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TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Todd Market Forecast
(Steve Todd)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 26, 2022

On short-to-medium term trend analysis both the Australian and US equity markets have gone bullish notwithstanding fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. Also, investors seem to have shrugged off concerns about runaway inflation prompting central banks to withdraw support for bonds and lift official cash rates.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets are bullish though they came close to going bearish in mid-March. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 26, 2022
 
My current stock market signal is a sell signal issued on March 21, 2022. 

My short-term cycles are negative through April 12.

In February the market declined more than 10% in less than ten trading days. "IF" the bear market remains in force, the decline over the next few weeks should be greater than the February decline.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market is overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. 

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not climaxed to the downside and suggests the pattern of lower highs and lower low market declines will continue. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive

Nasdaq -  Positive

Russell 2000 -  Positive

Gold - Positive

Silver - Neutral 

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View of the Market

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

I believe we are approaching the most important investment decision of the next 50 years.

Like the 1970s, the Government has used inflation to devalue our debt to make it seem small relative to GDP.  They are raising GDP through inflation to make the debt more manageable. 
 
I believe over the next 10 months the market will set a low that will stand as the beginning of a 300% rise. 
 
The S&P fell 15% from the high to the recent low. I believe somewhere around 25% to 30% down (30% down from 4800 is around 3000) will be the buying opportunity of the next 50 years.
 
The NASDAQ decline could be 50% or 60%. The Russell small cap decline could be 40% or 50%.

Market Timing in Australia

The All-Ords share price index rose by 3.2% last week after a 0.8% fall the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish has significantly narrowed. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Russia-Ukraine War

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

The Ord Oracle

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, March 13, 2022

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 12, 2022

My current stock market signal is a neutral signal issued on Feb 25, 2022. 

My cycle forecast model had a strong week this past week, but the general downtrend of the bear market kept it basically just chop up and down. My cycle forecast model is up trending through March 23, but because of the general downtrend bear market, I do not expect trending strength. After March 23, my cycles turn negative through April 12, and I expect the broad bear market to accelerate to the downside during the negative short-term cycle.

I plan on sitting neutral until the March 23 cycle top.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 12, 2022

The All-Ords share price index fell by 0.8% over the last week after a 1.7% % rise the week before. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the main reason, though worries about higher inflation and interest rates and slowing world growth also dampen investor sentiment.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. This is adding to existing worries about central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish, though the headspace before they turn bearish is quickly narrowing. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 14, 2022

Uncertainty regarding Russia's attack on Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It bought $UPRO last week when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low) after selling it the week before when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm after (cover your assets). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 20.96% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy sold $UPRO Friday when its indicator turned negative (cover your assets). $UPRO will be bought again when its indicator turns positive (buy low). LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix so this does impact the Optimum Mix positions/percentages. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.67% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 32.64% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 125.49% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Equity Defense

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 7, 2022

Uncertainty regarding Russia's attack of Ukraine, supply chain issues, inflation, rate increases, lower earnings growth, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash. It bought $UPRO Monday when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low) after selling it the week before when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm after (cover your assets). The higher incidence of whipsaw when using this strategy seems to be the primary factor causing its long-term return to be lower than the Leveraged Crosses (LevCrosses) strategy--and that lower return is the reason LevCrosses is a component of the Optimum Mix rather than LevBands. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 21.04% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.  Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.20% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 31.69% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 127.38% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, March 6, 2022

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR increased to 27%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 100%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score remained unchanged at a high-risk rating of 92%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, March 5, 2022

The Stock Index Commitments of Traders suggests a strong market is ahead. I will be looking for this bounce to be a lower peak than the February high and then turn down heading for a low lower than the late February low by my next cycle forecast low near April 12. I do not plan on trying to trade the forecast bounce over the next two weeks because when in a downtrend, there is always a potential for overnight events to trigger declines.

Comment on indicators: 

The forecast model looks for a bounce into late March.

The comparison of the current market top to the 1929 classic top pattern shows the market pattern will continue in the potential high volatility window through April.

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. 

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has NOT climaxed to the downside and suggests the pattern of lower highs and lower low market declines will continue. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Positive
Nasdaq -  Positive
Russell 2000 -  Positive
Gold - Negative 
Silver - Neutral 
Swiss - Neutral positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 5, 2022

The All-Ords share price index rose by 1.7% over the last week after a 3.1% fall the week before.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish on fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will destabilize Europe and push up already high oil, gas, and grain prices. This is adding to existing worries of central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation.

Before Russia’s move, a Bank of America fund manager survey found that a staggering 83% of respondents cited the monetary policy as the greatest risk to market stability in 2022. That suggested monetary tightening was the only issue weighing heavily on investors' minds.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis, both markets remain bullish through the headspace before they turn bearish is quickly narrowing. Notwithstanding rising interest rates, a rolling pandemic, and now the Ukraine war, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.