TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

ThriftTrading.com

(Chris Dillon)

News Items:

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 30, 2021

The global commodity risk benchmark (GCBR) remained at a low-risk level. The GCBR closed lower at 12%.
The commodity market sub-risk ratings closed between 0% (energy commodities) and 18% (agriculture).

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
The comprehensive global commodity risk score (GCBR) tracks a basket of 26 commodities, such as the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 30, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. The  All-Ords red 10-day trend line came close to falling below its dark green 30-day one between on 20^th May but then soared. Also, its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went positive on the 27^th of May after being negative for four weeks.

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one.

America's Market.

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis.  Its red 10-day trendline still sits above its blue 30-day trendline by a small margin. It rose last week reversing its fall of the previous week. Its MACD momentum indicator went positive last week after being negative for five weeks.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now 800 points (almost 24%) above its peak just before the crash of 2020.

Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, May 30, 2021

My market cycle forecast suggests a down segment the first week of June followed by a strong rise into the end of the month. The current Stock Index Timing .com service calls short-term buy and sell signals to trade both the up segments and down segments of the market bull or bear cycle.

My Active Traders Index confirmed new highs and suggests the new market highs are ahead. This confirmation suggests we stay neutral during the coming 5 trading days short-term down segment.  The leverage fund positions from the Commitments of Traders in Financial Futures suggest we should be on the watch for a market top and change in trend.

Indicators (subscribers have access to multiyear charts of the indicators posted on the "tech" web page):

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market overvalued similar to past extremes like the extremely overvalued markets in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1966, 1929.

Market Cycle Forecast: The Cycle forecast is strong through the end of June, then heavy, suggesting a bear market through November 2022. 

New Active Traders Index confirmed the uptrend which suggests new highs are just ahead.

COT for S&P: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is BUY

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Russell 2000: Most recent leveraged funds positions signal is SELL

COT for Gold: Most recent signal is BUY

COT for Silver: Most recent signal is SELL

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

PhD Smart Investing

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Stock Index Timing.com

Sunday, May 23, 2021

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market extremely overvalued. Like past extreme overvalued markets; 2000, 1987, 1972, 1966, 1929 - the final up leg makes everybody believe it is different this time.  We are in the last weeks of the bull market that has nearly doubled since the low of March of 2020. The coming 18-month bear cycle could retrace that entire rise.

As we move closer to the major top forecast at the end of June, short-term down cycle segments will get stronger and short-term upcycle segments weaker. The next down segment runs from Tuesday 5/31 to Tuesday 6/8. The cycle forecast suggests just a pause, then the final blowout into the end of June. Since the last two down segments got stronger we will move out of longs before the end of May, consider a sell trade for the first week of June, and look for a buy the second week of June.

New Active Traders Index did not confirm the downtrend and is very near a short-term uptrend confirming the buy signal.

COT for S&P: Most recent signal is BUY, now Neutral in one year range.

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent signal is SELL, but now nearing positive in one year range.

COT for Gold: Buy

COT for Silver: Buy, but now moving near the low of the one-year range which will then suggest a Sell signal.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 23, 2021

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished unchanged at a low-risk score of 9%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 23, 2021

Australia's Market

The All-Ords index gained 0.4% over the last five trading days reversing some of the falls of the previous week.

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis.  Its MACD oscillator has been negative for the past three weeks.  The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis.

America's Market.

America’s S&P500 share index is bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. It fell 0.4% last week continuing its fall of the previous week. Its MACD momentum indicator has now been negative for a month.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The index is now 800 points (almost 24%) above its peak just before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

PrimeCapitalGroup

News Items:

Developer Information

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Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Our Teabull ST Stock Market Oscillator is located well below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on Friday, May 14/21 we are on a Short-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull MT Stock Market Oscillator is marginally below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on Friday, May 14/21 we are on a Medium-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull IT Stock Market Oscillator is located just below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on Friday, May 14/21 we are on an Intermediate-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull LT Stock Market Oscillator is located slightly below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on Friday, May 14/21 we are on a Long-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

We invite you to join our Teabull Free today.

As a Teabull Free subscriber, we will send you a daily Current Signal Alert email stating our award-winning Teabull Stock Market trading signals for the major US Stock Indexes!

To join Teabull Free please click: Register

Leveraged Momentum

Sunday, May 16, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. How long will the stimulus inflation and higher interest rates last and which sectors will be impacted the most? Which sectors have been permanently impaired or transformed by the pandemic and various countermeasures? Will the recent higher EPS estimates be achieved? Have we reached regional herd immunity in the U.S.? Will we continue to experience Covid-19 and/or variant outbreaks around the world?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash when it sold UPRO last week due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) and then bought it back again when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +25.86% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +48.20% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  FNGUTrends remains in FNGU (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +439.43% since tracking began on 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Sunday, May 16, 2021

The QMP-signal is netto Long.
Minor change between short and MMF positions.

As the bond market looks bad, we highly recommend splitting the short position equally between TLT and S&P500 short. Unfortunately, Timertrac does not support this setting.
Leverage due to low Risk of QMP kept at 2.0
All-time risk parameters of QMP at leverage 2.0 against S+P500 unleveraged are:
Std Dev: SP500 = 20.93 vs. QMP = 19.86
Down Std Dev: SP500 = 17.60 vs. QMP = 16.36
MaxDD Peaks: SP500 = -54.24 vs QMP = -36.78

You may view the performance of SP500 Risk vs QMP-Risk at leverage 2.0 HERE.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, May 15, 2021

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market extremely overvalued. We are in the last weeks of the bull market that has nearly doubled since the low of March of 2020. The coming 18-month bear could retrace that entire rise. Earnings are rising fast and we could see new peak earnings as soon as June, but the market is still overvalued. The corporate tax hike could have a significant impact on valuations. We also may begin to see rising costs hurting earnings.

