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TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

TRADEWINDS
(J. Scott Bailey )
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."
 
(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

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Developer Information

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       Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, August 28, 2021

Australia's Market 

The Australian stock market is still bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis, but its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator has been negative since August 18th.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis.  The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator went roughly neutral in the last three days after being negative for the previous five days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  Amazingly, the index is now way above its peak before the crash of 2020.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 29, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a high-risk score of 93%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, August 28, 2021

The Dow high was August 13. I expect a hard down next week and as the second down leg after the high, it might get very aggressive. If it is, then we can say the bear has begun. I think it will be a hard down next week. Friday's close of 35,120.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Heavy decline next week

New Active Traders Index (volume) confirmed a new S&P high. "IF" we have a turn down next week it would need to be VERY aggressive to cancel the confirmed volume high.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Scarecrow Trading

(Len Fox)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."
 
(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

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Developer Information

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       Trade           History

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 22, 2021

Our US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a new low-risk level. The GUSDR finished lower at 15%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished higher at a high-risk reading of 65%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score remained unchanged at a low-risk rating of 4%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, August 21, 2021

Australia's Market

Notwithstanding last week’s setback, the Australian stock market remains bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis but its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went negative in the last three days.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index exceeds its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis but its MACD momentum indicator went negative again in the last three days. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, August 21, 2021

The 3.6% four-day decline, high to low, in the Dow, does not yet suggest the market top is in place. We need to break July's 33,629 low IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS if the bear has started. That would be a 1,500 point drop (4%) from Friday's close of 35,120.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Choppy up next week followed by heavy decline following week

New Active Traders Index (volume) needs to go heavy to the downside to confirm the new bear.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

GreenKeeper Market Timing Services
(Michael L. Key)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(August 3, 2021)
BluStar Market Insights used to be BluStar Market Timer. They end two strategies and adds two new strategies to be tracked called "BluStar Stock Market and Precious Metals."
 
(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, August 14, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator had been negative for five weeks but went positive again three weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis and is now 8.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 16th of July has moved to a broadly neutral stance in the last three weeks. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The index is now 31.9% above its peak before the crash of 2020. 

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, August 14, 2021

I look for a 4% to 6% decline over the next 5 to 7 trading days.

Comment on indicators: 

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extreme overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Heavy decline next week would signal the start of the new bear.

New Active Traders Index (volume) confirmed the new market highs, but volume concentration in just a few stocks is very concerning.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 15, 2021

Our global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a low-risk rating of 27%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe remained unchanged at a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR comprises three regional risk ratings.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Signal Research Group, LLC
(Matthew Spangler)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

BluStar Market Insights

Monday, August 9, 2021

The stock market looks like it is in its last few days of this mighty bull market run since March 23, 2020.  Ideally, we top mid-week this week. The precious metals could have a huge 5 trading day spike up into the 16th of August, which is a sign to me that we are going into a new bear phase that could easily last into October.

All the classic signs are there: RSI, MACD, Stochastics, OBV, and A/D line failures amongst many others.  The ideal 16.5 month top was due on July 7th but is running 5 weeks late. We are also in the final phase of Benner's Cycle, which last saw the 2000-2003 and 1987 bear markets and also 34 FIB years since 1987 and 89 FIB Year's since the 1932 low.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator had been negative for five weeks but went positive again a fortnight ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 7.6% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 16th of July has slowed to a neutral stance in the last fortnight. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now 30.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, August 7, 2021

We are on a short-term sell signal. Short term, my cycle forecast model has the next two weeks down. I look for this decline to be greater than the near 5% decline in mid-July.

Comment on indicators: 

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Long decline into the end of November made up of two-week short-term drops followed by a week or so of corrective pause. Just slam pause, slam pause over and over until the end of the year.

New Active Traders Index (volume) failed to confirm the new market highs.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 8, 2021

The US stock market risk sunk to a low-risk rating of 17%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a low-risk level of 18%.

The global stock risk rating decreased to a low-risk score of 17%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Two Corner
(James Gritton)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(July 31, 2021)
MIPS Timing Systems LLC ends the tracking of three strategies and changes the names of all other strategies.
 
(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Gold Risk Update - 08/01/2021
Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a new low-risk score of 21%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator had been negative for five weeks but went positive again in the last week. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 5.6% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 16th of July returned to being positive last week. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. Amazingly, the index is now 29.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Long term, my cycle forecast model has weakness in the market now through the November 2022 election.

Comment on indicators: 

Volume is NOT confirming the new market highs.  

I will look for a sell for the next cycle forecast downswing from August 5 to August 19

I don't expect a tradable bounce until the end of November.  

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Bounce to August 3-6, then long decline into the end of November.

New Active Traders Index (volume) failed to confirm the new market highs.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.