TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

MLKMAN Market Timing Services
(Michael Key)

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, April 25, 2021

The global commodity risk benchmark (GCBR) remained at a low-risk level. The GCBR closed unchanged at 17%.
The commodity market sub-risk ratings closed between 10% (energy commodities) and 36% (metals).

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global commodity risk score (GCBR) tracks a basket of 26 commodities, such as the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, April 25, 2021

Australia's Market

Last week the All-Ords index fell 0.1%, ending its sharp week by week advance since the end of March. Nevertheless, the index is still up 5.0% this month.

The Australian stock market is bullish on short-to-medium-term trend analysis. Also, its price momentum as measured by its MACD oscillator went strongly positive.  However, in the last week, the market’s momentum has slowed dramatically.

the All-Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis.

America's Market

America’s S&P500 share index is now strongly bullish on short-to-medium term trend analysis. Since the index last bottomed on the 24^th of March it is up an amazing 7.4%. But like the Australian All-Ords index, it fell by 0.1% last week and its momentum sharply decelerated.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum remain extraordinarily strong. The index is now almost 800 points (over 23%) above its peak just before the crash of 2020. The Coppock is now at its highest level since July 2010.

The Bank of America has also warned its clients of a likely market correction. Its “fair value” model suggested that the S&P500 index, currently at 4180 is near a peak with a downside target of 3635. 

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Friday, April 23, 2021

About one month ago, markets have turned in favor of our strategy to quantify market psychology.  The QMP-signal is now in non-standard mode until set otherwise. This means that most likely for a longer timeframe the signal will favor long over short positioning and 1 signal per week (which sometimes will be just: "No Change") will be given.

As you might know already, we are conservative with the goal to produce long-term above-average returns with similar or less risk than our benchmark S&P 500.  So, we are a bit proud that with leverage at 2.0 still, our QMP signal produces lower risk (which we measure with: Std Dev + Down Std Dev + MaxDD Peaks) along with higher returns.

For your convenience, we have created a new medallion link: Please click HERE.

You might note that we have cash at 0% interest which reflects our conservative view although yields on cash had been above zero for quite a lot of timeframes since the QMP signal started on 2nd January 2008.

One last thing worthwhile mentioning (at least in our view) is: Please have a closer look at the monthly performance. We are really proud that not only our worst month is less worse than that of the S&P 500 but also our best monthly performance is better than that of the S&P 500 - in 13+ years.

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