TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19


Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Sojourn Financial Strategies, LLC

Broadcast Script

News 0.3

News Items:

(November 11, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend StrikeX-R."
(October 26, 2020)
PhD Smart Investing adds one new strategy to be tracked called "PhD Smart Investing Dynamic."
(October 26, 2020)
Harloff Capital Management ends the tracking of one strategy called "Harloff University Beta Strategies: US Dollar."
(October 21, 2020)
PING Strategies starts tracking with four strategies called "PING GenX Counter Trend S&P500, Hybrid Momentum Nasdaq 100, Hybrid Momentum S&P 500, and Relative Value."
(October 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC ends the tracking of one strategy called "Charles Capital Leveraged Nasdaq."
(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".

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Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, November 16, 2020

The questions contributing to market uncertainty during the past few weeks continue to be answered. The Biden presidency has been acknowledged. Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech have announced good vaccine test results. However, questions still remain: Will the new congress pass another round of stimulus? How severe will the pandemic spike be this winter? Which sectors have been permanently reduced?

Our LevBands strategy experienced whiplash last week when it sold UPRO due to its price falling to its stop price (CYA) but will buy UPRO again when it drops below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low).  (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +18.38% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +19.82% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.


Sunday, November 15, 2020

The US stock market risk sunk to a new low-risk level of 17%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a low-risk reading of 19%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) decreased to a new low-risk reading of 24%.

The regional stock risk score of the US, Canada, and Western Europe (NAWE) sunk to a new low-risk level of 16%.

Quick info:

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, November 15, 2020

Short-to-Medium Term Market Analysis:

Since bottoming on the 2nd October, the Australian All Ords share index has been bullish on short-to-medium term trend and momentum analysis. Its 10-day trend line has stayed above its 30-day one and its MACD momentum oscillator has been green (shifting north), though now is slowing down. If this continues the market may endure another pullback as it did in the second half of October over uncertainty in the runup to the US Presidential and Congressional elections, the show stopper of the year.

Medium-to-Long- Term Market Analysis:

Since October 20th, the All Ords index has been bullish on medium-to-long-term trend analysis because its 30-day trend line has been above its 300-day one. The good news last week is that its Coppock momentum indicator finally confirmed the Australian share market crash of February-March (the first crash since the 2007-09 global financial crisis) is finally behind us. It did so by turning north even though its momentum is still negative.

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