TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Fidelity Timer
(Thomas M. Lester)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

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Developer Information

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       Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, November 13, 2021

I returned to a sell signal on November 8, at S&P 4702, just 16 points off the all-time high. 

My cycle forecast model suggests the pattern for the rest of November will be like the pattern in September with lows at the end of the month. If the November decline falls below the end of September low, we likely have the major cycle high behind us and the bear market has begun. If we do not fall below the September low by the end of November, the market could continue to make new highs into January.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not broken down. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 -  Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 14, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index lost 0.1% last week after jumping 1.8% the week before. It’s still within the price channel traced out since last June. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator remains mildly positive. America’s higher than expected annual inflation rate to October (6.2%), the highest in thirty years, fuelled fears that the Federal Reserve Bank will lift its cash rate and end quantitative easing (buying government and mortgage bonds) earlier than foreshadowed.


Sunday, November 14, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR remained unchanged at 42%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 85%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 17%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

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