TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market
04/18/2022
TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: SNIPER Market Timing |
(April 6, 2022)
The Ord Oracle ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "The Ord Oracle and The Ord Oracle Precious Metals."
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
(January 28, 2022)
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Developer Information |
Trade History |
Performance Graph |
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Sunday, April 17, 2022 Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR decreased to 27%. |
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Market Timing in Australia
Sunday, April 17, 2022 Australia's Market The All-Ords share price index rose 0.6% last week after falling 0.2% the week before. On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the All-Ords index is bullish. Its price momentum as measured by the MACD oscillator is slightly negative. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020. During the January correction, the index fell below its pre-crash peak of 20th February 2020 but then recovered above it. America's Market America’s S&P500 share index is marginally bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis but will go bearish next week unless the index quickly rebounds. Its MACD momentum indicator is negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish. |
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Friday, April 15, 2022
My current stock market signal is a neutral signal issued on April 11, 2022.
When I moved from a "sell" on the market to "neutral" on Tuesday, I explained that my stock market forecast model has an up-trending market through May 23, and I would be looking for a place to move to a buy signal for a continued bear market bounce. This new bear market has had the characteristic of making huge overnight moves in response to overnight international news, and the Shanghai lockdown situation along with the Ukraine War and upcoming Fed actions leads me to plan on delaying moving to a buy signal for a short term trade and for now hold neutral. |
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Monday, April 18, 2022 Uncertainty regarding the implications of Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation trends, rate increases, less Fed stimulus, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It sold $UPRO again last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and will buy it again when indicated by its algorithm (buy low). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.84% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16. Our LevCrosses strategy sold $UPRO yesterday when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so transactions do impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.37% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18. TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 35.95% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18. Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site. |
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