TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David R Kern Asset Management
(David Kern)

News Items:

Developer Information

       Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, September 27, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Will stimulus tapering cause disruptions in economies and markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? Will Covid variants continue to impair economies and markets?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash recently when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (cover your assets) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/10/18.

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. Click through to TimerTrac to see the annualized return since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a high-risk score of 93%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 25, 2021

I'll look to close the short position if we are near these 3% support positions on or near September 23. (I bet 4265) I'll consider a long position for the 3-week bounce.

I look for strong Gold through January.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Over the next few months I look for month-end lows, September, October, and November, with bounces the first week of each month.

New Active Traders Index (volume) NYSE volume has broken down and Nasdaq volume has not YET confirmed. Heavy Nasdaq volume will be the key to timing the big part of the decline.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Australia's Market:

The Australian stock market is now bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020.  The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market: 

America’s S&P500 share index is now bearish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator went negative on September 8^th. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily bullish. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Bowpoint Capital

(Steve Ruoff)

News Items:

Developer Information

       Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, September 18, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is now marginally bearish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18^th. On medium-to-long term trend analysis, the All-Ords index has been bullish since the 20^th of October 2020. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is marginally bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last eight trading days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 19, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a new medium risk level. The GUSDR sunk to 42%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished unchanged at a high-risk reading of 65%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score remained unchanged at a low-risk rating of 4%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 18, 2021

My next cycle forecast low date is September 23, and 3% down from the S&P 500 high is 4400, 6% down is 4265 and 9% down is 4130. These levels are very close to the August, July, and June lows. Big up leg in gold should start next week and run through January.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Next short-term target low September 23.

New Active Traders Index (volume) has not yet confirmed the bear. 

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TimingPundit
(Mike O'Bryant)

News Items:

Developer Information

       Trade           History

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 11, 2021

My next cycle forecast low date is September 23, and 3% down from the S&P 500 high is 4400, 6% down is 4265 and 9% down is 4130. These levels are very close to the August, July, and June lows.

I'll look to close the short position if we are near these 3% support positions on or near September 23. (I bet 4265) Then I'll look to re short on a half-back bounce.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Next short-term target low September 23.

New Active Traders Index (volume) has not yet confirmed the bear. We need falling markets on increasing volume to confirm the bear.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, September 12, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is still bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis, but its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18^th.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went negative in the last three trading days.  The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 12, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a medium risk rating of 55%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a low-risk score of 54%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR comprises three regional risk ratings.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Pickens Asset Management, LLC
(David Pickens)

News Items:

Developer Information

       Trade           History

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, September 5, 2021

Our US stock market risk score rose to a low-risk rating of 23%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk level of 21%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk score of 18%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, September 4, 2021

By the end of the year, I expect we will see stocks fall 10% to 15%, and gold rise 10% to new all-time highs.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Next short-term target low September 23.

New Active Traders Index (volume) confirmed a new S&P high so we have not yet had the key beginning move in the next bear.

We will be able to call an imminent aggressive decline by seeing a 5% to 7% decline in the first 5 to 7 days after the top, or a relentless down-trending market of lower lows and lower highs by seeing a 4% to 6% drop over the first 5 to 7 days after the top.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, September 4, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is still bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis.  The All Ords red 10-day trend line remains above its dark green 30-day one, but its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18^th.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

American's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator has been positive for the last six trading days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.