Market Cycle Forecast: The Cycle forecast is strong through the end of June. As we move closer to the major top, down cycles will get stronger and upcycles weaker. The next up segment runs from Tuesday 5/18 to Tuesday 6/1.

New Active Traders Index: did not confirm the downtrend and sets up an uptrend confirming buy signal on new highs.

COT for S&P: Most recent signal: BUY. Neutral in one year range.

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent signal: SELL. Neutral positive in one year range.

COT for Gold: Buy

COT for Silver: Buy. Neutral in one year range.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 16, 2021

The US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished lower at 88%.
The EUR risk rating  (GEURR) closed lower at a new low-risk reading of 35%.
The cryptocurrency basket risk score increased to a low-risk rating of 36%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) tracks a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR monitors a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD. 

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 16, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis.  Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went positive.

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis.

America's Market.

America’s S&P500 share index is now strongly bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. It fell 1.4% last week reversing its gain of the previous week. But within the week it fell until Wednesday and began climbing again on Thursday and Friday.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong.  The index is now 800 points (almost 24%) above its peak just before the crash of 2020.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

d-Orbital
(Byron Haven)

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, May 8, 2021

PPE: Price to Peak Earnings shows the market extremely overvalued. Earnings are rising fast and we could see new peak earnings as soon as June, but the market is still overvalued. The corporate tax hike could have a significant impact on valuations. 

Market Cycle Forecast: The Cycle forecast is strong through the end of June. As we move closer to the major top, down cycles will get stronger and upcycles weaker. The next down segment could run from Tuesday 5/11 to Tuesday 5/18.

New Active Traders Index: confirmed the new market highs and suggests the up move will continue.

COT for S&P: Most recent signal: BUY. Neutral in one year range.

COT for Nasdaq 100: Most recent signal: SELL. Neutral positive in one year range.

COT for Gold: Buy

COT for Silver: Buy

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 9, 2021

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed unchanged at a high-risk rating of 79%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a high-risk score of 92%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 9, 2021

Australia's Market

Last week the All-Ords index gained 0.5%, reversing the previous week’s fall. 

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went strongly positive. However, in the last four weeks, the market’s momentum slowed dramatically and in the last week went negative.

The All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is now strongly bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Its jump of 1.3% last week saw it break out of its previous sideways meander yet its MACD momentum still remains negative.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now almost 800 points (over 23%) above its peak just before the crash of 2020.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Sunday, May 9, 2021

Our Teabull ST Stock Market Oscillator is located well above its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on May 7/21, we are on a Short-Term “Sell” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull MT Stock Market Oscillator is far below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on May 7/21, we are on a Medium-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull IT Stock Market Oscillator is located well below its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on May 7/21, we are on an Intermediate-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

Our Teabull LT Stock Market Oscillator is located significantly beneath its TBX Index. Thus, as of the close of trade on May 7/21, we are on a Long-Term “Buy” signal for the major US Stock Indexes.

We invite you to join our Teabull Free today. 

As a Teabull Free subscriber, we will send you a daily Current Signal Alert email stating our award-winning Teabull Stock Market trading signals for the major US Stock Indexes!

To join Teabull Free please click: Register

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

FibTimer

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, May 3, 2021

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. Is the stimulus causing inflation which will lead to higher interest rates and if so for how long and which sectors will be impacted the most? Which sectors have been permanently impaired by the pandemic and various countermeasures? Which sectors will continue to experience growth and higher earnings? Will we reach regional herd immunity or continue to experience Covid-19 outbreaks?

Our LevBands strategy is holding UPRO and has an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price again (CYA). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +26.18% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +51.52% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

FNGUTrends remains in FNGU ( TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +535.12% since tracking began on 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Stock Index Timing.com

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Broadly, the proprietary market cycle forecast is positive through July 2021, and then generally negative through November 2022. Based on “Price to Peak Earnings,” the fundamental market valuations are at extreme levels only previously seen at the tops in 1929, and at the dot com bubble peak in 2000.

Based on the cycle forecast and the overvalued condition, Stock Index Timing.com sees the possibility of the US Stock Market completing the 18-month “double” since the S&P 2,500 price level in March of 2020, moving to near S&P 5,000 by mid-2021, then doing a complete 18-month retrace returning to near S&P 2,500 by November 2022.

The new Stock Index Timing.com service looks to move with the market, both long and short, in the short term swings as the market moves up another 20% by mid-2021, then falls 50% into the mid-term elections.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, May 2, 2021

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 23%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 28%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 24%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, May 2, 2021

Australia's Market

The Australian stock market in the last three weeks has lost momentum and is stalling again. The All-Ord’s index in mid-April finally surpassed its previous high of 7,255.2 on the 20^th of February 2020. Last week the All-Ords index fell 0.4%, ending a dismal fortnight. Nevertheless, it is still up 3.9% this month. 

Presently, both the short-to-medium-term trend and the medium-to-long term trend analyses are bullish.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is now strongly bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Since the index last bottomed on the 24^th of March it is up an amazing 7.5%. But like the Australian All-Ords index, it has stalled for the last fortnight making no advance. Its momentum went negative a week ago.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The Coppock is now at its highest level since July 2010.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.