TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

WMB
(Richard Warner)

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, November 23, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new medium risk reading of 45%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a low-risk indication of 25%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 22, 2020

American Market:

Notwithstanding America’s biggest political and health crisis in decades, its stock market is not panicking. Indeed, it reached a record high on the 16^th of November, thanks to just one news story - THE VACCINE BREAKTHROUGH!

But the US S&P500 share index is now experiencing a pullback from its blow off since the end of October.

Australian Market:

In response to Wall Street, the Australian All Ords share index’s advance is beginning to wane. Yet Colin Twiggs, editor of The Patient Investor and owner of Incredible Charts, thinks that any market setback in Australia will be temporary.

Short-to-Medium Term:

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one and its MACD momentum oscillator after being green (shifting north),  is now slowing down. If this continues the market may endure another pullback as it did in the second half of October over uncertainty in the runup to the US Presidential and Congressional elections.

Medium-to-Long- Term:

Since the 20^th of October 20^th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since the 2007-09 global financial crisis) is finally behind us by turning upwards.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 23, 2020

This week we can add the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine to Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech.

However, questions still remain: How much will the spikes in travel for Thanksgiving and Christmas contribute to spikes in infections and deaths? Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus?  Which sectors have been permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) but will buy UPRO again when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +22.42% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +36.26% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Sojourn Financial Strategies, LLC

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 16, 2020

The questions contributing to market uncertainty during the past few weeks continue to be answered. The Biden presidency has been acknowledged. Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech have announced good vaccine test results. However, questions still remain: Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus? How severe will the pandemic spike be this winter? Which sectors have been permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash last week when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) but will buy UPRO again when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low).  (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.38% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +19.82% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, November 15, 2020

The US stock market risk sunk to a new low-risk level of 17%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a low-risk reading of 19%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) decreased to a new low-risk reading of 24%.

The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe (NAWE) sunk to a new low-risk level of 16%.

Quick info:

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 15, 2020

Short-to-Medium Term Market Analysis:

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one and its MACD momentum oscillator has been green (shifting north), though now is slowing down. If this continues the market may endure another pullback as it did in the second half of October over uncertainty in the runup to the US Presidential and Congressional elections, the show stopper of the year.

Medium-to-Long- Term Market Analysis:

Since October 20^th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The good news last week is that its Coppock momentum indicator finally confirmed the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since the 2007-09 global financial crisis) is finally behind us. It did so by turning north even though its momentum is still negative.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Triple Crown Timing

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 8, 2020

The Australian share market on both short-to-medium and medium-to-long-term trend analysis remains bullish.

Last Tuesday the Reserve Bank of Australia stole the thunder from the Melbourne Cup by formally embracing “quantitative easing” (QE). It will buy $100 billion of 5 to 10-year government bonds to suppress their yields and immediately reduce the cash rate in the overnight interbank loan market from 0.25% to a record low 0.1%.

The Australian stock market loved this news since money creation and an almost zero cash rate are the catalysts that triggered asset price booms overseas. Anticipating these changes well in advance of their announcement, the All Ords index jumped 4.3% over the five trading days to Friday 6^th November.

The short-to-medium term trend and momentum for America’s S&P500 index has shifted from gloom to hope in just one week.

Using medium-to-long term trend and momentum analysis the All Ords index remains bullish after briefly flirting with going bearish just over a week ago.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 9, 2020

The questions contributing to market uncertainty during the past few weeks have begun to be answered. Many believe a Biden presidency with a split Congress should result in little to no increase in taxes or regulations and in improved relationships with China and other countries. Pfizer/BioNTech's projection of 1.3 billion doses of their vaccine being distributed in 2021 provides some idea of when the pandemic might be under control. Questions still remain: Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus? How severe will the pandemic spike be this winter? Which sectors will recover and which are permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO last week when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +21.43% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +31.26% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 38%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Q5 Research

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, October 25, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a new medium risk reading of 43%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe increased to a low-risk indication of 25%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Thursday, October 29, 2020

On the 28th of October 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. Basic:
The QMP-signal distributes its allocations between:
- Cash/MoneyMarketFund (neutral positioning)
- TLT (short positioning)
- SPY (long positioning)

2. Long/Short/Cash:
The actual signal favors "Cash (MMF)" over "TLT" and "TLT" over "SPY". Both "TLT" and "SPY" had been reduced.
(The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

3. Leverage:
As we expected in our last timertrac-broadcast, Volatility continued to rise. Thus, leverage is kept at 1.0 (Meaning: no leverage).

