TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TrendWerk TAAM

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Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, February 12, 2022

The All-Ords share price index rose by 1.3% over the last week following a 2.1% rise the week before. The market is now back within the price channel established last June. The All-Ords is now 5.2% below its last peak on 4^th January 2022.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish over concerns about central banks planning to cease underwriting bonds and to lift official cash rates to fight high inflation. Worries that the omicron virus outbreak is more debilitating than originally envisaged and the possibility of a Russian invasion of Crimea are also rattling markets though to a lesser extent. 

The US share market and the All-Ords index medium-to-long-term trend remain bullish.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, February 13, 2022

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

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TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David R Kern Asset Management
(David Kern)

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Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 27, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Will stimulus tapering cause disruptions in economies and markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? Will Covid variants continue to impair economies and markets?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash recently when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (cover your assets) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a high-risk score of 93%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 25, 2021

I'll look to close the short position if we are near these 3% support positions on or near September 23. (I bet 4265) I'll consider a long position for the 3-week bounce.

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.  The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market: 

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

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The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ReturnStream LLC
(Vinay Munikoti)

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RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 12, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk rating of 31%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk level of 29%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk score of 39%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 11, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator turned negative again three weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 4.5% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17^th of June returned to being positive two weeks ago. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, July 11, 2021

The down phase through July 8, did not show the down volume to confirm we had the market top, so I expect repeated new highs in the next up phase now through August 6. 

I moved to neutral Friday. I'll look to issue a short-term buy trade signal early next week.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

FibTimer

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Leveraged Momentum

Monday, May 3, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Is the stimulus causing inflation which will lead to higher interest rates and if so for how long and which sectors will be impacted the most? Which sectors have been permanently impaired by the pandemic and various countermeasures? Which sectors will continue to experience growth and higher earnings? Will we reach regional herd immunity or continue to experience Covid-19 outbreaks?

Our LevBands strategy is holding UPRO and has an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +26.18% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +51.52% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

FNGUTrends remains in FNGU ( TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +535.12% since tracking began on 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Broadly, the proprietary market cycle forecast is positive through July 2021, and then generally negative through November 2022. Based on “Price to Peak Earnings,” the fundamental market valuations are at extreme levels only previously seen at the tops in 1929, and at the dot com bubble peak in 2000.

Based on the cycle forecast and the overvalued condition, Stock Index Timing.com sees the possibility of the US Stock Market completing the 18-month “double” since the S&P 2,500 price level in March of 2020, moving to near S&P 5,000 by mid-2021, then doing a complete 18-month retrace returning to near S&P 2,500 by November 2022.

The new Stock Index Timing.com service looks to move with the market, both long and short, in the short term swings as the market moves up another 20% by mid-2021, then falls 50% into the mid-term elections.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 2, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 23%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 28%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 24%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 2, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market in the last three weeks has lost momentum and is stalling again. The All-Ord’s index in mid-April finally surpassed its previous high of 7,255.2 on the 20^th of February 2020. Last week the All-Ords index fell 0.4%, ending a dismal fortnight. Nevertheless, it is still up 3.9% this month. 

Presently, both the short-to-medium-term trend and the medium-to-long term trend analyses are bullish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is now strongly bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Since the index last bottomed on the 24^th of March it is up an amazing 7.5%. But like the Australian All-Ords index, it has stalled for the last fortnight making no advance. Its momentum went negative a week ago.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The Coppock is now at its highest level since July 2010.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Scarecrow Trading 

News Items:

(February 3, 2021)

Developer name changes from W. Wall and Company, Inc to Warren Wall.

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RISXX Inc.

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a medium risk score of 50%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Wall Street had its worst week since October with both the S&P 500 index and the NASDAQ share price indices each falling 3.3%. The All Ords mirrored the souring sentiment falling 2.9% over the last five trading days. The VIX or market fear index jumped in both markets from its recent lows.

Australia's Market: 

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All-Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. The MACD has gyrated from positive to negative and now back again to positive over the last fortnight.

