Broadcast

Saturday, March 26, 2022

On short-to-medium term trend analysis both the Australian and US equity markets have gone bullish notwithstanding fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. Also, investors seem to have shrugged off concerns about runaway inflation prompting central banks to withdraw support for bonds and lift official cash rates.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets are bullish though they came close to going bearish in mid-March. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Saturday, March 26, 2022

My current stock market signal is a sell signal issued on March 21, 2022.

My short-term cycles are negative through April 12.

In February the market declined more than 10% in less than ten trading days. "IF" the bear market remains in force, the decline over the next few weeks should be greater than the February decline.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market is overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901.

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not climaxed to the downside and suggests the pattern of lower highs and lower low market declines will continue.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive

Nasdaq - Positive

Russell 2000 - Positive

Gold - Positive

Silver - Neutral

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 10:19 PM in Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, stock market | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

03/21/2022

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)

News Items:

(January 29, 2022)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."

(January 28, 2022)

ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."

(January 19, 2022)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.

(January 3, 2022)

Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

I believe we are approaching the most important investment decision of the next 50 years.

Like the 1970s, the Government has used inflation to devalue our debt to make it seem small relative to GDP. They are raising GDP through inflation to make the debt more manageable.

I believe over the next 10 months the market will set a low that will stand as the beginning of a 300% rise.

The S&P fell 15% from the high to the recent low. I believe somewhere around 25% to 30% down (30% down from 4800 is around 3000) will be the buying opportunity of the next 50 years.

The NASDAQ decline could be 50% or 60%. The Russell small cap decline could be 40% or 50%.

The All-Ords share price index rose by 3.2% last week after a 0.8% fall the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish has significantly narrowed. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 09:46 PM in Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Market Timing, Stock Market News | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

10/04/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Trend Focused Investor (TFI)
(MJ Chevalier)

News Items:

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Saturday, October 2, 2021

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18^th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^thof October 2020. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market:

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its red 10-day trendline sits just above its blue 30-day trendline. Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, October 3, 2021

Our US stock market risk score rose to a medium risk rating of 54%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a medium risk level of 58%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a medium risk score of 50%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 07:49 AM in Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Market Timing, stock market, Trading | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

09/27/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David R Kern Asset Management
(David Kern)

News Items:

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 27, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Will stimulus tapering cause disruptions in economies and markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? Will Covid variants continue to impair economies and markets?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash recently when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (cover your assets) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a high-risk score of 93%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD

Saturday, September 25, 2021

I'll look to close the short position if we are near these 3% support positions on or near September 23. (I bet 4265) I'll consider a long position for the 3-week bounce.

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^thof October 2020. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market:

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 08:54 PM in Asset Management, Capital Preservation, Finance, Investment Advice | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

08/02/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Two Corner
(James Gritton)

News Items:

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Gold Risk Update - 08/01/2021
Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a new low-risk score of 21%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator had been negative for five weeks but went positive again in the last week. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 5.6% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 16^th of July returned to being positive last week. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. Amazingly, the index is now 29.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Long term, my cycle forecast model has weakness in the market now through the November 2022 election.

Comment on indicators:

Volume is NOT confirming the new market highs.

I will look for a sell for the next cycle forecast downswing from August 5 to August 19

I don't expect a tradable bounce until the end of November.

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Bounce to August 3-6, then long decline into the end of November.

New Active Traders Index (volume) failed to confirm the new market highs.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 07:43 PM in Capital Preservation, Finance, Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Market Timing, stock market, Stock Market News | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

07/12/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ReturnStream LLC
(Vinay Munikoti)

News Items:

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Monday, July 12, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk rating of 31%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk level of 29%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk score of 39%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Sunday, July 11, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator turned negative again three weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 4.5% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17^th of June returned to being positive two weeks ago. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

Sunday, July 11, 2021

The down phase through July 8, did not show the down volume to confirm we had the market top, so I expect repeated new highs in the next up phase now through August 6.

I moved to neutral Friday. I'll look to issue a short-term buy trade signal early next week.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 04:55 PM in Asset Management, Capital Preservation, Finance, Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Investments, Market Timing, Trading | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

06/28/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

WNRS Pathfinder
(Michael Hartmann)

News Items:

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, June 27, 2021

Australia's Market

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis. It is now 4.5% above its peak before the crash of 2020. The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. . Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator turned negative again last week.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17^th of June returned to being positive last Friday. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

Sunday, June 27, 2021

I moved to a short-term sell signal on the S&P Friday morning. I believe we may be at the top of the bull market. I look for the next down phase to run from June 28 to July 9, then an A B C bounce to August 3.

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Down segment to July 8. Then, an A B C bounce to August 3.

