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Leveraged Momentum

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 27, 2020

Australian Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well behind us.

American Market

The S&P500 share index has experienced a tougher six months than the All-Ords share index. On the 20^th of October, it plunged to a low that almost rivaled that of the 23^rd of September.  Since then, it has remained strongly bullish on short-to-medium term analysis with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum is still strong.  The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

RISXX Inc.

Tuesday, December 29, 2020

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed lower at a new low-risk reading of 26%.
The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe decreased to a new low-risk indication of 8%.

Quick info:
A risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global bond risk rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries (e.g., US Treasury Bonds). The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

The TSP Strategist

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Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 20, 2020

Australian Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over. 

American Market

The S&P500 share index has a rougher six months than the All-Ords share index. On the 20^th of October, it plunged to a low that almost rivaled that of the 23^rd of September.  Since then, it has remained strongly bullish on short-to-medium term analysis with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum are still strong. The S&P 500 share index’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 4^th of June confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Custodio Asset Management

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RISXX Inc.

Sunday, December 13, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 22%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 20%.

The global stock risk rating increased to a low-risk reading of 17%.
The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe climbed to a low-risk level of 17%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 13, 2020

Australia's Market

Short-to-Medium-Term Trend Analysis

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and has been negative since the 2^nd of December. After peaking last Wednesday, the index pulled back slightly on Thursday and Friday.

Medium-to-Long-Term Trend Analysis

Since the 20^th of October 20^th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly over.

America’s Market

The Dow Jones share index has drifted down slightly since peaking on the 4^th of December.  For the past four days, it has shown negative momentum on the MACD oscillator. Nevertheless, on short-to-medium term analysis, it remains strongly bullish with its red 10-day trend line well above its green 30-day one.

The US share market’s medium-to-long term trend and momentum are still strong. As can be seen, Dow’s 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on the 15^th of July confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Sunday, December 13, 2020

On Friday, the S&P 500 conquered a mid-day drawdown of 1.0% to rest 0.1 percent lower. Similarly, the
Nasdaq Composite (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.6%) partially reversed shortfalls. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average (+0.2%), however, finished positively by a small margin.

Walt Disney (DIS 175.72, +21.03, +13.6%) stocks soared a record-breaking 13.6% because of positive
assertions regarding the expansion of its subscription services. This contributed to the rise of the Dow, and
correspondingly the S&P 500 Communication Services sector (+1.2%).

In terms of the wider market, there was a sag despite a record close from the Russell 2000 on Thursday,
after a number of interesting IPOs, and offerings of risky high growth stocks. Contributing to the
slumping market on Friday was the stagnation of stimulus talks and the closing of indoor dining in New
York due to the coronavirus. The energy (-1.2%) and financial (-1.0%) sectors fell behind on Friday, but
buyers invested in the mid-day dip in the second half of the session halting lows.

In a 17-4 vote, the FDA panel recommended that the Covid-19 vaccine from Pfizer (PFE 41.12, -0.61, -
1.5%) and BioNTech (BNTX 127.30, -2.24, -1.7%) be quickly approved for Emergency Use Authorization.

We invite you to join our Teabull Free today.

As a Teabull Free subscriber, you will gain access to our award-winning Signals for the major US Stock,
Bond and Gold Miner Indexes! To join Teabull Free please click: Register

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Harloff Capital Management

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Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Sunday, December 6, 2020

Every one of the major indices set intraday and closing highs on Friday, as the market remained optimistic in the 2021 recovery narrative despite the mixed November Employment Report.  

In fact, the Russell 2000 rose 2.4 percent, pulling ahead of the S&P 500 (+0.9percent ), Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.8percent ), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.7%).

Sector gains were paced by the S&P 500 energy industry, which tacked on a second 5.4% gain to its rebound effort.  The Materials (+2.0percent ), Real Estate (+1.3%), and Industrials (+1.2%) sectors were next in line, while the Utilities (-1.0%) and Consumer Discretionary (-0.1percent ) sectors closed reduced. 

The headline jobs data featured a smaller-than-expected 245,000 addition to nonfarm payrolls (Teabullat.com consensus of 725,000) and a 6.7percent unemployment rate (Teabullat.com consensus 6.8%), compared to 6.9percent in October.  Digging deeper, permanent job losses increased by 59,000 to 3.743 million while people out of work for 27 weeks or more accounted for 36.9% of those unemployed in November.

We invite you to join our Teabull Free today. 

As a Teabull Free subscriber, you will gain access to our award-winning Signals for the major US Stock, Bond, and Gold Miner Indexes!

To join Teabull ST Free please click: Register

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, December 7, 2020

Uncertainty continues to cause volatility. When will the vaccines be distributed? Will there be negative side effects? How much will the spikes in travel for Thanksgiving and Christmas contribute to spikes in infections and deaths? Will there be another round of stimulus? Which sectors have been permanently reduced--and which ones have permanently increased in prominence?

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it rose to its indicator (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its stop price (CYA. (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +23.09% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +32.20% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, December 6, 2020

Our gold risk rating (GXAUR) finished lower at a medium risk score of 44%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad gold risk rating (GXAUR) measures the risk of spot gold investments denominated in USD.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, December 6, 2020

Australia's Market

Since bottoming on the 2^nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one, but its MACD momentum oscillator has been slowing since mid-November and is now negative. But the share index has picked up since last Monday which if it continues to do so would boost its short-to-medium term momentum.

Since the 20^th October 20^th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The Coppock momentum indicator confirms the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since 2007-09) is well and truly behind us. 

America’s Market

After experiencing a small pullback between the 16^th and 20^th November the S&P500 share index has bounced back and reached a new record high last Friday. 

US share market’s medium-to-long-term trend and momentum 30-day trendline broke above its 300-day trendline on June 4^th confirming the end of America’s bear market and its V-shaped recovery. The bear market itself lasted between the 19^th February and the 23^rd March and witnessed a fall of 33.9% in the S&P500 share index. Also, the crash was not quite as severe as the average fall of 35.6% for the 26 bear markets since 1928.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.