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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, August 9, 2020

Australian market: On short to medium term basis the black All Ords index continues to be bullish since its red 10-day trend line is still above its blue 30-day one. But the distance between the 10-day and 30-day trend lines has narrowed since the market’s price momentum (MACD) went largely negative from the middle of June. What this means is that the market’s positive trend between March 27^th and June 12^th has lost steam. For the past two months, the All Ords index has meandered sideways. 

On a medium to the longer-term basis, the market is still bearish because its red 30-day trend line has not yet caught up to let alone overtaken its 300-day trendline. But the gap between these trend lines is narrowing even though the Coppock momentum indicator is still falling and remains in negative territory. When the Coppock indicator turns up we will know the bear market is over.

American market: The situation in the USA is much more bullish than in Australia and other markets. The S&P500 index’s red 30-day trend line overtook its 300-day trend line on the 4^th June and its Coppock momentum indicator always stayed in positive territory and turned up on the 30^th of June. The flash crash between February 19^th and March 23^rd underwent a quick V-shaped bounce back. The S&P500 index last Friday was only 1% off its record peak on February 19^th. That’s not to say the share index won’t roll over again, but for now, America’s bear market is over.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, August 9, 2020

The global US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) remained at a high-risk level. The GUSDR finished unchanged at 81%.
The global EUR risk rating (GEURR) closed lower at a low-risk reading of 8%.
The global cryptocurrencies basket risk score sunk to a low-risk rating of 25%.

Quick info:
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% indicates a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

The comprehensive and broad US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) is tracking a basket of 14 main US Dollar cross rates, such as the EUR/USD pair.
The broad GEURR is monitoring a basket of 14 primary EUR cross rates, such as the USD/EUR exchange rate.
Our global cryptocurrencies basket seeks to measure the risk of cryptocurrencies investments denominated in USD.

1german

Monday, August 10, 2020

On the 7th of August 2020 the QMP (Quantified Market Psychology)-strategy gave a new signal. The new signal included the following specifications:

1. The signal is netto short (which means netto long "TLT"). (The actual percentages are reserved for subscribers of the signal).

2. The actual 1-Year risk parameters of the QMP-signal allow for a leverage of 2.5 (and are even still much lower than those of the S+P500 even after applying a 2.5 leverage).

3. From the QMP-analyses of single stocks it shows that:

The too low priced have been: H, FUN, PBPB, HLT, NCLH, TMUS, SSP, BOOT, DIS, GDDY, SAIL, and DXC

The too high priced have been: ABC, WEN, BYND, ADT, FTNT, SVMK, AIG, MNK, ATVI, MCHP, UPWK, TWLD, ANET, FOX, LL, CVS, REGN, NYT, ALB, KTB and DBX

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