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The Coppock has now gone positive for the first time in eight months.

America’s Market:

America’s S&P500 share index remains bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis with its momentum going positive again last Friday. 

The US stock market has been in a general uptrend since undergoing a double pullback of 9.8% and 7.3% respectively last September and October.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Hg Capital Advisors, LLC 

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 31, 2021

Wall Street had its worst week since October with both the S&P 500 index and the NASDAQ share price indices each falling 3.3%. The All Ords mirrored the souring sentiment falling 2.9% over the last five trading days. The VIX or market fear index jumped in both markets from its recent lows.

Australia's Market: 

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All-Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis.  The MACD went positive just over a week ago but has now gone negative again. That reflects the sharp pullback in the All-Ords index in the past three trading days, the biggest fall since last October.

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. the All-Ords index is just 5.3% short of its previous peak on Thursday 20^th February 2020.

America’s Market:

America’s S&P500 share index remains bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis, though its momentum has gone negative in the last week.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. 

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, January 31, 2021

The US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished lower at 81%.
The EUR (GEURR) risk rating closed unchanged at a low-risk reading of 35%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score increased to a low-risk rating of 16%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TSPFundTrading 

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RISXX Inc.

Monday, January 25, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a high-risk reading of 88%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe increased to a high-risk score of 88%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 24, 2021

The Australian All-Ords share price index closed fractionally lower (-0.1%) for the week.

America's S&P 500 share index fell by a heftier 1.5% after posting record highs the week before.

Australian Market

The share index which broke the 7,000 level on Friday 8^th January and after drifting sideways for two weeks has now risen above that level. Also, its MACD price momentum has finally gone positive These are both good signs that the market has broken out of its eight weed doldrums.

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 2.4% short of its previous peak on Thursday 20^th February 2020.

American Market

America’s S&P500 share index shows its recent negative (MACD) momentum went positive again last Wednesday. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery.  Also, it was such a short flash crash that the index’s long term Coppock momentum indicator never went negative.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

KT Number 

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 17, 2021

The Australian All-Ords share price index closed fractionally lower (-0.1%) for the week.

America's S&P 500 share index fell by a heftier 1.5% after posting record highs the week before.

Australian Market

The share index which on Friday 8^th January broke the 7,000 barriers, has now fallen below that level. Yet its MACD price momentum has become less negative since Christmas, though has still to go positive. Overall, the market has drifted sideways since December 9^th. 

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 3.2% shy of its previous peak on Thursday 20^th February 2020.

American Market

Unlike the Australian All Ords index, America’s S&P500 share index shows its recent positive (MACD) momentum went negative again on Friday as the market became more concerned about the possibility of ongoing economic lockdowns because of the vaccination rollout and take-up may take longer than originally anticipated.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery.  Also, it was such a short flash crash that the index’s long term Coppock momentum indicator never went negative.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 17%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 21%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 15%.
The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe climbed to a low-risk level of 12%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

GoldSilverSystem.com

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RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished higher at a low-risk score of 13%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Australian Market

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December. 

The share index on Friday broke the 7,000 ceiling it last touched on the 17^th December and its MACD price momentum is on the cusp of going positive again.

Since the 20^th of October, the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.  Indeed, the All-Ords index is just 3.2% shy of its previous peak on Thursday 20^th February 2020. 

American Market

America’s Dow Jones share index shows negative (MACD) momentum since 8^th December has gone positive in the last two trading days.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The Dow Jones share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 15^th July (almost 6 weeks after the S&P 500 index did so) confirming the end of America’s bear market and the strength of its V-shaped recovery. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Leveraged Momentum

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 27, 2020

Australian Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well behind us.

American Market

The S&P500 share index has experienced a tougher six months than the All-Ords share index. On the 20^th of October, it plunged to a low that almost rivaled that of the 23^rd of September.  Since then, it has remained strongly bullish on short-to-medium term analysis with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum is still strong.  The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, December 29, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new low-risk reading of 26%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a new low-risk indication of 8%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.