17%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 21%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 15%.
The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe climbed to a low-risk level of 12%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

GoldSilverSystem.com

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(January 6, 2021)
Leveraged Momentum changes the name of a strategy from "Leveraged FANG from Leveraged Momentum" to "FNGUTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(December 31, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds four new strategies to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity Plus, Equity Advantage Plus, ST Equity and Treasury Plus, and Equity and Treasury Advantage Plus."
 
(December 13, 2020)
Looking Glass Strategies ends the tracking of one strategy called "Looking Glass Strategies LLC 4QTiming ETF-2x."
 
(December 10, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity - STEQ."
 
(November 28, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull IT Stock Market Premium and LT Stock Market Premium."
 
(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
 
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 13%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Australian Market

Since bottoming on the 2nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2nd of December. 

The share index on Friday broke the 7,000 ceiling it last touched on the 17th December and its MACD price momentum is on the cusp of going positive again.

Since the 20th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 3.2% shy of its previous peak on Thursday 20th February 2020. 

American Market

America’s Dow Jones share index shows negative (MACD) momentum since 8th December has gone positive in the last two trading days.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The Dow Jones share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 15th July (almost 6 weeks after the S&P 500 index did so) confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

The TSP Strategist

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(December 13, 2020)
Looking Glass Strategies ends the tracking of one strategy called "Looking Glass Strategies LLC 4QTiming ETF-2x."
 
(December 10, 2020)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ProfitScore ST Equity - STEQ."
 
(November 28, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull IT Stock Market Premium and LT Stock Market Premium."
 
(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
 
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."
 
(October 26, 2020)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of one strategy called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: US Dollar."
 
(October 21, 2020)
PING Strategies starts tracking with four strategies called "PING GenX Counter Trend S&P500, Hybrid Momentum Nasdaq 100, Hybrid Momentum S&P 500, and Relative Value."
 
(October 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "Charles Capital Leveraged Nasdaq."

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 20, 2020

Australian Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2nd of December.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20th of October, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over. 

American Market

The S&P500 share index has a rougher six months than the All-Ords share index. On the 20th of October, it plunged to a low that almost rivaled that of the 23rd of September.  Since then, it has remained strongly bullish on short-to-medium term analysis with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum are still strong. The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

 

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

WMB
(Richard Warner)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3

News Items:

(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
 
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."
 
(October 26, 2020)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of one strategy called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: US Dollar."
 
(October 21, 2020)
PING Strategies starts tracking with four strategies called "PING GenX Counter Trend S&P500, Hybrid Momentum Nasdaq 100, Hybrid Momentum S&P 500, and Relative Value."
 
(October 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "Charles Capital Leveraged Nasdaq."
 
(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
 
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".
 
 
 
 
 

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RISXX Inc.

Monday, November 23, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new medium risk reading of 45%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a low-risk indication of 25%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 22, 2020

American Market:

Notwithstanding America’s biggest political and health crisis in decades, its stock market is not panicking. Indeed, it reached a record high on the 16th of November, thanks to just one news story - THE VACCINE BREAKTHROUGH!

But the US S&P500 share index is now experiencing a pullback from its blow off since the end of October.

Australian Market:

In response to Wall Street, the Australian All Ords share index’s advance is beginning to wane. Yet Colin Twiggs, editor of The Patient Investor and owner of Incredible Charts, thinks that any market setback in Australia will be temporary.

Short-to-Medium Term:

Since bottoming on the 2nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one and its MACD momentum oscillator after being green (shifting north),  is now slowing down. If this continues the market may endure another pullback as it did in the second half of October over uncertainty in the runup to the US Presidential and Congressional elections.

Medium-to-Long- Term:

Since the 20th of October 20th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since the 2007-09 global financial crisis) is finally behind us by turning upwards.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 23, 2020

This week we can add the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine to Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech.

However, questions still remain: How much will the spikes in travel for Thanksgiving and Christmas contribute to spikes in infections and deaths? Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus?  Which sectors have been permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) but will buy UPRO again when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +22.42% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +36.26% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Triple Crown Timing

Broadcast Script

News 0.3

News Items:

(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."
 
(October 26, 2020)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of one strategy called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: US Dollar."
 
(October 21, 2020)
PING Strategies starts tracking with four strategies called "PING GenX Counter Trend S&P500, Hybrid Momentum Nasdaq 100, Hybrid Momentum S&P 500, and Relative Value."
 
(October 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "Charles Capital Leveraged Nasdaq."
 
(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
 
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".
 
 
 
 
 

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Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 8, 2020

The Australian share market on both short-to-medium and medium-to-long-term trend analysis remains bullish.

Last Tuesday the Reserve Bank of Australia stole the thunder from the Melbourne Cup by formally embracing “quantitative easing” (QE). It will buy $100 billion of 5 to 10-year government bonds to suppress their yields and immediately reduce the cash rate in the overnight interbank loan market from 0.25% to a record low 0.1%.

The Australian stock market loved this news since money creation and an almost zero cash rate are the catalysts that triggered asset price booms overseas. Anticipating these changes well in advance of their announcement, the All Ords index jumped 4.3% over the five trading days to Friday 6th November.

The short-to-medium term trend and momentum for America’s S&P500 index has shifted from gloom to hope in just one week.

