TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Dynamic Investing
(Thomas M. Lester)

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, January 31, 2022

Uncertainty regarding inflation rate increases, Russia's threat to Ukraine, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.

Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash as it sold $UPRO recently due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and then bought it back again yesterday when it rose to its indicator (buy low). The LevBands strategy will sell $UPRO again when it falls to the price indicated by its algorithm. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.12% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see 33.47% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 48.67% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends sold FNGU recently when it fell to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). This strategy will buy FNGU when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 184.37% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, January 30, 2022

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed unchanged at a high-risk rating of 100%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a high-risk score of 100%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) tracks sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds).

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, January 29, 2022

The Stock Market Cycle Forecast has an extended decline next week, a choppy bounce to Feb 16, then a decline to Feb 21.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%. Our market lows so far of off 12% suggests we will see lower lows in the next few weeks.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume suggest the true market top was in mid-November, and the market break so far does not appear to have set a bottom for the first tradable bounce in what I expect will be called the new bear market and lasts through the end of 2022.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Sell

Nasdaq -  Sell

Russell 2000 -  Neutral / Sell

Gold - Neutral 

Silver - Neutral 

Swiss - Neutral 

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, January 29, 2022

Australia's Market

The All-Ords fell by 3.0% over the last week following a 2.9% fall the week before. It is now down by 8.3% since its last peak on the 4^th of January.

The Australian stock market is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator is now deeply negative. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.

Within Australia, Gold (GOLD) has overtaken Property (SLF.ax) in the front spot on a nine months’ momentum price basis. Finance (OZF.ax) is running third and Resources (QRE.ax) last. Both Finance and Resources are trailing Cash (AAA.ax).

America’s Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator is now deeply negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish.

Globally, the US Market (IVV.ax) has kept its lead with Gold (GOLD.ax) in second place and Other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) in third. Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) is languishing last because of Covid-19’s heavy toll on poorer countries.

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