TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Mojena Market Timing

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

 

(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
 
(January 28, 2022)
ReturnStream LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
 
(January 3, 2022)
Volatimer ends the tracking of all active strategies.

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, February 20, 2022

Our US stock market risk score rose to a medium risk rating of 54%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a medium risk level of 58%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a new medium risk score of 47%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., the US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, February 19, 2022

The All-Ords share price index fell by 0.2% over the last week following a 1.3% rise the week before. The All-Ords is now 5.3% below its peak on 4th January 2022.

On short-to-medium term trend analysis, the Australian and US equity markets are bearish reflecting concerns about central banks withdrawing support for bonds and lifting official cash rates to fight runaway inflation.

Worries about the disruptive impact of the omicron virus, higher oil and gas prices, and the possibility of a Russian invasion of Crimea are also rattling markets though to a lesser extent. Indeed, a Bank of America fund manager survey found that a staggering 83% of respondents cited the monetary policy as the greatest risk to market stability in 2022.

On medium-to-long term trend analysis both markets remain bullish and the correction in stock price indices, other than the NASDAQ, has partially reversed. Notwithstanding rising interest rates and a rolling pandemic, the outlook for company earnings globally remains strong. And many companies are using temporary supply shortages to permanently increase their prices and thereby their profit margins. 

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, February 19, 2022

My next Stock Market Cycle Forecast turning point is a low next week, then bounce to March 23.

Comparison of the current market top  to the 1929 Classic top pattern:

The Dow Jones Utility average looks like it is on the edge of the 1929 top pattern cliff and about to crash. If we get an interest rate surprise or energy price surprise we could see the utilities crash and spread the crash to the general market.

If we don't see an increase in negative volume, I will consider moving to neutral early in the coming week.

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%. Our market lows so far of off 12% suggests we will see lower lows in the next few weeks.

New Active Traders Index (volume):

Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume. Watch for increasing daily volume to the downside as an indicator of trouble possibly developing into a panic.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Neutral

Nasdaq -  Neutral - near positive

Russell 2000 -  Positive

Gold - Neutral 

Silver - Neutral 

Swiss - Neutral

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 

Comments