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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 27, 2020

Australian Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well behind us.

American Market

The S&P500 share index has experienced a tougher six months than the All-Ords share index. On the 20^th of October, it plunged to a low that almost rivaled that of the 23^rd of September.  Since then, it has remained strongly bullish on short-to-medium term analysis with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum is still strong.  The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, December 29, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new low-risk reading of 26%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a new low-risk indication of 8%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

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