TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight:

Merit Advisors, Inc.

Broadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(September 21, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd changes the name of six strategies from "Teabull Stock Market ST/MT, Bond Market ST/MT, and Gold Market ST/MT" to "Teabull ST/MT Stock Market Premium, ST/MT Gold Market Premium, and ST/MT Bond Market Premium."
(September 18, 2020)
Two Corner ends the tracking of three strategies called "Two Corner Double Drop, RSI(2) IBS, and Flow Past".
(September 16, 2020)
KMW Timing, LLC ends tracking of one strategy called "KMW Timing TQQQ/SQQQ."
(September 1, 2020)
Michael Hartmann adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Michael Hartmann Maximum Return."
(August 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream DIVERSIFIED."
(August 28, 2020)
Michael Hartmann starts tracking with four strategies called "Michael Hartmann Rapid Response-Equity, Rapid Response-Bonds, Daily ETF, and Timed Sectors."
(August 27, 2020)
Pickens Asset Management adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Pickens Asset Management Hybrid."
(August 27, 2020)
Four Seasons Capital Growth ends tracking of one strategy called "Four Seasons 4CSNS2.0."
(August 21, 2020)
1german changes developer name to Quantified Market Psychology (QMP).
(August 15, 2020)
Teabull Asset Timer Ltd adds three new strategies to be tracked called "Teabull Stock Market, Bond Market, and Gold Market."

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Developer Information

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        Trade           History

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, October 18, 2020

Australia’s All Ords share price index rose strongly between Friday 2nd and Tuesday 13th October. Its red 10-day trendline overshot its 30-day green trendline thereby restoring its bullish status over the short-to-medium-term.  America’s S&P 500 share price index is following a similar path to the Australian All Ords index.

The most important development in the last week is that the All Ords index is on the cusp again of going bullish on a medium-to-long-term basis. Its green 30-day trendline is breaching its blue 300-day trendline. The last time it did that was on Thursday 3rd September, but it then pulled back.

 If the green line makes a clean break above the blue line on this occasion then Australia’s bear market will be over not just on short-to-medium-term trend analysis, but also on medium-to-long-term trend analysis. However, an ominous sign is that the All Ords index like the S&P 500 index lost significant momentum in the last three days of last week. If this continues it might be a repeat of what happened in early September when the medium-to-long-term trend bear market refused to go bullish. The next week should decide one way or the other.

Quantified Market Psychology (QMP)

Sunday, October 18, 2020

On the 15h of October 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. Basic:

The QMP-signal distributes its allocations between:

- Cash/MoneyMarketFund (neutral positioning)

- TLT (short positioning)

- SPY (long positioning)

2. Long/Short/Cash:
The actual signal favors "Cash (MMF)" over "TLT" and "TLT" over "SPY" (The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

3. Leverage:

As Volatility is on the rise, leverage is reduced to 1 (Meaning: no leverage).

4. Single Stocks:

As this signal took a lot of time to develop, no single stocks are mentioned.

5. Specials:

As we are entering earnings season, expect the next QMP-signal to develop fast (approx. 2 weeks).

Martone Capital Management, Inc.

Monday, October 19, 2020

The S&P 500 has now risen to as much as 13.3% above its 200-day moving average on historically high bullish sentiment and low put/call ratios. Collectively this warns that a significant and sustained move to new highs is unlikely in Q4 2020 without at least another meaningful corrective decline first.

Our Tactical model remains Risk On as of October 6. However, we caution investors against aggressively putting a lot of "New Money" to work at these levels.


Sunday, October 18, 2020

The US stock market risk rose to a low-risk level of 33%. US tech stock risk closed higher at a low-risk reading of 28%.

The global stock risk rating (GSMR) increased to a new medium risk reading of 43%.
The US, Canada, and Western Europe (NAWE)'s regional stock risk score rose to a low-risk level of 36%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad global stock risk rating (GSMR) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries (e.g., US stock market). The GSMR consists of eight regional stock risk ratings (e.g., for the US, Canada, and Western Europe).

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