TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Reppond Investments, Inc.

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 26, 2020

Here's the short-to-medium term position of the stock market.

The Australian All Ords index’s red 10-day trendline fell below its blue 30-day trendline on the 26^th of February (confirming the market slump) and then reversed position on the 27^th April (confirming the market rally). The market’s MACD momentum oscillator is still positive, but slowing in the last few days.

Trend-tracking gets no better than this since it’s involved no whipsaws, just a sharp drop down and a steady rise up. The All Ords index is now back to the level it was at in December 2019 and only 5% off its all-time peak on the 19^th February.

Here’s how the medium-to-long term position looks.

The market is still bearish, but the All Ords index’s red-30 day trend line is edging closer to its 300-day trendline. The Coppock momentum indicator is in negative territory and still falling. Until it reverses the bear market can’t be declared over.

By contrast, the US share market crash is over. Not only has the S&P 500 index’s red 30-day trend line surpassed its blue 300-day trendline, but its green Coppock momentum oscillator has stayed in positive territory and has now turned up. The crash like that of October 1987 was a flash crash, but unlike then the market has quickly snapped back, the fastest rebound since 1938. Driving the US share market is the technology sector, especially the mega-cap stocks of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, and Alphabet (Google) which are outpacing the S&P 500.

RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 27, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a new medium risk level of 40%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a new medium risk reading of 42%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) increased to a medium risk reading of 49%.
The regional stock risk score for the US, Canada, and Western Europe rose to a new medium reading of 45%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe). 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

PhD Smart Investing

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 20, 2020

The global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 20, 2020

Investors continue to push the market higher in spite of the spike in coronavirus cases. Wishes and hopes seem to be offsetting concerns over the coronavirus spike in many states and a reduction in the flow of stimulus. The question remains: How high does the spike need to be before the consequences and necessary countermeasures destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy is in UPRO with an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +17.38% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.11% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +14.76% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -14.74% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Monday, July 20, 2020

S&P 500 earnings had a sharp drop in the March quarter. Falls were worst in Energy with Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Communications also hard hit. But for the next three-quarters profits are projected to snap back with the December quarter down only 8% in the same quarter last year. By the second half of next year, earnings are expected to be at an all-time high.

The NASDAQ 100 index compared with the S&P 500 index has reached a level of exuberance exceeding that of 2000.  If the NASDAQ leads the next market downturn, the saving grace for Australia is that less than 4% of its market capitalization comprises tech stocks compared with 27% in America.

Here is where the Australian market was at the close of trading last Friday.

On a short to medium trends perspective, the market still looks bullish.  Its momentum remains negative but less so.  On medium to long term trend analysis, the All Ords index is still bearish.  Its momentum is still negative and falling.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Lussenheide Investment Warrior Report

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Last week the local stock market was weighed down by an increasing standoff between Australia and China (this time over granting immigration visas to Hong Kong residents) and a worrying second wave of COVID-19 infections in Victoria (which has resulted in a new lockdown of Melbourne residents).

The OECD’s composite leading economic indicator for the world shows a sharp rebound in June from its plunge in March and May. 

The short-to-medium term position of the Australian All Ords index remains bullish. Its MACD momentum oscillator has gone slightly negative.

The medium to long term position of the All Ords continues to be bearish. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still negative and falling.

The All Ords index is in the lower band of its long term trend chart. By comparison, the US S&P 500 index is in its upper band on a comparable basis.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Palm Island Investments

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) decreased to a low-risk reading of 14%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed higher at a low-risk indication of 13%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The financial year 2019/20 posted the worst market return since 2012. The All Ords share price index between Friday 28^th June 2019 and Tuesday 30^th June 2020 fell from almost 6,700 to 6,000; a drop of 10.4%. The flash crash from its high of 7,155 on the 20^th February to its low of 4,464 on the 23^rd March wiped 36.2% off its value. The All Ords index as of last Friday had recovered 62% of the ground it lost in the crash.

The recent market crash and rebound demonstrated the greatest market volatility in the 50-year history of the All Ords index.

On a short to medium-term perspective, the All Ords came close to going bearish at the start of last week, but then picked up momentum to reconfirm the rally it’s enjoyed for the last 15 weeks.

On a medium to long-term horizon, the All Ords is still in a bear market. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still heading south and in negative territory. As for July, it’s typically the best month of the year for share markets.

