TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
11/15/2021
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(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."
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Trade History |
Performance Graph |
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Saturday, November 13, 2021 I returned to a sell signal on November 8, at S&P 4702, just 16 points off the all-time high. My cycle forecast model suggests the pattern for the rest of November will be like the pattern in September with lows at the end of the month. If the November decline falls below the end of September low, we likely have the major cycle high behind us and the bear market has begun. If we do not fall below the September low by the end of November, the market could continue to make new highs into January. Comment on indicators: Price to Peak Earnings PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%. Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January. New Active Traders Index (volume) Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not broken down. COT updates: S&P 500 - Negative Nasdaq - Negative Russell 2000 - Neutral Gold - Positive Silver - Positive Swiss - Positive |
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Sunday, November 14, 2021 Australia's Market The Australian All-Ords share price index lost 0.1% last week after jumping 1.8% the week before. It’s still within the price channel traced out since last June. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020. America's Market America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator remains mildly positive. America’s higher than expected annual inflation rate to October (6.2%), the highest in thirty years, fuelled fears that the Federal Reserve Bank will lift its cash rate and end quantitative easing (buying government and mortgage bonds) earlier than foreshadowed. |
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Sunday, November 14, 2021 Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR remained unchanged at 42%. |
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