Using medium-to-long term trend and momentum analysis the All Ords index remains bullish after briefly flirting with going bearish just over a week ago.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 9, 2020

The questions contributing to market uncertainty during the past few weeks have begun to be answered. Many believe a Biden presidency with a split Congress should result in little to no increase in taxes or regulations and in improved relationships with China and other countries. Pfizer/BioNTech's projection of 1.3 billion doses of their vaccine being distributed in 2021 provides some idea of when the pandemic might be under control. Questions still remain: Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus? How severe will the pandemic spike be this winter? Which sectors will recover and which are permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO last week when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +21.43% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +31.26% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 38%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Q5 Research

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(October 21, 2020)
PING Strategies starts tracking with four strategies called "PING GenX Counter Trend S&P500, Hybrid Momentum Nasdaq 100, Hybrid Momentum S&P 500, and Relative Value."
 
(October 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "Charles Capital Leveraged Nasdaq."
 
(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
 
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".
 
(September 16, 2020)
KMW Timing, LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "KMW Timing TQQQ/SQQQ."
 
(September 1, 2020)
Michael Hartmann adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Michael Hartmann Maximum Return."
 
(August 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream DIVERSIFIED."
 
(August 28, 2020)
Michael Hartmann starts tracking with four strategies called "Michael Hartmann Rapid Response-Equity, Rapid Response-Bonds, Daily ETF, and Timed Sectors."
 
(August 27, 2020)
Pickens Asset Management adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Pickens Asset Management Hybrid."
 
 

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Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, October 25, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a new medium risk reading of 43%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe increased to a low-risk indication of 25%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Thursday, October 29, 2020

On the 28th of October 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. Basic:
The QMP-signal distributes its allocations between:
- Cash/MoneyMarketFund (neutral positioning)
- TLT (short positioning)
- SPY (long positioning)

2. Long/Short/Cash:
The actual signal favors "Cash (MMF)" over "TLT" and "TLT" over "SPY". Both "TLT" and "SPY" had been reduced.
(The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

3. Leverage:
As we expected in our last timertrac-broadcast, Volatility continued to rise. Thus, leverage is kept at 1.0 (Meaning: no leverage).

4. Single Stocks:
From the QMP-analyses of single stocks, it shows that:
some that have been too low priced are: CB
and some that have been too high priced are DIN, MSFT, FEYE, HESS, AKAM, WYND, ANTM, BSX, EAT

5. Specials:
- As we are now in earnings season, expect the next QMP-signal to develop fast (approx. 2 weeks).

- The new subscription fee for the signal is now 20$ per month or 200$ per year for individual investors.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 25, 2020

The All Ords share index’s 30-day trend line surpassed its 300-day trendline suggesting it’s “all over rover” for the bear market.  When the Coppock momentum indicator turns up it should confirm that the crash of February/March is behind us and the market’s bull rally since March 23rd is supported not only by trend analysis but also momentum analysis.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All Ords index remains bullish, but its momentum is slowing. Its 10-day trendline sits comfortably above its 30-day one, but it MACD oscillator while still positive is quickly losing momentum.

Since Wall Street’s NYSE has such a big influence on Bligh Street’s ASX, it’s worth noting that America’s S&P500 index while still bullish is less so than Australia’s All Ords index. Indeed, its MACD momentum oscillator went negative two trading days ago.  The reason for this is that the US market is in animated suspension while awaiting the outcome of the Presidential and Congressional elections on November 3rd which will decide the course America takes over the next four years.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KT Number

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
 
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".
 
(September 16, 2020)
KMW Timing, LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "KMW Timing TQQQ/SQQQ."
 
(September 1, 2020)
Michael Hartmann adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Michael Hartmann Maximum Return."
 
(August 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream DIVERSIFIED."
 
(August 28, 2020)
Michael Hartmann starts tracking with four strategies called "Michael Hartmann Rapid Response-Equity, Rapid Response-Bonds, Daily ETF, and Timed Sectors."
 
(August 27, 2020)
Pickens Asset Management adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Pickens Asset Management Hybrid."
 
(August 27, 2020)
Four Seasons Capital Growth ends tracking of one strategy called "Four Seasons 4CSNS2.0."
 
(August 21, 2020)
1german changes developer name to Quantified Market Psychology (QMP).
 
(August 15, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, October 12, 2020

Gold Risk Update 

Our global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a new low-risk score of 19%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 11, 2020

Australian Market:

Last week the Australian All Ord’s share price index went bullish again on a short-to-medium-term basis. Its red 10-day trend line shot above its green 30-day trend line and its MACD price momentum indicator went strongly positive for the first time in four months.

However, the medium-to-long-term position of the market is still bearish since its green 30-day trend line has not yet overtaken its blue 300-day trendline. Also, its light green Coppock momentum oscillator has not bottomed yet.

American Market: 

Finally, the future of the Australian share market will be largely influenced by what happens to the US share market which accounts for 55% of global stock market capitalization.  On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, America’s S&P500 share index went bullish last week because talks resumed between Democrats and Republicans on a stimulus package deal before the November 3rd elections.

As mentioned previously America’s S&P500 share price index has been on a roll since it bounced off its low on March 23rd. Its Coppock momentum indicator confirmed its medium-to-long-term bear market was over by turning up at the start of July. Indeed, the Coppock never went into negative territory as it did in Australia and many other stock markets.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.