TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:
(January 29, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."
(January 28, 2022)
(January 19, 2022)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all active strategies.
(January 3, 2022)
(December 27, 2021)
Armando Alizo ends the tracking of 2 strategies called "Alizo Market Indicator and MDCM Portfolio".
(December 22, 2021)
(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and add two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."
Monday, January 31, 2022
Uncertainty regarding inflation rate increases, Russia's threat to Ukraine, and the pandemic continues to cause volatility.
Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whipsaw whiplash as it sold $UPRO recently due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and then bought it back again yesterday when it rose to its indicator (buy low). The LevBands strategy will sell $UPRO again when it falls to the price indicated by its algorithm. Click through to TimerTrac to see a 25.12% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.
Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see 33.47% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 48.67% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
Sunday, January 30, 2022
The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed unchanged at a high-risk rating of 100%.
Saturday, January 29, 2022
The Stock Market Cycle Forecast has an extended decline next week, a choppy bounce to Feb 16, then a decline to Feb 21.
Comment on indicators:
PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%. Our market lows so far of off 12% suggests we will see lower lows in the next few weeks.
New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume suggest the true market top was in mid-November, and the market break so far does not appear to have set a bottom for the first tradable bounce in what I expect will be called the new bear market and lasts through the end of 2022.
S&P 500 - Sell
Nasdaq - Sell
Russell 2000 - Neutral / Sell
Gold - Neutral
Silver - Neutral
Swiss - Neutral
Saturday, January 29, 2022
The All-Ords fell by 3.0% over the last week following a 2.9% fall the week before. It is now down by 8.3% since its last peak on the 4th of January.
The Australian stock market is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator is now deeply negative. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20th of October 2020.
Within Australia, Gold (GOLD) has overtaken Property (SLF.ax) in the front spot on a nine months’ momentum price basis. Finance (OZF.ax) is running third and Resources (QRE.ax) last. Both Finance and Resources are trailing Cash (AAA.ax).
America’s S&P500 share index is bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator is now deeply negative. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum indicators remain bullish.
Globally, the US Market (IVV.ax) has kept its lead with Gold (GOLD.ax) in second place and Other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) in third. Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) is languishing last because of Covid-19’s heavy toll on poorer countries.
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