Broadcast

Sunday, December 26, 2021

I am currently on a neutral signal and expect to stay neutral until the end of the year. My cycle forecast is generally favorable to the end of the year. After January 1, my cycles are choppy, a 3-day spurt into January 14, then heavy down. Almost ANYTHING could trigger the decline to begin early January, or even before year-end.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: There are no dominant cycle movements between now and early January. I expect a heavy decline in the last half of January.

New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume is negative and has signaled a bear market.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Sell

Nasdaq - Sell

Russell 2000 - Neutral / Sell

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Saturday, December 25, 2021

Australia's Market

Santa Claus finally arrived at the ASX boosting the Australian All-Ords share price index by 1.6% last week after falling by 0.5% the week before. Nevertheless, All Ords is still trapped within its price channel established last June. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market is now bullish again having achieved that status last Friday. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since the 20^{th of}October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its red 10-day trendline sits above its green 30-day trendline. Its MACD momentum indicator went positive again last Thursday. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, December 26, 2021

Our US stock market risk score sunk to a new low-risk rating of 23%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a new low-risk level of 24%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a lo-risk score of 26%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 06:52 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

12/20/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Joey Investment

News Items:

(November 9, 2021)

TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."

(November 2, 2021)

PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."

(October 23, 2021)

Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."

(October 15, 2021)

TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."

(October 3, 2021)

Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, December 19, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a high-risk score of 71%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Saturday, December 18, 2021

My cycle forecast is generally favorable into early January, and near the bottom early Wednesday I moved to a buy signal. On Friday morning the Small-Cap and the Nasdaq fell to the early December lows and their Advance-Decline Volumes triggered sell signals so I returned to neutral for a scratch trade. I prefer to follow my cycle forecast model but I understand that averaging 50 years of data does not reflect unusual circumstances. The breakdown of the Advance-Decline volume and the negative cycle forecast starting early January could be a sign of trouble just ahead.

My best guess is I will stay neutral through the end of the year.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: There are no dominant cycle movements between now and early January. Events like a tax hike could have a big impact. The markets cycle is broadly negative for most of 2022.

New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume is negative and has signaled a bear market.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Sell

Nasdaq - Sell

Russell 2000 - Neutral / Sell

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, December 20, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whiplash as it sold $UPRO again last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). $UPRO will be bought again when it rises to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see 25.51% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see 31.99% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 53.10% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in $FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see 210.52% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index fell by 0.5% increased 1.6% last week after increasing by 1.6% the week before. It continues to yo-yo sideways in the price channel established last June. On short-medium term trend analysis the Australian market went bullish on October 20^th this year but on November 29^th went bearish. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since the 20^{th of}October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis having briefly skirted going bearish. Its MACD momentum indicator has been positive for the last week. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 07:07 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

12/13/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Taljit Sandhu

News Items:

(November 9, 2021)

TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."

(November 2, 2021)

PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."

(October 23, 2021)

Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."

(October 15, 2021)

TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."

(October 3, 2021)

Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, December 12, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index increased 1.6% last week after losing 0.7% the week before. It continues to seesaw sideways in the price channel established last June. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20^th this year but on Monday, November 29^th went bearish. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.

America's Market

The Australian stock market is bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went positive in the last two trading days. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^thof October 2020. The index is still above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, December 12, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR increased to 19%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 77%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score rose to a new high-risk rating of 62%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Sunday, December 12, 2021

I moved to neutral after a nice gain earlier in the week and have been on the sidelines stalking the market top.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: There are no dominant cycle movements between now and early January. Events like a tax hike could have a big impact. The markets cycle is broadly negative for most of 2022.

New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume is negative and has signaled a bear market.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Sell

Nasdaq - Sell

Russell 2000 - Neutral / Sell

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 08:56 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

12/06/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Lighthouse Financial
(Ken Brackett)

News Items:

(November 9, 2021)

TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."

(November 2, 2021)

PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."

(October 23, 2021)

Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."

(October 15, 2021)

TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."

(October 3, 2021)

Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, December 5, 2021

The 5% decline in the S&P in the first seven trading days after the high, in both volatility and pattern, are strong signs that we are passed a significant market top. If the top is in place, the bounce my cycle forecast suggests between now and January could just be a choppy half-back correction.

I will consider moving to neutral after a few days of strength.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into mid-January.

New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has signaled a bear market.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Neutral / Buy

Nasdaq - Neutral / Sell

Russell 2000 - Neutral / Sell

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Sunday, December 5, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index fell 0.7% last week after losing 1.7% the week before. It continues to seesaw sideways in the price channel established last June. On short-medium term trend analysis the Australian market went bullish on October 20^th this year but last Monday, November 29^th went bearish. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is still bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis but on the cusp of going bearish. But its MACD momentum indicator has been negative for the last twelve days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.