Previous month:
June 2021
Next month:
August 2021

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

MutualFundStrategist.com
(Holly Hooper-Fournier)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, July 25, 2021

I plan to hold my sell signal until the 3% stop, then look for a new technical set up to put the sell signal back on.

After August 5, I don't expect a tradable bounce until the end of November.  

Price to Peak Earnings

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extreme overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Bounce to August 3-6, then long decline into the end of November.

New Active Traders Index (volume) failed to confirm the new market highs..

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Neutral

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 25, 2021

The US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a low-risk level. The GUSDR finished lower at 27%.
The EUR risk rating (GEURR) finished unchanged at a high-risk reading of 81%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score increased to a new high-risk rating of 63%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 26, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Will injections of stimulus continue to prop up economies and markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? Will Covid variants require severe countermeasures which impair economies and markets?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash recently when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +27.64% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.

Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +32.29% since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +54.35% since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +371.85% since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 25, 2021

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went positive thereafter but turned negative again five weeks ago.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis. The index is now 5.7% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17th of June returned to being positive three weeks ago. But two weeks ago, went negative again. The US share market’s medium-to-long term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(July 14, 2021)
Equity Defense adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Equity Defense Bond Loss Offset and Extreme S&P Short."
 
(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

       Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator turned negative again four weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 5.2% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17th of June returned to being positive three weeks ago. But last Friday went negative again after the share index fell over the previous four days.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now 27.8% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, July 17, 2021

I expected a short-term up phase July 8 to August 6, consisting of an up week, then pause down week, then up week. The up week for last week did not set up, so I remained on my neutral signal. I may end up staying on the sideline through my next short term cycle top on August 6

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: DOne week pause then bounce to August 3-6. 

New Active Traders Index failed to confirm market highs and suggests selling is building.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 18, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a low-risk rating of 13%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe declined to a low-risk score of 0%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR comprises three regional risk ratings.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, July 19, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. How many Covid cases and deaths will variants cause in the weeks and months to come? What impact will countermeasures or lack thereof have on the economy and the markets? How severe will inflation be and which sectors will be impacted the most? How long will it take for various countries to achieve herd immunity?

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO Monday when it fell to its stop price (CYA) and will buy it again when it rises to its indicator (buy low). TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +27.49% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16.
Our LevCrosses strategy is holding UPRO but has an order scheduled to sell when its indicator falls to the necessary level (CYA). TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +32.05% since tracking began on 4/10/18.
TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ. TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +53.72% since tracking began on 11/24/18.
FNGUTrends remains in FNGU. TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +396.55% since tracking began on 4/7/20.

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ReturnStream LLC
(Vinay Munikoti)
Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Monday, July 12, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk rating of 31%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk level of 29%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk score of 39%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 11, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator turned negative again three weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. The index is now 4.5% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17th of June returned to being positive two weeks ago. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, July 11, 2021

The down phase through July 8, did not show the down volume to confirm we had the market top, so I expect repeated new highs in the next up phase now through August 6. 

I moved to neutral Friday. I'll look to issue a short-term buy trade signal early next week.

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

David A. WagnerBroadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(June 11, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd ends the tracking of all strategies.
 
(April 16, 2021)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds two new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull XLT Stock Market Premium and Composite Stock Market Premium."
 
(April 13, 2021)
RISXX Inc. adds two new strategies to be tracked called "RISXX Gold Risk Strategy and US Bond Risk Strategy."
 
(April 6, 2021)
ETFOptimize.com starts tracking with one new strategy called "ETFOptimize ULTIMATE 6-Model (9 ETF) Combo Strategy."
 
(March 18, 2021)
Trend Focused Investor (TFI) starts tracking with 4 new strategies called "TFI S&P 500 Long Only, Long/Short and Nasdaq Long Only and Long/Short."
 
(March 15, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. changes the name of one strategy from "ProfitScore - LTSX" to "ProfitScore Equity Advantage Adaptive."
 
(March 13, 2021)
ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. ends the tracking of two strategies called "ProfitScore Equity Plus and Equity Max."

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, July 4, 2021

We are on a short term sell signal to participate in my cycle forecast first leg of decline now through mid July. I do expect a half back bounce in the next up segment. I believe we should already be out of longer term positions and consider possible long term short positions after we see the extent of the first decline and a lower volume half back bounce. 

Indicators:

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extreme overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: Down segment to July 8. Then, an A B C bounce to August 3. 

New Active Traders Index again confirmed the S&P 500 new high by making new highs on Friday, but the weaker total volume of the up segment compared to the previous up segment suggests the next down segment will be on higher volume and more volatile than the previous down segment.  

COT updates:

S&P 500 - Negative

Nasdaq - Negative

Russell 2000 - Negative

Gold - Positive

Silver - Positive

Swiss - Positive

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, July 4, 2021

The global commodity risk benchmark (GCBR) remained at a low-risk level. The GCBR closed lower at 21%.
The commodity market sub-risk ratings closed between 0% (energy commodities) and 29% (agriculture).

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
The comprehensive global commodity risk score (GCBR) tracks a basket of 26 commodities, such as the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.

 

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, July 4, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. its MACD oscillator went positive but turned negative again two weeks ago. The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis. It is now 4.5% above its peak before the crash of 2020.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its MACD momentum indicator after going negative on the 17th of June returned to being positive a week ago. The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to broadcast2008@timertrac.com.  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.