Markets remain overvalued notwithstanding most still being well below their highs of February 20^th, 2020. But the clarion call of brokers is “there is no alternative” since Australian shares still deliver average dividends of 4.2% (with a forward estimate of 3.2%) whereas bank term deposits and government bonds yield at best only 1.0%.  That’s what’s driving retail investors into shares.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 6, 2020

Investors continue to focus on glimpses of hope rather than the spike in coronavirus cases. The positive increase in U.S. service sector numbers, the extension of the PPP deadline, probability of another round of stimulus payments, and an uptick in China's stock market seem to be offsetting concerns over the coronavirus spike in many states and a reduction in the flow of stimulus from the Fed. The question remains: How high does the spike need to be before the consequences and necessary countermeasures destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +17.96% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -3.42% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +8.33% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.75% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Crawford Perspectives

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Notwithstanding the All Ords index drifting sideways (with negative momentum) for the last three weeks it is still in the bullish territory on its short to medium term direction. Its medium to long direction has been bearish since the 13^th March. Nevertheless, its Coppock momentum oscillator moved into negative territory on the 5^th June and until it reverses direction we can’t be sure the bear market is over. 

In terms of global markets and domestic asset-classes here is the position at the end of this month.

Globally, gold is still king having recouped some of the ground it lost between the 18^th May and the 9^th of June. America’s S&P 500 index still has positive momentum over the 9 months’ time frame I use. Other Developed Country Markets and Emerging Markets are still in the doldrums. Domestically, Gold also remains in front while the other sectors (Resources, Property, and Finance) continue to show negative momentum over the last 9-months. 

The explanation for Gold’s resurgence is varied. Some say it’s because the upsurge in money printing spells higher inflation in the future. Others say because US interest rates could go negative the US dollar is falling which is making gold more attractive as a hedge.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, June 29, 2020

Investors are struggling to ignore the spike in Covid-19 cases. The Fed's stimulus dollars continue to flow but at a reduced rate. If infections continue to spike then renewed countermeasures may become necessary which would probably destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently when it fell to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +16.52% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -5.81% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +1.51% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.89% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a high-risk level of 71%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a high-risk reading of 62%.

Our global stock market risk score (GSMR) remained at a high-risk level. The GSMR closed higher at 63%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather
high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Chester Timing

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, June 22, 2020

Investors seem to be trying to ignore the negative and focus on the potential positive in hopes that future earnings will be strong due to businesses reopening, the unemployed getting back to work, and a vaccine being developed that will allow both of those to continue. The rebound in the Fed's stimulus dollars flowing into the market is probably also contributing to optimism and confidence. If infections continue to spike then renewed quarantine measures may become necessary which would probably destroy that optimism, impair future earnings, and trigger another correction.

Our LevBands strategy is in UPRO with an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +16.60% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +1.33% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +5.48% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -24.77% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 21, 2020

The US market is highly overvalued, but most other share markets are not. Wall Street sets the tone for global markets so if it falls again other markets will too. However, no one knows what the future holds so one can only gauge the market’s trend and momentum.

Recently the S&P 500 price index has swung sideways as it did between mid-April and mid-May, but so far it remains bullish on both short and medium-term perspectives. The Australian market also remains bullish on a short-term basis, but medium-term it is still bearish though the gap between its 30-day trend line and its 300 days one is narrowing.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Volatimer

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 14, 2020

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished higher at 73% (last week: 69%).

The comprehensive and broad global US Dollar risk score is tracking a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates (e.g., EUR/USD).

Quick info:

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Leveraged Momentum

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Investors seem to be less certain that future earnings will be strong due to businesses reopening, the unemployed getting back to work, and a vaccine being developed that will allow both of those to continue. The reduction in the Fed's stimulus dollars flowing into the market is also contributing to uncertainty and volatility. If infections spike again then renewed quarantine measures may become necessary which would impair future earnings and trigger another correction.

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it dropped below its lower band and then rose back up to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +16.69% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -5.17% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -0.07% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -15.96% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 14, 2020

Since the market last dipped in April the bulls have been in charge. But last week the bears fought back. America’s S&P500 index dropped by 7.1 % between Monday and Thursday though clawed back 1.3% on Friday. The All Ords index fell in sympathy by 4.9% over Thursday and Friday. 

On a long-term analysis, the US market is sending mixed signals. The S&P 500 share index’s red 6-week trend line overtook its 60-week trend line in the week ending June 5^th suggesting it has gone bullish, but its Coppock momentum oscillator is still falling suggesting the bear market is still not over.  In Australia’s case, the bear market is still intact on both long -term trend and momentum analysis.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

TSP Trader

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Tuesday, June 9, 2020

Investors continue to gamble that a vaccine will be developed quickly and that future earnings will be strong due to businesses reopening and the unemployed getting back to work. The Fed's stimulus dollars also seem to be pouring into the market. If infections spike again then renewed quarantine measures will probably become necessary which will impair future earnings and trigger another correction.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its trailing stop price (CYA) and is in cash. When UPRO drops below its lower band then an order will be scheduled the next day to buy UPRO when it rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +14.30% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -9.04% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.98% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -13.41% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 7, 2020

The stock market’s ebullience continues to intensify. America’s better than expected jobs outcome for May (the strongest monthly rise since the 1930s) has reinvigorated the bulls.

