TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Dynamic Investing
(Thomas M. Lester)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

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Developer Information

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       Trade           History

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Performance Graph


Sunday, November 28, 2021

Our US stock market risk score rose to a new high-risk rating of 62%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a new high-risk level of 63%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a new medium risk score of 59%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., the US stock market).

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, November 28, 2021

After an end-of-month wash-out, I look for a strong tradable bounce into mid-January. I will look to exit the short market position early in the week and look for a buy by the end of the week.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into mid-January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has NOT been weak enough to call the bear has begun. Likely new highs still ahead. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Neutral / Buy

Nasdaq - Neutral / Buy

Russell 2000 -  Neutral / Buy

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 29, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whiplash as it sold $UPRO last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and then bought it back again yesterday (Monday) when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 28.21% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see 36.21% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 59.53% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends remains in $FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see 287.15% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 28, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index fell 1.7% last week after losing 0.5% the week before. It continues to seesaw sideways in the price channel established last June.   On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. But its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last seven days with a sharp fall on Friday. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish.  The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

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