TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Glance Financial Advisors LLC

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, May 27, 2023

Australia's Market

Australia’s All-Ords share index fell 1.8% last week after rising 0.2% the week before.

On my short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bearish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator has been negative since the end of April.

On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. The rapid market rally in early April saved it from going bearish. The Coppock momentum indicator continued turning up in March and April after stalling in February.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going positive for four trading days is now negative again.

The S&P 500 index’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on 14 April 2023. The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator turned up at the end of March and continued rising in April suggesting that the bear market is over.

Sector Analysis

Within Australia, Resources Gold (PMGOLD.ax) has shot to the front followed by (QRE.ax). Both Finance (OZF.ax) and Property (SLF.ax) exhibit negative momentum.

Globally, all sectors remain positive with Other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) just ahead of Gold (PMGOLD.ax). Both the US Market (IVV.ax) and Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) show positive momentum. The latter was in the doldrums for a long time.

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TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TimingCube

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, May 20, 2023

Australia's Market

Australia’s All-Ords share index rose by 0.2% last week after rising by 0.5% the previous week.

On my short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is fractionally bearish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is negative though less so in the last two trading days.

On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. The rapid market rally in early April saved it from going bearish. The Coppock momentum indicator continued turning up in March and April after stalling in February.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after being negative for seventeen trading days went positive last Thursday and Friday following a strong bounce in the share index.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on 14 April 2023. The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator turned up at the end of March and continued rising in April suggesting that the bear market is over.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ReturnStream LLC
(Vinay Munikoti)

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, May 13, 2023

Australia's Market

Australia’s All-Ords share index rose by 0.5% last week after falling 1.2% the previous week.
It is now down 1.6% since its last peak on Monday 17th April 2023.

On my short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is fractionally bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator negative but less so in the last week.

On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. The rapid market rally in early April saved it from going bearish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. However, its MACD momentum indicator has been negative for the past nine trading days.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on 14 April 2023. The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator turned up at the end of March and continued rising in April suggesting that the worst is over.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Australia's Market

Australia’s All-Ords share index fell 1.2% over the last week. It is now down 2.2% since its last peak on Monday 17th April 2023.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is fractionally bullish. However, unless sentiment picks up next week it will go bearish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is now negative.

On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. The rapid market rally in early April saved it from going bearish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. However, its MACD momentum indicator has been negative for the past nine trading days.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on 14 April 2023.  The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator turned up at the end of March and continued rising in April suggesting that the worst is over.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Tilden Research LLC

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Market Timing in Australia

Monday, May 1, 2023

Australia's Market

On my short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD
oscillator went positive on March 29 but is now slowing. On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. The rapid market rally in early April saved it from going bearish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. However, its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last four trading days after being positive since March 21. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on 14 April 2023. The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator turned up at the end of March suggesting that the worst is over.

Nasdaq

Finally, the NASDAQ share index for the first time in three years has entered a bull market having risen by 24% since its low on 28 December 2022.

Sector Analysis

Within Australia, Resources (QRE.ax) is matched by Gold (PMGOLD.ax) with Finance (OZF.ax) on zero momentum. Property (SLF.ax) continues to be negative, though less so in the last month. Globally, all sectors remain positive with Other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) still leading
though closely matched by Gold (PMGOLD.ax). Both the US Market (IVV.ax) and Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) show positive momentum. The latter was in the doldrums for a long time.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Glance Financial Advisors LLC
(Paul Glance & Brian Glance)

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Leveraged Momentum

Monday, April 24, 2023

Uncertainty regarding the continued implications of supply chain issues, inflation trends, quantitative tightening (QT) and rate increases by the Fed, the inverted yield curve, global political-economic issues including Russia's continued attack on Ukraine, and lower earnings growth continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy bought $UPRO recently when it rose to the buy price indicated by its algorithm (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see the 12.72% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy bought $UPRO recently when its indicator turned positive (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see the 7.62% annualized return for LevCrosses since tracking began on 4/10/18.

Our TQQQTrends strategy bought $TQQQ a couple of months ago (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see the 15.07% annualized return for TQQQTrends since tracking began on 11/24/18.

Our FNGUTrends strategy similarly bought $FNGU a couple of months ago (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see the 68.09% annualized return for FNGUTrends since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, April 1, 2023

Australia's Market

After falling seven weeks in a row, the All-Ords index finally staged a strong rally last week.
It was up 3.3% after slipping 0.7% the week before.

Compared with its all-time high on 4 January 2022, the Australian market is still down 7.0%. But that is better than the previous week when it was 10.0% below its peak, putting it in correction territory. A fall of less than 10% is a “pullback”, one of 10% to 20% is a “correction,” and one of over 20% is a “crash”.

The Australian All-Ords is still bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis but stayed bullish on medium-to-long-term analysis thanks to the strong rally in the All-Ords last week.

America's Market

The reverse applies in America, where on short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the S&P 500 index went bullish last week. Its MACD
momentum indicator, which was negative from 16 February 2023, has been positive for the past ten days, suggesting the fallout from the banking crisis is over. However,  the S&P 500 index remained bearish on medium-to-long-term analysis though its Coppock momentum indicator has turned up in the negative territory, suggesting the worst is over.

Sector Analysis

Within Australia, all sectors are now positive except Property (SLF.ax) which continues to slide. The leading sector is Resources (QRE.ax) followed by Gold (GOLD) and Finance (OZF.ax).

Globally, all sectors are now positive with Other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) still leading, followed by Gold (PMGOLD.ax), the US Market (IVV.ax), and now Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) which had been in the doldrums for a long time.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David R Kern Asset Management

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, March 26, 2023

Australia's Market

Over the past week, the All-Ords dropped by 2.3% after falling 1.8% the week before.Over the past week the All-Ords slipped 0.7% after falling 2.3% the week before. It is now 8.2% below its last peak on 3 February 2023.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bearish. Its price momentum, as measured by the MACD oscillator, has been negative since February 8. On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator which was negative from 16 February 2023 has gone positive in the last four days suggesting the fallout
from the banking crisis is over. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on February 14th, 2023. But on February 28th, 2023, became bearish again and has become more so since.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Signal Research Group, LLC
(Matthew Spangler)

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Australia's Market

Over the past week, the All-Ords dropped by 2.3% after falling 1.8% the week before.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bearish. Its price momentum, as measured by the MACD oscillator, has been negative for the past five weeks and worsened in the last two weeks. On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator has been negative for the past five weeks. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on February 14th, 2023. But on February 28th, 2023, became bearish again and has become more so since.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Glance Financial Advisors LLC
(Paul Glance & Brian Glance)

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Australia's Market

Over the past week, the All-Ords dropped by 1.8% after falling just 0.3% the week before. On Friday, the fall was 2.2%, sending a shiver through the ASX. Since its peak this year in early February, the All-Ords has fallen 5.5%.

On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bearish. Its price momentum, as measured by the MACD oscillator, has been negative for the past four weeks and worsened so last Friday. On medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator has been negative for the past four weeks and has gone more so in the last few days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend went bullish on February 14th 2023. But on February 28th 2023, went bearish again and has become more so since. The S&P 500 Coppock momentum indicator is negative yet appears to have bottomed.

Fed funds futures traders are pricing in a 60% probability that the Fed will hike rates by 50 basis points at its March 21-22 meeting. Traders are now pricing for the rate to peak at 5.6% in September 2023. As a result, the US dollar strengthened, and all other currencies weakened, including the Australian dollar. The AUD has fallen from a peak of 0.72 USD in January to 0.66 USD now.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.