America’s S&P500 share index is now just 5% short of its all-time high in February.  Believe it or not, the USA has had a V-shaped recovery in the midst of its worst economic slump since the great depression.  No U, W, or L-shape, just a clean V-shape.

The Australian All-Ords index has also been recovering, but compared with America has been dragging its feet. Yet Australia’s resilience to the pandemic and its economic fallout has been better than any other country in the world.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 7, 2020

Global and Regional Bond Markets

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) increased to a medium risk reading of 55%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed higher at a medium risk indication of 58%.

Quick info: Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Triple Crown Timing

Friday, June 5, 2020

Our system recommended going short the stock market on February 21, 2020, during a pandemic for a fantastic gain.  We offer an algorithm that is realistic to use. We trade a realistic 15 to 30 times per year. 

Our signals are posted both on the website and to your personal email when you are a paid member. Our signals are posted no later than 3:40 EST and it is recommended you execute your trade at the market close the same day it is issued and are verified by Timertrac.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

TrendWerk TAAM

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 31, 2020

The Australian All Ords share index has consolidated its bullish stance on a short –term basis. Its red 2-week price trend is now clearly above its blue 6-week price trend and its price momentum remains positive. Gold continues to outpace both local industry share sectors and global regional share sectors over a nine-month time frame. 

The market is bifurcated. The bulls are piling into shares and the bears into gold. It’s rare for both markets to move in tandem, yet they have done so throughout this pandemic. Since March 23rd, the bulls have believed that the pandemic is a short sharp shock from which the economy, companies, and earnings will quickly recover. Bulls see this bear market as being V-shape or at worst U-shaped. Hence their eagerness to buy shares at discounted prices.

By contrast, the bears have dumped shares for cash or bought gold which has jumped in price since March 19th.  They are skeptical that an effective drug will be discovered, trialed, and distributed for at least 18 months or longer. Hence the share index will resemble a WWW-shape. Or possibly an L-shape if a vaccine is not found or herd immunity proves a fallacy.

Leveraged Momentum

Tuesday, June 2, 2020

Investors continue to gamble that a vaccine will be developed quickly and that future earnings will be strong due to businesses reopening and the unemployed getting back to work without spiking infections which would require renewed quarantine measures and impair future earnings.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its trailing stop price (CYA) and is in cash. When UPRO drops below its lower band then an order will be scheduled the next day to buy UPRO when it rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +14.33% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -12.93% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -8.37% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -11.78% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

TimingPundit

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 24, 2020

On a short-term basis, the Australian All Ord’s share price index has gone bullish with its red 10-day trendline now surpassing its blue 30-day trendline. Note that the stock market’s momentum oscillator has been positive since March 30^th.  However, on a longer-term basis, the stock market is still bearish with the All Ord’s red 30-day trend line still well below its blue 300-day trendline and its green Coppock momentum oscillator still heading south.  Note that short-term trend-tracking works best when a bear market is V or U- shaped since it responds faster to changes in market direction whereas longer-term trend-following applies best to W or L shaped bear markets.  How this market will pan out is anyone’s guess. But for the moment it is bullish short term, yet still bearish long term.

 Government pump-priming and central bank money printing are on an unprecedented scale to stop another 1930’s style of great depression following the coronavirus social and business lockdown. Most of the increased liquidity is flowing into the stock market fuelling a recovery in stock prices and indices.

Furthermore, in every state or province that has been afflicted by the pandemic, the worst seems to be over after two months. This suggests that the pandemic burns itself out allowing an economy to restore full capacity within about six months. China, the origin of the pandemic, returned to work on April 8^th and only small localized outbreaks of the virus have occurred since then. These outbreaks have been quashed by imposing martial law in affected towns or neighborhoods thereby protecting the rest of society and the economy from the second wave of infections.

Australia’s economy is better placed to snap back than any other major economy so its All Ord’s index should catch up to and overtake the S&P500 index in the near future. China is boycotting Australian secondary exports (beef and barley) but is unlikely to move against our iron ore, coal, and gas exports since it’s too dependent on them. And as China steps up its infrastructure spending to counter its falling exports, Australian mining will be the chief beneficiary.

The harsh truth is that the world has undergone a flash depression (fall in GDP of at least 10% in just one quarter) that temporarily closed most industry sectors and has put others on hold indefinitely. This has eroded the working capital of many enterprises and caused many to default. Many SMEs have closed their doors and won’t reopen.

The collapse in international trade, migration, tourism, and investment (the main drivers of post-war growth) will take two to three years to recover. The worsening cold war between the USA and China will disrupt supply chains and the free movement of capital that will put a brake on growth.

Finally, democratic countries can’t impose martial law like China so they will experience further waves of the pandemic as social discipline breaks down. Reimposing lockdowns will extend and deepen this depression. Stock markets are denying economic reality, but eventually will be mugged by reality.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.