4. Single Stocks:
From the QMP-analyses of single stocks, it shows that:
some that have been too low priced are: CB
and some that have been too high priced are DIN, MSFT, FEYE, HESS, AKAM, WYND, ANTM, BSX, EAT

5. Specials:
- As we are now in earnings season, expect the next QMP-signal to develop fast (approx. 2 weeks).

- The new subscription fee for the signal is now 20$ per month or 200$ per year for individual investors.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 25, 2020

The All Ords share index’s 30-day trend line surpassed its 300-day trendline suggesting it’s “all over rover” for the bear market.  When the Coppock momentum indicator turns up it should confirm that the crash of February/March is behind us and the market’s bull rally since March 23^rd is supported not only by trend analysis but also momentum analysis.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All Ords index remains bullish, but its momentum is slowing. Its 10-day trendline sits comfortably above its 30-day one, but it MACD oscillator while still positive is quickly losing momentum.

Since Wall Street’s NYSE has such a big influence on Bligh Street’s ASX, it’s worth noting that America’s S&P500 index while still bullish is less so than Australia’s All Ords index. Indeed, its MACD momentum oscillator went negative two trading days ago.  The reason for this is that the US market is in animated suspension while awaiting the outcome of the Presidential and Congressional elections on November 3^rd which will decide the course America takes over the next four years.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, September 27, 2020

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the Australian All Ords share price index remains bearish, notwithstanding the index’s rebound and move back to positive momentum last week. Essentially its red 10-day trendline remains below its green 30-day trendline, though it's red/green colored MACD momentum oscillator is now slightly positive. On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All Ords index remains bearish with its green 30-day trendline still below its blue 300 days one and its red Coppock momentum indicator still in negative territory and falling.

Locally, Gold continues to have positive momentum over a 9-month timeframe though has been drifting sideways since March. The other sectors, resources, financials, and property have shown negative momentum over this time period.  Globally, gold also is in front over a 9-month period though languishing since March. The blue American share market is still positive notwithstanding its recent fall. The green Other-Developed markets and the red Emerging markets remain in the doldrums.

It’s been a rough month for US stocks. Until last Thursday the S&P500 futures index was down 7.6% which rates as a “pullback” while the Nasdaq futures index was down 10.9% which amounts to a “correction”. As I have said many times, Wall Street sets the tone for all developed stock markets including Australia’s. Hence where America goes, other markets usually follow.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, September 28, 2020

S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones 30 Index finish lower for the fourth straight week. However, the Nasdaq Composite bucks’ trend to close higher on the week.

This week was traditional up and down ride for the Equity markets that ultimately left the S&P 500 down 0.6% -- its fourth straight weekly decline.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.8%, and the Russell 2000 declined 4.0%.  The Nasdaq Composite, however, gained 1.1%. 

There was not one single thing traders could latch on to and say this is the reason why equities struggled.  Instead, it was another week filled with events that fed into the general uneasiness and the push lower in the markets seen this month. The information technology (+2.1%), consumer discretionary (+1.2%), and utilities (+1.2percent ) sectors closed higher. However, growth concerns were evident from the declines in the cyclical energy (-8.6%), materials (-4.6%), financials (-4.2%), and industrials (-2.6percent ) sectors.  

We invite you to join our Teabull Free Membership today. 

As a Teabull Free Member, you will gain access to our award-winning Signals for the major US Stock, Bond, and Gold Miner Indexes!

To join Teabull ST Free please click: Register

To join Teabull MT Free please click: Register

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 28, 2020

This week's uncertainty originates in a variety of questions becoming more or less prominent. Will Congress pass another round of stimulus? Will the pandemic spike again? When will a vaccine be available? When will the majority of people be vaccinated? Which sectors will recover and which are permanently reduced? What will the outcome of the U.S. elections be and what impact will it have on the economy and the markets?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.32% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +23.89% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
LevIndex is now invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Monday, September 28, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new low-risk reading of 19%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a low-risk score of 8%.

