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TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Dynamic Investing
(Thomas M. Lester)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
 
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
 
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
 
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
 
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
 
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, November 28, 2021

Our US stock market risk score rose to a new high-risk rating of 62%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a new high-risk level of 63%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a new medium risk score of 59%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., the US stock market).

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, November 28, 2021

After an end-of-month wash-out, I look for a strong tradable bounce into mid-January. I will look to exit the short market position early in the week and look for a buy by the end of the week.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into mid-January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has NOT been weak enough to call the bear has begun. Likely new highs still ahead. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Neutral / Buy

Nasdaq - Neutral / Buy

Russell 2000 -  Neutral / Buy

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 29, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whiplash as it sold $UPRO last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets) and then bought it back again yesterday (Monday) when it rose to the price indicated by its algorithm (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see a 28.21% annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see 36.21% annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see 59.53% annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.  FNGUTrends remains in $FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see 287.15% annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 28, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index fell 1.7% last week after losing 0.5% the week before. It continues to seesaw sideways in the price channel established last June.   On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. But its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last seven days with a sharp fall on Friday. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish.  The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
 
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
 
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
 
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
 
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
 
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 21, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index lost 0.5% last week after losing 0.1% the week before. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. But its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last three days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.  

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, November 21, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a medium risk score of 43%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, November 20, 2021

My cycle forecast model suggests an accelerated decline to a December 2 low.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has started to break down. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 -  Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Fidelity Timer
(Thomas M. Lester)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 9, 2021)
TSP Timing changes the name of a strategy from "TSP Timing" to "TSP Timing-Election Cycle Strategy."
 
(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
 
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
 
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
 
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
 
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, November 13, 2021

I returned to a sell signal on November 8, at S&P 4702, just 16 points off the all-time high. 

My cycle forecast model suggests the pattern for the rest of November will be like the pattern in September with lows at the end of the month. If the November decline falls below the end of September low, we likely have the major cycle high behind us and the bear market has begun. If we do not fall below the September low by the end of November, the market could continue to make new highs into January.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not broken down. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 -  Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 14, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index lost 0.1% last week after jumping 1.8% the week before. It’s still within the price channel traced out since last June. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator remains mildly positive. America’s higher than expected annual inflation rate to October (6.2%), the highest in thirty years, fuelled fears that the Federal Reserve Bank will lift its cash rate and end quantitative easing (buying government and mortgage bonds) earlier than foreshadowed.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, November 14, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR remained unchanged at 42%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 85%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 17%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Ploutos WealthBroadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(November 2, 2021)
PhD Smart Investing changes the name of a strategy from "PhD Smart Investing quicker trade" to "PhD Smart Investing Freedom."
 
(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
 
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
 
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
 
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, November 7, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a high-risk rating of 65%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe changed to a new medium risk score of 52%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) tracks sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds).

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, November 6, 2021

My cycle forecast model had the bounce to November 7, and now has a decline to the end of the month, then a rise to mid-January. I will look to move to a sell signal on Monday. 

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not broken down. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 -  Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, November 6, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian All-Ords share price index jumped 1.8% last week after falling 1.1% the week before. On short-medium term trend analysis, the Australian market went bullish on October 20th this year. Last week’s rise in the All Ords confirmed that. On long-term trend analysis, it has been bullish since 20th October 2020. Australian shares ended the week at their highest since mid-September after the Reserve Bank reaffirmed it foresees no rate rises next year.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator went strongly positive three weeks ago. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.  

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ReturnStream LLCBroadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(October 23, 2021)
Intrepid Timer adds a new strategy to be tracked called "Intrepid Timer UAPIX."
 
(October 15, 2021)
TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."
 
(October 3, 2021)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."
 
(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, October 30, 2021

On both short-to-medium and medium-to-long-term trend analysis, the Australian and American equity markets are bullish.

Within Australia, Finance (OZF.ax) continues as the front running industry sector on a nine months’ momentum price basis. Property (SLF.ax) is running third while Resources (QRE.ax) plunged in the last two months as China cut its steel imports and the price of iron ore halved. Gold (GOLD.ax) is still in the doldrums.

Globally, the US Market (IVV.ax) has kept its lead with other Developed Markets (IVE.ax) in the second spot. Emerging Markets (IEM.ax) is languishing in third place. Gold (GOLD.ax) remains the poor cousin.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, October 31, 2021

Our US stock market risk score rose to a low-risk rating of 26%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk level of 25%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk score of 26%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) tracks 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, October 31, 2021

My cycle forecast model has a bounce to November 7, then a decline to the end of the month, then a rise to mid-January. I look to return to a sell signal prior to November 7. 

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Look for a low at the end of November and a bounce into January.

New Active Traders Index (volume)  Combined NYSE and Nasdaq advance-decline volume has not broken down. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 -  Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.