TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David R Kern Asset Management
(David Kern)

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 27, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Will stimulus tapering cause disruptions in economies and markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? Will Covid variants continue to impair economies and markets?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash recently when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (cover your assets) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a high-risk score of 93%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 25, 2021

I'll look to close the short position if we are near these 3% support positions on or near September 23. (I bet 4265) I'll consider a long position for the 3-week bounce.

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.  The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market: 

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

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