New Active Traders Index confirmed the S&P 500 new high by making new highs on Friday, but not with enough conviction to suggest relentless up chugging strength.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Neutral

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Sunday, June 27, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a new medium risk score of 57%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 07:52 PM in Capital Preservation, Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, stock market | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

06/14/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Bowpoint Capital
(Steve Ruoff)

News Items:

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, June 13, 2021

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: We are in the strong forecast segment moving to a top at Friday's June 18, option expiration. Chop to June 28. Then a down segment to July 8.

New Active Traders Index correctly suggested new highs. Now, weak volume next week will be an important sign of the top.

COTs will likely move to negative as distribution grinds over the next few weeks.

COT for S&P: Neutral

COT for Nasdaq 100: Neutral

COT for Russell 2000: Negative

COT for Gold: Moving towards negative

COT for Silver: SELL

COT for Swiss: BUY

Sunday, June 13, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed significantly lower at a new low-risk reading of 24%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe dropped to a new low-risk score of 25%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR comprises three regional risk ratings.

Sunday, June 6, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went positive. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator has been positive since the 27^th of May. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now more than 25% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 09:02 PM in bonds, Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Market Timing, stock market, Stock Market News, Trading | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Capital Preservation, finance, financial service, fundamental analysis, Investment advice, Investment strategy, Investments, Market Timing, Market Timing in Australia, Quantified Market Psychology (QMP), RISXX Inc., Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Technical analysis, Wall Street, wealth building

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

06/07/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KMW Timing, LLC
(Skip Wilson)

News Items:

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

(February 26, 2021)

Ramsland Technology changes developer name to Pattern Timing and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Pattern Timing TQQQ and QLD."

(February 20, 2021)

System Research LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "System Research Bond Signal."

(February 18, 2021)

Equity Defense adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Equity Defense Rocket Profit in Down Days."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, June 6, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market finally broke above its trading range last Wednesday. The All-Ord’s index increased by 1.6% over the last week and is now up 5.3% since it last dipped on the 19^th of May.

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator went positive on the 27^th of May after being negative for four weeks.

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one.

America's Market.

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator has been positive since the 27^th of May after being negative for the previous five weeks.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now 25% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, June 6, 2021

The current www.StockIndexTiming.com service is short-term trading signals on the S&P 500. In the next few weeks, we may see the final up segment of the final up leg of the bull market. As we pass the market top at the end of June, down legs will be stronger than the previous down leg, and up legs will be weaker than the previous up leg.

Indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: The next cycle forecast segment is up and begins mid-week and continues to June 28. The Cycle forecast is strong through the end of June, then heavy, suggesting a bear market through November 2022.

New Active Traders Index at new highs suggests new highs are just ahead.

COT for S&P: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is BUY, but negative positions are gaining.

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Russell 2000: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Gold: Most recent signal is BUY

COT for Silver: Most recent signal is SELL

COT for Swiss: Most recent signal is BUY

Sunday, June 6, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk rating of 19%. US tech stock risk closed unchanged at a low-risk level of 18%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a low-risk score of 14%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

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Posted at 06:21 PM in Fundamental Analysis, Investment Advice, Market Timing, Wall Street | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Capital Preservation, finance, financial service, fundamental analysis, Investment advice, Investment strategy, Investments, Market Timing, Market Timing in Australia, Quantified Market Psychology (QMP), RISXX Inc., Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Technical analysis, Wall Street, wealth building

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

05/03/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

FibTimer

News Items:

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

(March 13, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

(February 26, 2021)

Ramsland Technology changes developer name to Pattern Timing and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Pattern Timing TQQQ and QLD."

(February 20, 2021)

System Research LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "System Research Bond Signal."

(February 18, 2021)

Equity Defense adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Equity Defense Rocket Profit in Down Days."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, May 3, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Is the stimulus causing inflation which will lead to higher interest rates and if so for how long and which sectors will be impacted the most? Which sectors have been permanently impaired by the pandemic and various countermeasures? Which sectors will continue to experience growth and higher earnings? Will we reach regional herd immunity or continue to experience Covid-19 outbreaks?

Our LevBands strategy is holding UPRO and has an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +26.18% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +51.52% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

FNGUTrends remains in FNGU ( TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +535.12% since tracking began on 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Broadly, the proprietary market cycle forecast is positive through July 2021, and then generally negative through November 2022. Based on “Price to Peak Earnings,” the fundamental market valuations are at extreme levels only previously seen at the tops in 1929, and at the dot com bubble peak in 2000.

Based on the cycle forecast and the overvalued condition, Stock Index Timing.com sees the possibility of the US Stock Market completing the 18-month “double” since the S&P 2,500 price level in March of 2020, moving to near S&P 5,000 by mid-2021, then doing a complete 18-month retrace returning to near S&P 2,500 by November 2022.

The new Stock Index Timing.com service looks to move with the market, both long and short, in the short term swings as the market moves up another 20% by mid-2021, then falls 50% into the mid-term elections.

Sunday, May 2, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 23%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 28%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 24%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).