Quick info:

A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Purvis Investments

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 20, 2020

The US stock market risk sunk to a medium risk level of 50%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a medium risk reading of 51%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) increased to a medium risk reading of 51%.

The regional stock risk score for the US, Canada, and Western Europe sunk to a medium reading of 48%.

Quick info:

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., US, Canada, and Western Europe).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, September 20, 2020

Australian Market:

The Australian share market remains bearish on both short-to-medium-term or medium-to-long-term trend analysis.  The All Ords index 10-day trendline remains below its 30-day trendline and its MACD momentum indicator is still negative though slightly less so than last week.  The All Ords index 30-day trendline remains below its 300-day trendline and its Coppock momentum indicator remains negative and falling.

American Market:

Importantly the American S&P500 share index is close to going bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. The next week should decide whether it undergoes a “death cross” by its 10-day trendline crossing below its 30-day one. Its MACD momentum is negative and becoming more so in the last two days.  The American index’s 30-day trend line still sits comfortably above its 300-day trend line showing that the market's medium-to-long-term direction still remains bullish notwithstanding its recent pullback. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still strongly positive but flattening.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, September 21, 2020

Large-cap indices decrease for the third consecutive week

It was just another bad week for major US Stock Indexes mega-cap stocks, but some turned into value and cyclical stocks did confine the markets declines.  Both the S&P 500 (-0.6%) and Nasdaq Composite (-0.6%) both dropped 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.03%) completed just under its own flat line.  Offsetting these, the Russell 2000 which had been a laggard this year to date rose 2.6%. 

The week began on a bullish note, the market rebounded from weekly setbacks, but the general weakness started on Wednesday following the FOMC policy meeting decision.  The Fed failed to pacify traders. Although, no one could blame the central bank this past Wednesday.  Briefly, the Fed kept rates unchanged and indicated they will stay near zero until 2023. 

We invite you to join our Teabull Free Membership today. 

As a Teabull Free Member, you will gain access to our award-winning Signals for the major US Stock, Bond, and Gold Miner Indexes!

To join Teabull Free please click: Register

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 21, 2020

Investors continue to try to deal with uncertainty. Will the pandemic spike again? When will a vaccine be available? When will the majority of people be vaccinated? Which sectors will recover and which are permanently reduced? How severe does the impact of the pandemic have to be to destroy optimism, impair future earnings, and renew the recession? What will the outcome of the elections be and what impact will it have on the economy and the markets?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) and will buy UPRO when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.30% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +35.25% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc.

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, August 31, 2020

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, August 31, 2020

Investors continue to push the market higher in response to a modest decline in U.S. coronavirus cases, authorization for plasma treatment, the prospect of rapid Covid-19 testing, and the Fed's promise to keep rates low. Wishes and hopes seem to be offsetting concerns over a reduction in the flow of stimulus and the lack of any vaccine rollout. The question remains: How severe does the impact of the pandemic have to be to destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) and will buy UPRO when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.56% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +28.53% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 30, 2020

On short to medium-term trend-following the market remains bullish with the All Ords red 10-day trendline still hovering above its green 30-day trendline. But its brown MACD momentum oscillator has gone marginally negative.

On medium to long-term trend analysis the share market is still bearish but only a whisker away from going bullish. Its green Coppock momentum indicator is still negative and falling.

Both globally and locally, gold bullion is still in front of other sectors based on nine-month relative price momentum. Only IVV (USA market) is showing any positive momentum over that time frame. All other sectors (globally non-US developed markets and emerging markets and domestically resources, finance, and commercial property) are still in the doldrums (i.e. exhibiting negative price momentum).

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, August 31, 2020

Stock Market:

Our Teabull.co Stock Market ST Oscillator is located well below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term buy signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Bond Market:

Our Teabull.co Bond Market ST Oscillator is located just above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term sell signal for the major US Government Bond Indexes.

Gold Market:

Our Teabull.co Gold Market ST Oscillator is located slightly above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term sell signal for the major US Gold Miner Indexes.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Scarecrow Trading

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Last week, the global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 19%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 16, 2020

America’s S&P 500 share price index is now back to its previous high in mid-February. Its V-shaped recovery is confirmed.  But this is largely due to a handful of tech stocks.

