TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Bowpoint Capital
(Steve Ruoff)

News Items:

(February 3, 2021)

Developer name changes from W. Wall and Company, Inc to Warren Wall.

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Performance Graph

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Sunday, April 4, 2021

Our Teabull ST Stock Market Oscillator is located well above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on April 1/21 we are on a Short-Term “Sell” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull MT Stock Market Oscillator is located far above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on April 1/21 we are on a Medium-Term “Sell” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull IT Stock Market Oscillator is located slightly above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on April 1/21 we are on an Intermediate-Term “Sell” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull LT Stock Market Oscillator is just below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on April 1/21 we are on a Long-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

We invite you to join our Teabull Free today. 

As a Teabull Free subscriber you will gain access to our award-winning Teabull Stock Market trading signals for the major US Stock Indexes!

To join Teabull Free please click: Register

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 4, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a high-risk reading of 71%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe increased to a new high-risk score of 63%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, April 4, 2021

Australia's Market

The All-Ords share price index didn’t move over the four trading days between the close of Friday 26^th March and that of Thursday 1^st April. Its MACD price momentum oscillator has stayed mildly positive over the past six trading days.

The Australian stock market continues to be bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index remains marginally bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis, rising by 1.1% over the last week which built on the 1.6% rise the previous week. 

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The Coppock is now at its highest level since July 2010.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Scarecrow Trading 

News Items:

(February 3, 2021)

Developer name changes from W. Wall and Company, Inc to Warren Wall.

Developer Information

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RISXX Inc.

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a medium risk score of 50%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Wall Street had its worst week since October with both the S&P 500 index and the NASDAQ share price indices each falling 3.3%. The All Ords mirrored the souring sentiment falling 2.9% over the last five trading days. The VIX or market fear index jumped in both markets from its recent lows.

Australia's Market: 

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All-Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. The MACD has gyrated from positive to negative and now back again to positive over the last fortnight.

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The Coppock has now gone positive for the first time in eight months.

America’s Market:

America’s S&P500 share index remains bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis with its momentum going positive again last Friday. 

The US stock market has been in a general uptrend since undergoing a double pullback of 9.8% and 7.3% respectively last September and October.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KT Number 

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 17, 2021

The Australian All-Ords share price index closed fractionally lower (-0.1%) for the week.

America's S&P 500 share index fell by a heftier 1.5% after posting record highs the week before.

Australian Market

The share index which on Friday 8^th January broke the 7,000 barriers, has now fallen below that level. Yet its MACD price momentum has become less negative since Christmas, though has still to go positive. Overall, the market has drifted sideways since December 9^th. 

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 3.2% shy of its previous peak on Thursday 20^th February 2020.

American Market

Unlike the Australian All Ords index, America’s S&P500 share index shows its recent positive (MACD) momentum went negative again on Friday as the market became more concerned about the possibility of ongoing economic lockdowns because of the vaccination rollout and take-up may take longer than originally anticipated.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery.  Also, it was such a short flash crash that the index’s long term Coppock momentum indicator never went negative.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 17%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 21%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 15%.
The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe climbed to a low-risk level of 12%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

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RISXX Inc.

Monday, October 12, 2020

Gold Risk Update 

Our global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a new low-risk score of 19%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 11, 2020

Australian Market:

Last week the Australian All Ord’s share price index went bullish again on a short-to-medium-term basis. Its red 10-day trend line shot above its green 30-day trend line and its MACD price momentum indicator went strongly positive for the first time in four months.

However, the medium-to-long-term position of the market is still bearish since its green 30-day trend line has not yet overtaken its blue 300-day trendline. Also, its light green Coppock momentum oscillator has not bottomed yet.

American Market: 

Finally, the future of the Australian share market will be largely influenced by what happens to the US share market which accounts for 55% of global stock market capitalization.  On short-to-medium-term trend analysis, America’s S&P500 share index went bullish last week because talks resumed between Democrats and Republicans on a stimulus package deal before the November 3^rd elections.

As mentioned previously America’s S&P500 share price index has been on a roll since it bounced off its low on March 23^rd. Its Coppock momentum indicator confirmed its medium-to-long-term bear market was over by turning up at the start of July. Indeed, the Coppock never went into negative territory as it did in Australia and many other stock markets.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Palm Island Investments

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RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) decreased to a low-risk reading of 14%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed higher at a low-risk indication of 13%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The financial year 2019/20 posted the worst market return since 2012. The All Ords share price index between Friday 28^th June 2019 and Tuesday 30^th June 2020 fell from almost 6,700 to 6,000; a drop of 10.4%. The flash crash from its high of 7,155 on the 20^th February to its low of 4,464 on the 23^rd March wiped 36.2% off its value. The All Ords index as of last Friday had recovered 62% of the ground it lost in the crash.

