TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

MutualFundStrategist.com

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, September 6, 2020

For the first time in almost three decades, Australia is officially in recession, two quatres of negative growth - both the March and June quarters.

America’s Nasdaq index (largely comprising tech companies) had its biggest fall since its crash last February/March. The 10-day trend line for the NASDAQ still sits above its 30-day trendline. This suggests the NASDAQ rally since the 23^rd March is not over yet. The 4.3% fall in the index between last Wednesday and Friday is just a pullback. If it falls more than 10% from its Wednesday peak it will be a correction and signal that the bull market is over.

The 10-day trend line for the S&P500 also remains above its 30-day trendline. So its rally is still intact too.

But the story in Australia is not as sanguine. The All Ords index has been drifting sideways for the last three months with the result that its 10-day trendline is just a whisker above its 30-day trendline. It is still bullish, but only just so.

Ironically the All Ords 30-day trendline was on the cusp of breaking above its 300-day trendline which would have confirmed the bear market was over, not just on a short-medium term framework, but also on a medium-long term one. But note that the 30-day trend line is now shying away from the 300-one.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, September 7, 2020

The US Stock Market’s August momentum bled into September to begin the week. Indeed, the S&P 500 notched its 22nd record close of the calendar year, but profit-taking from the mega-caps and growth stocks finally took the significant indices drastically lower by week's end. Notice, the curve-steepening action on Friday basically undid the curve-flattening action from earlier in the week.

The XAU Index closed lower 2.14percent to a level of 149.58. The U.S. Dollar Index improved 0.5percent to 92.79. The CBOE Volatility Indicator increased 33.9percent to 30.75, as investors bought some security against additional weakness in stocks.

Moreover, the S&P 500 finished the week at levels it last traded on August 21. The S&P 500 dropped 2.3 percent, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.3 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.8 percent, and the Russell 2000 dropped 2.7%.

We invite you to sign up for our free Weekly Update editorial here.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 6, 2020

The global US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished higher at 88%.

The global EUR risk rating (GEURR) closed lower at a low-risk reading of 12%.

The global cryptocurrencies basket risk score rose to a new medium risk rating of 40%.

Quick info:

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) is tracking a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.

The broad GEURR is monitoring a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.

Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc.

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, August 31, 2020

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, August 31, 2020

Investors continue to push the market higher in response to a modest decline in U.S. coronavirus cases, authorization for plasma treatment, the prospect of rapid Covid-19 testing, and the Fed's promise to keep rates low. Wishes and hopes seem to be offsetting concerns over a reduction in the flow of stimulus and the lack of any vaccine rollout. The question remains: How severe does the impact of the pandemic have to be to destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) and will buy UPRO when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.56% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +28.53% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 30, 2020

On short to medium-term trend-following the market remains bullish with the All Ords red 10-day trendline still hovering above its green 30-day trendline. But its brown MACD momentum oscillator has gone marginally negative.

On medium to long-term trend analysis the share market is still bearish but only a whisker away from going bullish. Its green Coppock momentum indicator is still negative and falling.

Both globally and locally, gold bullion is still in front of other sectors based on nine-month relative price momentum. Only IVV (USA market) is showing any positive momentum over that time frame. All other sectors (globally non-US developed markets and emerging markets and domestically resources, finance, and commercial property) are still in the doldrums (i.e. exhibiting negative price momentum).

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, August 31, 2020

Stock Market:

Our Teabull.co Stock Market ST Oscillator is located well below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term buy signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Bond Market:

Our Teabull.co Bond Market ST Oscillator is located just above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term sell signal for the major US Government Bond Indexes.

Gold Market:

Our Teabull.co Gold Market ST Oscillator is located slightly above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on August 31/20, we are on a short-term sell signal for the major US Gold Miner Indexes.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Scarecrow Trading

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Last week, the global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 19%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 16, 2020

America’s S&P 500 share price index is now back to its previous high in mid-February. Its V-shaped recovery is confirmed.  But this is largely due to a handful of tech stocks.

Of the 500 biggest US-listed stocks that make up the S&P500, just five (Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Microsoft) boosted the index by $1.61 billion since the start of 2020, while all the other 495 stocks jointly depressed the index by $1.66 billion. Without the digital revolution (which has thrived off the pandemic), the American share market would still be in the doldrums.

After languishing since mid-June, the Australian All Ords share index is now picking up momentum as can be seen in the bottom half of the next chart. The MACD momentum oscillator is now positive. And the index’s red ten-day trend line still sits above its blue 30-day trend line showing it remains bullish over a short-to-medium term framework.

On medium-to-long term trend and momentum indicators, the Australian stock markets remain bearish, though it is inching closer to its 30-day trend line overtaking its 300-day one which would be positive. However, its Coppock momentum indicator is still falling and in negative territory. Until it turns up (as it’s done in America) the bear market can’t be declared over.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

QQQTrading.com

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 9, 2020

Australian market: On short to medium term basis the black All Ords index continues to be bullish since its red 10-day trend line is still above its blue 30-day one. But the distance between the 10-day and 30-day trend lines has narrowed since the market’s price momentum (MACD) went largely negative from the middle of June. What this means is that the market’s positive trend between March 27^th and June 12^th has lost steam. For the past two months, the All Ords index has meandered sideways. 

