TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

PrimeCapitalGroup

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 21, 2022)
Leveraged Momentum starts the tracking of one strategy called "LevTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 8, 2022

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a high-risk rating of 100%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a high-risk score of 100%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) tracks sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Australia's Market

The All-Ords share price index fell 3.3 % last week making a total fall of 5.0% since the market last peaked on April 21st. On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is now bearish because its red 10-day trend line fell below its green 30-day one. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is consistently negative. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020 

America's Market

Two weeks ago, America’s S&P500 share index went bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its red 10-day trendline fell below its green 30-day trendline. Its MACD momentum indicator is negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain fractionally bullish, but if the S&P 500 share index falls next week it could go bearish for the first time since March 2020.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, May 9, 2022

Uncertainty regarding the implications of Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation trends, rate increases, less Fed stimulus, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy sold $UPRO a couple of weeks ago due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and will buy it again when indicated by its algorithm (buy low). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see an 18.46% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy also sold $UPRO a couple of weeks ago when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so transactions do impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 15.50% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends sold $TQQQ last week and will buy when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 22.64% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends sold FNGU a few weeks ago when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 112.09% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

PrimeCapitalGroup

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 21, 2022)
Leveraged Momentum starts the tracking of one strategy called "LevTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

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        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 1, 2022

Our US stock market risk score rose to a high-risk rating of 72%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a high-risk level of 74%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a high-risk score of 65%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., the US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 1, 2022

Australia's Market

The All-Ords share price index fell 0.6% last week following a fall of 0.7 % the week before. However, the last two days of trading showed a rebound. 

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is fractionally bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is negative. n medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020.

America’s Market

Two weeks ago, America’s S&P500 share index went bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its red 10-day trendline fell below its green 30-day trendline. Its MACD momentum indicator is negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

StockIndexTiming.com
(George Slezak)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 21, 2022)
Leveraged Momentum starts the tracking of one strategy called "LevTrends from Leveraged Momentum."
 
(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, April 23, 2022

The All-Ords share price index fell 0.7% last week after rising 0.6% the week before. 

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian equity markets remain bullish though the US market has now gone bearish. The IMF and World Bank are each warnings that global economic growth will be lower and inflation higher dues to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine pushing up already high fuel, fertilizer, food, and base metal prices. Also, there is a rising fear that high inflation might persist which would force central banks to squeeze credit and raise interest rates.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis both the Australian and American markets are bullish though they came close to going bearish in mid-March. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

America’s return to bearish conditions on short-to-medium term trend analysis could cause Australia’s market to fall further next week. 

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 24, 2022

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a new medium risk score of 50%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

SNIPER Market Timing
(Christine Wasp)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 17, 2022

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR decreased to 27%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished unchanged at a high-risk reading of 92%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score remained unchanged at a high-risk rating of 66%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, April 17, 2022

Australia's Market

The All-Ords share price index rose 0.6% last week after falling 0.2% the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is slightly negative. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020. During the January correction, the index fell below its pre-crash peak of 20th February 2020 but then recovered above it.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is marginally bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis but will go bearish next week unless the index quickly rebounds. Its MACD momentum indicator is negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish.

Stock Index Timing.com

Friday, April 15, 2022
 
My current stock market signal is a neutral signal issued on April 11, 2022.

When I moved from a "sell" on the market to "neutral" on Tuesday, I explained that my stock market forecast model has an up-trending market through May 23, and I would be looking for a place to move to a buy signal for a continued bear market bounce. 

This new bear market has had the characteristic of making huge overnight moves in response to overnight international news, and the Shanghai lockdown situation along with the Ukraine War and upcoming Fed actions leads me to plan on delaying moving to a buy signal for a short term trade and for now hold neutral.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, April 18, 2022

Uncertainty regarding the implications of Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation trends, rate increases, less Fed stimulus, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It sold $UPRO again last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and will buy it again when indicated by its algorithm (buy low). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.84% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy sold $UPRO yesterday when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so transactions do impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.37% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.  TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 35.95% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends sold FNGU a few weeks ago when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 116.77% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Glance Financial Advisors LLC

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, April 11, 2022

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It sold $UPRO recently due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and then bought it back again last week when it rose to its indicator (buy low). $UPRO will be sold again when it falls to the price indicated by the algorithm for this strategy. The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.94% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy will continue to hold $UPRO until its indicator turns negative (cover your assets). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so transactions do impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.51% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 35.48% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends sold FNGU a few weeks ago when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 118.42% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 10, 2022

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a high-risk rating of 98%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a high-risk score of 100%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) tracks sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, April 2, 2022

On short-to-medium term trend analysis both the Australian and US equity markets are bullish notwithstanding fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. Also, investors seem to have shrugged off concerns about runaway inflation causing central banks to raise interest rates too quickly. But they are now worried that the US Federal Reserve intends to squeeze credit by selling down the stockpile of bonds it bought during the pandemic at a faster pace than expected.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets are bullish though they came close to going bearish in mid-March. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, April 3, 2022
 
I am expecting a market bounce from late next week to mid-May.
 
I believe this bounce is just a bounce in the bear market. I do not believe we have seen the washout needed to call the end of the bear market. My market cycle forecast suggests the washout will happen in September and October giving a great long-term buying opportunity.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc.