The recent market crash and rebound demonstrated the greatest market volatility in the 50-year history of the All Ords index.

On a short to medium-term perspective, the All Ords came close to going bearish at the start of last week, but then picked up momentum to reconfirm the rally it’s enjoyed for the last 15 weeks.

On a medium to long-term horizon, the All Ords is still in a bear market. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still heading south and in negative territory. As for July, it’s typically the best month of the year for share markets.

Markets remain overvalued notwithstanding most still being well below their highs of February 20^th, 2020. But the clarion call of brokers is “there is no alternative” since Australian shares still deliver average dividends of 4.2% (with a forward estimate of 3.2%) whereas bank term deposits and government bonds yield at best only 1.0%.  That’s what’s driving retail investors into shares.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 6, 2020

Investors continue to focus on glimpses of hope rather than the spike in coronavirus cases. The positive increase in U.S. service sector numbers, the extension of the PPP deadline, probability of another round of stimulus payments, and an uptick in China's stock market seem to be offsetting concerns over the coronavirus spike in many states and a reduction in the flow of stimulus from the Fed. The question remains: How high does the spike need to be before the consequences and necessary countermeasures destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +17.96% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -3.42% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +8.33% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.75% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Crawford Perspectives

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Notwithstanding the All Ords index drifting sideways (with negative momentum) for the last three weeks it is still in the bullish territory on its short to medium term direction. Its medium to long direction has been bearish since the 13^th March. Nevertheless, its Coppock momentum oscillator moved into negative territory on the 5^th June and until it reverses direction we can’t be sure the bear market is over. 

In terms of global markets and domestic asset-classes here is the position at the end of this month.

Globally, gold is still king having recouped some of the ground it lost between the 18^th May and the 9^th of June. America’s S&P 500 index still has positive momentum over the 9 months’ time frame I use. Other Developed Country Markets and Emerging Markets are still in the doldrums. Domestically, Gold also remains in front while the other sectors (Resources, Property, and Finance) continue to show negative momentum over the last 9-months. 

The explanation for Gold’s resurgence is varied. Some say it’s because the upsurge in money printing spells higher inflation in the future. Others say because US interest rates could go negative the US dollar is falling which is making gold more attractive as a hedge.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, June 29, 2020

Investors are struggling to ignore the spike in Covid-19 cases. The Fed's stimulus dollars continue to flow but at a reduced rate. If infections continue to spike then renewed countermeasures may become necessary which would probably destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently when it fell to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +16.52% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -5.81% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +1.51% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.89% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a high-risk level of 71%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a high-risk reading of 62%.

Our global stock market risk score (GSMR) remained at a high-risk level. The GSMR closed higher at 63%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather
high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Brian Deja

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 28, 2020

Even a perfect response won’t end the pandemic. As long as the virus persists somewhere, there’s a chance that one infected traveler will reignite fresh sparks in countries that have already extinguished their fires. This is already happening in China, Singapore, and other Asian countries that briefly seemed to have the virus under control. Under these conditions, there are three possible endgames: one that’s very unlikely, one that’s very dangerous, and one that’s very long.

The first is that every nation manages to simultaneously bring the virus to heel, as with the original SARS in 2003. The second is that the virus does what past flu pandemics have done: It burns through the world and leaves behind enough immune survivors that it eventually struggles to find viable hosts. The third scenario is that the world plays a protracted game of whack-a-mole with the virus, stamping out outbreaks here and there until a vaccine can be produced.

It depends, for a start, on making a vaccine. If this were a flu pandemic, that would be easier. The world is experienced in making flu vaccines and does so every year. But there are no existing vaccines for coronaviruses — until now, these viruses seemed to cause diseases that were mild or rare — so researchers must start from scratch. The first steps have been impressively quick.

It’s likely, then, that the new coronavirus will be a lingering part of American life for at least a year, if not much longer. If the current round of social-distancing measures works, the pandemic may ebb enough for things to return to a semblance of normalcy. Offices could fill and bars could bustle. Schools could reopen and friends could reunite. But as the status quo returns, so too will the virus. This doesn’t mean that society must be on continuous lockdown until 2022. But “we need to be prepared to do multiple periods of social distancing,” says Stephen Kissler of Harvard.