On a medium to the longer-term basis, the market is still bearish because its red 30-day trend line has not yet caught up to let alone overtaken its 300-day trendline. But the gap between these trend lines is narrowing even though the Coppock momentum indicator is still falling and remains in negative territory. When the Coppock indicator turns up we will know the bear market is over.

American market: The situation in the USA is much more bullish than in Australia and other markets. The S&P500 index’s red 30-day trend line overtook its 300-day trend line on the 4^th June and its Coppock momentum indicator always stayed in positive territory and turned up on the 30^th of June. The flash crash between February 19^th and March 23^rd underwent a quick V-shaped bounce back. The S&P500 index last Friday was only 1% off its record peak on February 19^th. That’s not to say the share index won’t roll over again, but for now, America’s bear market is over.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 9, 2020

The global US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished unchanged at 81%.
The global EUR risk rating (GEURR) closed lower at a low-risk reading of 8%.
The global cryptocurrencies basket risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 25%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) is tracking a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR is monitoring a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

1german

Monday, August 10, 2020

On the 7th of August 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. The signal is netto short (which means netto long "TLT"). (The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

2. The actual 1-Year risk parameters of the QMP-signal allow for a leverage of 2.5 (and are even still much lower than those of the S+P500 even after applying a 2.5 leverage).

3. From the QMP-analyses of single stocks it shows that:

The too low priced have been: H, FUN, PBPB, HLT, NCLH, TMUS, SSP, BOOT, DIS, GDDY, SAIL, and DXC

The too high priced have been: ABC, WEN, BYND, ADT, FTNT, SVMK, AIG, MNK, ATVI, MCHP, UPWK, TWLD, ANET, FOX, LL, CVS, REGN, NYT, ALB, KTB and DBX

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Charles Capital LLC

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 2, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) decreased to a low-risk reading of 5%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed lower at a low-risk indication of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Monday, August 3, 2020

Historically July is a good month for shares in both Australia and America. But August normally marks the start of a slippery slope in both countries that does not reverse until November/December after which shares rally again.

The S&P500 index on Friday rallied strongly and is now almost back to its post-crash peak on July 22^nd. For the past month, the S&P500 has been in an uptrend whereas the All Ords which mimicked Wall Street until a week ago, has continued its fall.

Gold bullion continues to be the frontrunner amongst major asset classes in Australia and beats every major share market globally.

Here's the position of the Australian share market on a short to medium term basis and a medium to long-term one.

The Australian stock market has been drifting sideways since early June. In the last week, its momentum oscillator has been slightly negative. This means it’s still bullish, but losing its edge. The All Ords index is still bearish on a longer-term framework though the gap between its 30-day trendline and its 300-day one continues to narrow. However,  its Coppock momentum indicator remains negative with no sign yet of reversing course.

By contrast, the US stock market’s trend and momentum remain firmly bullish over both time frames. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Reppond Investments, Inc.

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 26, 2020

Here's the short-to-medium term position of the stock market.

The Australian All Ords index’s red 10-day trendline fell below its blue 30-day trendline on the 26^th of February (confirming the market slump) and then reversed position on the 27^th April (confirming the market rally). The market’s MACD momentum oscillator is still positive, but slowing in the last few days.

Trend-tracking gets no better than this since it’s involved no whipsaws, just a sharp drop down and a steady rise up. The All Ords index is now back to the level it was at in December 2019 and only 5% off its all-time peak on the 19^th February.

Here’s how the medium-to-long term position looks.

The market is still bearish, but the All Ords index’s red-30 day trend line is edging closer to its 300-day trendline. The Coppock momentum indicator is in negative territory and still falling. Until it reverses the bear market can’t be declared over.

By contrast, the US share market crash is over. Not only has the S&P 500 index’s red 30-day trend line surpassed its blue 300-day trendline, but its green Coppock momentum oscillator has stayed in positive territory and has now turned up. The crash like that of October 1987 was a flash crash, but unlike then the market has quickly snapped back, the fastest rebound since 1938. Driving the US share market is the technology sector, especially the mega-cap stocks of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, and Alphabet (Google) which are outpacing the S&P 500.

RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 27, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a new medium risk level of 40%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a new medium risk reading of 42%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) increased to a medium risk reading of 49%.
The regional stock risk score for the US, Canada, and Western Europe rose to a new medium reading of 45%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe). 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

PhD Smart Investing

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 20, 2020

The global gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) seeks to measure the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 20, 2020

Investors continue to push the market higher in spite of the spike in coronavirus cases. Wishes and hopes seem to be offsetting concerns over the coronavirus spike in many states and a reduction in the flow of stimulus. The question remains: How high does the spike need to be before the consequences and necessary countermeasures destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy is in UPRO with an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +17.38% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.11% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +14.76% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -14.74% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Monday, July 20, 2020

S&P 500 earnings had a sharp drop in the March quarter. Falls were worst in Energy with Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Communications also hard hit. But for the next three-quarters profits are projected to snap back with the December quarter down only 8% in the same quarter last year. By the second half of next year, earnings are expected to be at an all-time high.

