Broadcast

Sunday, October 24, 2021

My cycle forecast model has a low mid-week followed by a bounce to November 7.

The 20% drop in the market value of the 30 year US Bond over the past year is a clear warning that the major stock market top is at hand. Expect very serious market losses when we see an increase in market volume to the downside and a VIX back above 20.

Saturday, October 25, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian share market last Wednesday went bullish on short-medium term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator kept strengthening until Friday when it took a breather. It’s been bullish on medium-long term trend analysis for the past year. Notwithstanding its recent fall, the index is still above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is now bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went strongly positive the previous week. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish.

Sunday, October 24, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a medium risk score of 43%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 04:03 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

10/18/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Hg Capital Advisors, LLC
(Dennis Shaw)

News Items:

(October 15, 2021)

TimingPundit ends the tracking of three strategies called "TimingPundit UltraPro Long, L/S, and L/S Leveraged."

(October 3, 2021)

Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a new medium risk level. The GUSDR rose to 42%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 85%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score rose to a low-risk rating of 30%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Saturday, October 16, 2021

We must be on the watch for the possibility of extreme volatility over the next three weeks.

I look for Gold above $2,000 by the end of January.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929,1901. Market lows in the first 90 days after these highs were 19%,41%,15%, 14%, 49%,15%.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Australia's Market

The All-Ords index rose 0.7% last week after rising 1.7% the week before. It has now broken out of its downward channel but is still 2.8% below its last peak on Friday 13^th August. The Australian share market remains slightly bearish on short-medium term trend analysis but is bullish on medium-long term trend analysis.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is fractionally bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went strongly positive last Thursday and Friday. If it sustains that the index will go bullish next week. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 08:36 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

10/11/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Glance Financial Advisors LLC
(Paul Glance & Brian Glance)

News Items:

(October 3, 2021)

Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of two strategies called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: Emerging Markets and Gold."

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Saturday, October 9, 2021

Australia's Market:

The All-Ords index rose 1.7% last week after dropping 2.1% the week before. The index is still 3.6% below its last peak on Friday 13^th August. Although steadying for now it remains within a downtrend channel. The Australian share market is bearish on short-medium term trend analysis but remains bullish on medium-long term trend analysis.

America's Market:

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Sunday, October 10, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a high-risk rating of 98%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a high-risk score of 100%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) tracks sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds).

Sunday, October 10, 2021

A week ago, we started a short term bounce from S&P 4278 (last week I targeted 4265) that I think should run to near S&P 4400-4450, (Thursday's high was 4430). Now, I believe we will have another down move into the end of October, target S&P 4150, possibly 4000.

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extreme overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broke down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, October 4, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Our LevBands strategy continues to experience whiplash and sold $UPRO again last week due to its price falling to the price indicated by its algorithm (cover your assets). $UPRO will be bought when it rises to the price indicated by its algorithm which is currently $119.10 (buy low). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding $UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (cover your assets). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18. TQQQTrends remains in $TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18. FNGUTrends remains in $FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public. Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com. TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.

Posted at 08:54 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, ETF, Financial Freedom, Fundamental Analysis, Index Fund, Invest, Market Signal, Mutual Fund, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Stock Charts, Stock Market News, Stock Market Update, Stock Trading, Strategy, Wall Street, Wealth Management

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

10/04/2021

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Trend Focused Investor (TFI)
(MJ Chevalier)

News Items:

(August 3, 2021)

BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."

(July 31, 2021)

MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.

(July 14, 2021)

Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."

(June 11, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.

(April 16, 2021)

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."

(April 13, 2021)

RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."

(April 6, 2021)

ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."

(March 18, 2021)

Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."

(March 15, 2021)

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Saturday, October 2, 2021

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Neutral

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18^th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^thof October 2020. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market:

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its red 10-day trendline sits just above its blue 30-day trendline. Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.