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
 
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, April 3, 2022
 

My current stock market signal is a sell signal issued on April 1, 2022. 

My short-term cycles are negative through April 12.

Comment on indicators: 

The forecast model looks for a decline from March 23/26 to April 12.

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market is overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive

Nasdaq -  Positive

Russell 2000 -  Positive

Gold - Positive

Silver - Neutral 

Swiss - Positive

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, April 4, 2022

Uncertainty regarding the implications of Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It sold $UPRO recently due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and will buy $UPRO when it rises to its indicator (buy low). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 20.92% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy bought $UPRO recently when its indicator turned positive (buy low). $UPRO will be sold when its indicator turns negative (cover your assets). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so transactions do impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.16% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 32.95% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 120.12% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 3, 2022

US + Global Stock Market Risk Update - 04/03/2022
Our US stock market risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 27%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a low-risk level of 25%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a low-risk score of 23%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., the US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, April 2, 2022

Australia’s Market 

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is strongly positive though slowing slightly over the last two trading days. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator is strongly positive though less so in the last three trading days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Todd Market Forecast
(Steve Todd)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 26, 2022

On short-to-medium term trend analysis both the Australian and US equity markets have gone bullish notwithstanding fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. Also, investors seem to have shrugged off concerns about runaway inflation prompting central banks to withdraw support for bonds and lift official cash rates.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets are bullish though they came close to going bearish in mid-March. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 26, 2022
 
My current stock market signal is a sell signal issued on March 21, 2022. 

My short-term cycles are negative through April 12.

In February the market declined more than 10% in less than ten trading days. "IF" the bear market remains in force, the decline over the next few weeks should be greater than the February decline.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market is overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. 

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not climaxed to the downside and suggests the pattern of lower highs and lower low market declines will continue. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive

Nasdaq -  Positive

Russell 2000 -  Positive

Gold - Positive

Silver - Neutral 

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

I believe we are approaching the most important investment decision of the next 50 years.

Like the 1970s, the Government has used inflation to devalue our debt to make it seem small relative to GDP.  They are raising GDP through inflation to make the debt more manageable. 
 
I believe over the next 10 months the market will set a low that will stand as the beginning of a 300% rise. 
 
The S&P fell 15% from the high to the recent low. I believe somewhere around 25% to 30% down (30% down from 4800 is around 3000) will be the buying opportunity of the next 50 years.
 
The NASDAQ decline could be 50% or 60%. The Russell small cap decline could be 40% or 50%.

Market Timing in Australia

The All-Ords share price index rose by 3.2% last week after a 0.8% fall the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish has significantly narrowed. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Russia-Ukraine War

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

The Ord Oracle

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, March 13, 2022

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 12, 2022

My current stock market signal is a neutral signal issued on Feb 25, 2022. 

My cycle forecast model had a strong week this past week, but the general downtrend of the bear market kept it basically just chop up and down. My cycle forecast model is up trending through March 23, but because of the general downtrend bear market, I do not expect trending strength. After March 23, my cycles turn negative through April 12, and I expect the broad bear market to accelerate to the downside during the negative short-term cycle.

I plan on sitting neutral until the March 23 cycle top.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 12, 2022

The All-Ords share price index fell by 0.8% over the last week after a 1.7% % rise the week before. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the main reason, though worries about higher inflation and interest rates and slowing world growth also dampen investor sentiment.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. This is adding to existing worries about central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish is quickly narrowing. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 14, 2022

Uncertainty regarding Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It bought $UPRO last week when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low) after selling it the week before when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm after (cover your assets). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 20.96% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy sold $UPRO Friday when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). $UPRO will be bought again when its indicator turns positive (buy low). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so this does impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.67% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 32.64% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 125.49% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Equity Defense

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 7, 2022

Uncertainty regarding Russia's attack of Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It bought $UPRO Monday when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low) after selling it the week before when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm after (cover your assets). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.04% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.  Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.20% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 31.69% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 127.38% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, March 6, 2022

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR increased to 27%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 100%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score remained unchanged at a high-risk rating of 92%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 5, 2022

The Stock Index Commitments of Traders suggests a strong market is ahead. I will be looking for this bounce to be a lower peak than the February high and then turn down heading for a low lower than the late February low by my next cycle forecast low near April 12. I do not plan on trying to trade the forecast bounce over the next two weeks because when in a downtrend, there is always a potential for overnight events to trigger declines.

Comment on indicators: 

The forecast model looks for a bounce into late March.

The comparison of the current market top to the 1929 classic top pattern shows the market pattern will continue in the potential high volatility window through April.

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. 

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has NOT climaxed to the downside and suggests the pattern of lower highs and lower low market declines will continue. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive
Nasdaq -  Positive
Russell 2000 -  Positive
Gold - Negative 
Silver - Neutral 
Swiss - Neutral positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 5, 2022

The All-Ords share price index rose by 1.7% over the last week after a 3.1% fall the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. This is adding to existing worries of central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation.

Before Russia’s move, a Bank of America fund manager survey found that a staggering 83% of respondents cited the monetary policy as the greatest risk to market stability in 2022. That suggested monetary tightening was the only issue weighing heavily on investors' minds.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish through the headspace before they turn bearish is quickly narrowing. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.