TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Russia-Ukraine War
03/14/2022
TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: The Ord Oracle |
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
(January 28, 2022)
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Developer Information |
Trade History |
Performance Graph |
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Sunday, March 13, 2022 Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%. |
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Saturday, March 12, 2022 My current stock market signal is a neutral signal issued on Feb 25, 2022. My cycle forecast model had a strong week this past week, but the general downtrend of the bear market kept it basically just chop up and down. My cycle forecast model is up trending through March 23, but because of the general downtrend bear market, I do not expect trending strength. After March 23, my cycles turn negative through April 12, and I expect the broad bear market to accelerate to the downside during the negative short-term cycle. I plan on sitting neutral until the March 23 cycle top. |
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Saturday, March 12, 2022 The All-Ords share price index fell by 0.8% over the last week after a 1.7% % rise the week before. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the main reason, though worries about higher inflation and interest rates and slowing world growth also dampen investor sentiment. On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. This is adding to existing worries about central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish is quickly narrowing. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins. |
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Monday, March 14, 2022 Uncertainty regarding Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It bought $UPRO last week when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low) after selling it the week before when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm after (cover your assets). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 20.96% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16. Our LevCrosses strategy sold $UPRO Friday when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). $UPRO will be bought again when its indicator turns positive (buy low). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so this does impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.67% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18. TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 32.64% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18. |
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