Much about the coming years, including the frequency, duration, and timing of social upheavals, depends on two properties of the virus, both of which are currently unknown. First: seasonality. Second: duration of immunity. Whether through accumulating herd immunity or the long-awaited arrival of a vaccine, the virus will find spreading explosively more and more difficult. It’s unlikely to disappear entirely. The vaccine may need to be updated as the virus changes, and people may need to get revaccinated on a regular basis, as they currently do for the flu. Models suggest that the virus might simmer around the world, triggering epidemics every few years or so. In this future, COVID-19 may become like the flu is today — a recurring scourge of winter.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 30, 2020

Fear of the impact of the coronavirus continues to guide behavior. We are at the beginning of a very unusual recession and the duration depends on how quickly the virus plays out. While we have had and will likely continue to have opportunities to profit from inverse funds, neglecting to liquidate at optimum times tends to wipe out any gains.

Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the recent selloff.

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.51% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses was in UPRO yesterday but its indicator turned negative so it was sold (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when its indicator turns positive (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.85% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends is in cash and will buy TQQQ when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 28.47% since tracking began on 11/24/18). UPROTrends is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 100% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

W. B. Busin

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light changed to AMBER this week as our active strategy went to SELL.

The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index fell 10% from 7230.4 to 6511.5
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 11.5% from 3337.8 to 2954.2

Australia: Optimism that the economic impact of the Chinese Coronavirus would be less than feared gave way to panic selling this week as markets around the world went into a sudden correction this week. The Chinese Coronavirus is now present in a large number of countries and investors are fearful of major economic impacts from quarantines and border closures.

America: US markets had a similar experience to Australia's this week with the Coronavirus dominating traders' thinking. With the likely level of economic downturn from the response to the virus is entirely unpredictable, many investors are fleeing the market.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 2, 2020

The market has shifted its fear of the impact of the coronavirus into overdrive.

*Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the selloff*

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 19.91% since tracking began on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 48.91% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 131.87% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

UPROTrends also remain in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is also invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Q5 Research

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Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 1, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index fell 1.1% from 7203.2 to 7121.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 2.1% from 3295.5 to 3225.5

Australia: The local market lost ground this week. The threat from the Chinese coronavirus outbreak has rattled markets around the world, and those with heavy exposure to China's economy suffered. Mining stocks were hit especially hard as any contraction in China's economy would have a marked impact on that sector.

America: US markets also fell heavily this week as fears over the coronavirus outbreak spread. The market also suffered a heavy fall on Friday after the Chicago PMI, a key indicator of Midwest manufacturing activity, fell to its lowest level in 4 years to cap off a week of mixed economic data.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, February 3, 2020

The market is fluctuating between fear of the impact the coronavirus and impeachment may have on future earnings and greed spurred by the preliminary resolution of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and relatively strong reported earnings and sales.

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that lower band (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA; the strategy has generated an annualized return of 19.96% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16).LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 47.88% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 117.67% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 2, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 12% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new low-risk level of 31%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a new low-risk reading of 29%. Last week the rating was 43% (medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 56% and changes to a medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 33%. The regional stock risk score for the Middle East and North Africa is showing the best performance, indicating a new medium risk reading of 50%. Last week the score was 27% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new high-risk level of 64%. Last week the rating was 33% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a new medium risk level. GUSDR declines to 50%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 75%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Mojena Market Timing

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Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, January 27, 2020

The market is reacting in fear of the coronavirus's implications on future earnings. Our LevBands signal was in UPRO before the market opened today but its price fell to its trailing stop price so it was sold (CYA).

This strategy will buy UPRO when it falls below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low; signal has generated an annualized return of 18.29% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 43.89% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 108.07% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, January 27, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 31% and changes to a new low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new medium risk level of 58%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (new low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a medium risk reading of 43%. Last week the rating was 57% (new medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 33% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 22%. The regional stock risk score for Eastern Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 26%. Last week the score was 16% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for the Asia-Pacific region is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 37%. Last week the rating was 20% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. GUSDR declines to 75%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 77%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, January 25, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 0.3% from 7180.3 to 7203.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 1.0% from 3330.0 to 3295.5

Australia: The local market rose a little this week. After a bright start to the week, a surprise drop in the unemployment rate dampened expectations of a fall in official interest rates and sent the market tumbling on Thursday. The emerging threat of the Chinese coronavirus outbreak, which has now spread to a number of countries, put downward pressure on mining and resource stocks as uncertainty over the immediate prospects of an epidemic rattled markets.

America:  US markets fell heavily to close the week, with fears over the coronavirus outbreak paramount after several cases were detected in the US. Optimism that further talks with China on a "phase 2" trade deal might be imminent were overshadowed by the prospect of another trade war, this time with the EU.

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