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TSP Trader

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Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Tuesday, June 9, 2020

Investors continue to gamble that a vaccine will be developed quickly and that future earnings will be strong due to businesses reopening and the unemployed getting back to work. The Fed's stimulus dollars also seem to be pouring into the market. If infections spike again then renewed quarantine measures will probably become necessary which will impair future earnings and trigger another correction.

Our LevBands strategy sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its trailing stop price (CYA) and is in cash. When UPRO drops below its lower band then an order will be scheduled the next day to buy UPRO when it rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of +14.30% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses remains in UPRO (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -9.04% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.98% since tracking began on 11/24/18).  UPROTrends will sell TMF and buy UPRO when it rises to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -13.41% since tracking began on 3/25/19).

LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).  Leveraged FANG (FNGUTrends) is in FNGU (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20).

Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing in Australia

Sunday, June 7, 2020

The stock market’s ebullience continues to intensify. America’s better than expected jobs outcome for May (the strongest monthly rise since the 1930s) has reinvigorated the bulls.

America’s S&P500 share index is now just 5% short of its all-time high in February.  Believe it or not, the USA has had a V-shaped recovery in the midst of its worst economic slump since the great depression.  No U, W, or L-shape, just a clean V-shape.

The Australian All-Ords index has also been recovering, but compared with America has been dragging its feet. Yet Australia’s resilience to the pandemic and its economic fallout has been better than any other country in the world.

RISXX Inc.

Sunday, June 7, 2020

Global and Regional Bond Markets

The global government bond risk benchmark (GBMR) increased to a medium risk reading of 55%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe closed higher at a medium risk indication of 58%.

Quick info: Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

Triple Crown Timing

Friday, June 5, 2020

Our system recommended going short the stock market on February 21, 2020, during a pandemic for a fantastic gain.  We offer an algorithm that is realistic to use. We trade a realistic 15 to 30 times per year. 

Our signals are posted both on the website and to your personal email when you are a paid member. Our signals are posted no later than 3:40 EST and it is recommended you execute your trade at the market close the same day it is issued and are verified by Timertrac.

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