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Custodio Asset Management

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Performance Graph

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, December 13, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 22%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 20%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 17%.
The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe climbed to a low-risk level of 17%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 13, 2020

Australia's Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December. After peaking last Wednesday, the index pulled back slightly on Thursday and Friday.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October 20^th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.

America’s Market

The Dow Jones share index has drifted down slightly since peaking on the 4^th of December.  For the past four days, it has shown negative momentum on the MACD oscillator. Nevertheless, on short-to-medium term analysis, it remains strongly bullish with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long term trend and momentum are still strong. As can be seen, Dow’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 15^th of July confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Sunday, December 13, 2020

On Friday, the S&P 500 conquered a mid-day drawdown of 1.0% to rest 0.1 percent lower. Similarly, the
Nasdaq Composite (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.6%) partially reversed shortfalls. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average (+0.2%), however, finished positively by a small margin.

Walt Disney (DIS 175.72, +21.03, +13.6%) stocks soared a record-breaking 13.6% because of positive
assertions regarding the expansion of its subscription services. This contributed to the rise of the Dow, and
correspondingly the S&P 500 Communication Services sector (+1.2%).

In terms of the wider market, there was a sag despite a record close from the Russell 2000 on Thursday,
after a number of interesting IPOs, and offerings of risky high growth stocks. Contributing to the
slumping market on Friday was the stagnation of stimulus talks and the closing of indoor dining in New
York due to the coronavirus. The energy (-1.2%) and financial (-1.0%) sectors fell behind on Friday, but
buyers invested in the mid-day dip in the second half of the session halting lows.

In a 17-4 vote, the FDA panel recommended that the Covid-19 vaccine from Pfizer (PFE 41.12, -0.61, -
1.5%) and BioNTech (BNTX 127.30, -2.24, -1.7%) be quickly approved for Emergency Use Authorization.

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