Of the 500 biggest US-listed stocks that make up the S&P500, just five (Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Microsoft) boosted the index by $1.61 billion since the start of 2020, while all the other 495 stocks jointly depressed the index by $1.66 billion. Without the digital revolution (which has thrived off the pandemic), the American share market would still be in the doldrums.

After languishing since mid-June, the Australian All Ords share index is now picking up momentum as can be seen in the bottom half of the next chart. The MACD momentum oscillator is now positive. And the index’s red ten-day trend line still sits above its blue 30-day trend line showing it remains bullish over a short-to-medium term framework.

On medium-to-long term trend and momentum indicators, the Australian stock markets remain bearish, though it is inching closer to its 30-day trend line overtaking its 300-day one which would be positive. However, its Coppock momentum indicator is still falling and in negative territory. Until it turns up (as it’s done in America) the bear market can’t be declared over.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

QQQTrading.com

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 9, 2020

Australian market: On short to medium term basis the black All Ords index continues to be bullish since its red 10-day trend line is still above its blue 30-day one. But the distance between the 10-day and 30-day trend lines has narrowed since the market’s price momentum (MACD) went largely negative from the middle of June. What this means is that the market’s positive trend between March 27^th and June 12^th has lost steam. For the past two months, the All Ords index has meandered sideways. 

On a medium to the longer-term basis, the market is still bearish because its red 30-day trend line has not yet caught up to let alone overtaken its 300-day trendline. But the gap between these trend lines is narrowing even though the Coppock momentum indicator is still falling and remains in negative territory. When the Coppock indicator turns up we will know the bear market is over.

American market: The situation in the USA is much more bullish than in Australia and other markets. The S&P500 index’s red 30-day trend line overtook its 300-day trend line on the 4^th June and its Coppock momentum indicator always stayed in positive territory and turned up on the 30^th of June. The flash crash between February 19^th and March 23^rd underwent a quick V-shaped bounce back. The S&P500 index last Friday was only 1% off its record peak on February 19^th. That’s not to say the share index won’t roll over again, but for now, America’s bear market is over.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 9, 2020

The global US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished unchanged at 81%.
The global EUR risk rating (GEURR) closed lower at a low-risk reading of 8%.
The global cryptocurrencies basket risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 25%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) is tracking a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR is monitoring a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

1german

Monday, August 10, 2020

On the 7th of August 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. The signal is netto short (which means netto long "TLT"). (The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

2. The actual 1-Year risk parameters of the QMP-signal allow for a leverage of 2.5 (and are even still much lower than those of the S+P500 even after applying a 2.5 leverage).

3. From the QMP-analyses of single stocks it shows that:

The too low priced have been: H, FUN, PBPB, HLT, NCLH, TMUS, SSP, BOOT, DIS, GDDY, SAIL, and DXC

The too high priced have been: ABC, WEN, BYND, ADT, FTNT, SVMK, AIG, MNK, ATVI, MCHP, UPWK, TWLD, ANET, FOX, LL, CVS, REGN, NYT, ALB, KTB and DBX

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Charles Capital LLC

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 2, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) decreased to a low-risk reading of 5%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed lower at a low-risk indication of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Monday, August 3, 2020

Historically July is a good month for shares in both Australia and America. But August normally marks the start of a slippery slope in both countries that does not reverse until November/December after which shares rally again.

The S&P500 index on Friday rallied strongly and is now almost back to its post-crash peak on July 22^nd. For the past month, the S&P500 has been in an uptrend whereas the All Ords which mimicked Wall Street until a week ago, has continued its fall.

Gold bullion continues to be the frontrunner amongst major asset classes in Australia and beats every major share market globally.

Here's the position of the Australian share market on a short to medium term basis and a medium to long-term one.

The Australian stock market has been drifting sideways since early June. In the last week, its momentum oscillator has been slightly negative. This means it’s still bullish, but losing its edge. The All Ords index is still bearish on a longer-term framework though the gap between its 30-day trendline and its 300-day one continues to narrow. However,  its Coppock momentum indicator remains negative with no sign yet of reversing course.

By contrast, the US stock market’s trend and momentum remain firmly bullish over both time frames. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.