TimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Merit Advisors, Inc.

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 18, 2020

Australia’s All Ords share price index rose strongly between Friday 2^nd and Tuesday 13^th October. Its red 10-day trendline overshot its 30-day green trendline thereby restoring its bullish status over the short-to-medium-term.  America’s S&P 500 share price index is following a similar path to the Australian All Ords index.

The most important development in the last week is that the All Ords index is on the cusp again of going bullish on a medium-to-long-term basis. Its green 30-day trendline is breaching its blue 300-day trendline. The last time it did that was on Thursday 3^rd September, but it then pulled back.

 If the green line makes a clean break above the blue line on this occasion then Australia’s bear market will be over not just on short-to-medium-term trend analysis, but also on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. However, an ominous sign is that the All Ords index like the S&P 500 index lost significant momentum in the last three days of last week. If this continues it might be a repeat of what happened in early September when the medium-to-long-term trend bear market refused to go bullish. The next week should decide one way or the other.

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Sunday, October 18, 2020

The QMP-signal distributes its allocations between:

- Cash/MoneyMarketFund (neutral positioning)

- TLT (short positioning)

- SPY (long positioning)

2. Long/Short/Cash:
The actual signal favors "Cash (MMF)" over "TLT" and "TLT" over "SPY" (The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

3. Leverage:

As Volatility is on the rise, leverage is reduced to 1 (Meaning: no leverage).

4. Single Stocks:

As this signal took a lot of time to develop, no single stocks are mentioned.

5. Specials:

As we are entering earnings season, expect the next QMP-signal to develop fast (approx. 2 weeks).

Martone Capital Management, Inc.

Monday, October 19, 2020

The S&P 500 has now risen to as much as 13.3% above its 200-day moving average on historically high bullish sentiment and low put/call ratios. Collectively this warns that a significant and sustained move to new highs is unlikely in Q4 2020 without at least another meaningful corrective decline first.

Our Tactical model remains Risk On as of October 6. However, we caution investors against aggressively putting a lot of "New Money" to work at these levels.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, October 18, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 33%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 28%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) increased to a new medium risk reading of 43%.
The US, Canada, and Western Europe (NAWE)'s regional stock risk score rose to a low-risk level of 36%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

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