The NASDAQ 100 index compared with the S&P 500 index has reached a level of exuberance exceeding that of 2000.  If the NASDAQ leads the next market downturn, the saving grace for Australia is that less than 4% of its market capitalization comprises tech stocks compared with 27% in America.

Here is where the Australian market was at the close of trading last Friday.

On a short to medium trends perspective, the market still looks bullish.  Its momentum remains negative but less so.  On medium to long term trend analysis, the All Ords index is still bearish.  Its momentum is still negative and falling.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Lussenheide Investment Warrior Report

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Last week the local stock market was weighed down by an increasing standoff between Australia and China (this time over granting immigration visas to Hong Kong residents) and a worrying second wave of COVID-19 infections in Victoria (which has resulted in a new lockdown of Melbourne residents).

The OECD’s composite leading economic indicator for the world shows a sharp rebound in June from its plunge in March and May. 

The short-to-medium term position of the Australian All Ords index remains bullish. Its MACD momentum oscillator has gone slightly negative.

The medium to long term position of the All Ords continues to be bearish. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still negative and falling.

The All Ords index is in the lower band of its long term trend chart. By comparison, the US S&P 500 index is in its upper band on a comparable basis.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Palm Island Investments

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) decreased to a low-risk reading of 14%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed higher at a low-risk indication of 13%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 5, 2020

The financial year 2019/20 posted the worst market return since 2012. The All Ords share price index between Friday 28^th June 2019 and Tuesday 30^th June 2020 fell from almost 6,700 to 6,000; a drop of 10.4%. The flash crash from its high of 7,155 on the 20^th February to its low of 4,464 on the 23^rd March wiped 36.2% off its value. The All Ords index as of last Friday had recovered 62% of the ground it lost in the crash.

The recent market crash and rebound demonstrated the greatest market volatility in the 50-year history of the All Ords index.

On a short to medium-term perspective, the All Ords came close to going bearish at the start of last week, but then picked up momentum to reconfirm the rally it’s enjoyed for the last 15 weeks.

On a medium to long-term horizon, the All Ords is still in a bear market. Its Coppock momentum oscillator is still heading south and in negative territory. As for July, it’s typically the best month of the year for share markets.

Markets remain overvalued notwithstanding most still being well below their highs of February 20^th, 2020. But the clarion call of brokers is “there is no alternative” since Australian shares still deliver average dividends of 4.2% (with a forward estimate of 3.2%) whereas bank term deposits and government bonds yield at best only 1.0%.  That’s what’s driving retail investors into shares.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 6, 2020

Investors continue to focus on glimpses of hope rather than the spike in coronavirus cases. The positive increase in U.S. service sector numbers, the extension of the PPP deadline, probability of another round of stimulus payments, and an uptick in China's stock market seem to be offsetting concerns over the coronavirus spike in many states and a reduction in the flow of stimulus from the Fed. The question remains: How high does the spike need to be before the consequences and necessary countermeasures destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that level at least one day later (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +17.96% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -3.42% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +8.33% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.75% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Crawford Perspectives

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Notwithstanding the All Ords index drifting sideways (with negative momentum) for the last three weeks it is still in the bullish territory on its short to medium term direction. Its medium to long direction has been bearish since the 13^th March. Nevertheless, its Coppock momentum oscillator moved into negative territory on the 5^th June and until it reverses direction we can’t be sure the bear market is over. 

In terms of global markets and domestic asset-classes here is the position at the end of this month.

Globally, gold is still king having recouped some of the ground it lost between the 18^th May and the 9^th of June. America’s S&P 500 index still has positive momentum over the 9 months’ time frame I use. Other Developed Country Markets and Emerging Markets are still in the doldrums. Domestically, Gold also remains in front while the other sectors (Resources, Property, and Finance) continue to show negative momentum over the last 9-months. 

The explanation for Gold’s resurgence is varied. Some say it’s because the upsurge in money printing spells higher inflation in the future. Others say because US interest rates could go negative the US dollar is falling which is making gold more attractive as a hedge.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, June 29, 2020

Investors are struggling to ignore the spike in Covid-19 cases. The Fed's stimulus dollars continue to flow but at a reduced rate. If infections continue to spike then renewed countermeasures may become necessary which would probably destroy optimism, impair future earnings, trigger another correction, and renew the recession.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently when it fell to its stop price (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +16.52% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -5.81% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +1.51% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.89% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a high-risk level of 71%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a high-risk reading of 62%.

Our global stock market risk score (GSMR) remained at a high-risk level. The GSMR closed higher at 63%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather
high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.