TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19
04/13/2020
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Sojourn Financial Strategies, LLC |
(April 5, 2020)
Leveraged Momentum adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Leveraged FANG from Leveraged Momentum."
(March 26, 2020)
(March 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC starts tracking with four strategies called "Charles Capital Mega, High, Moderate, and Conservative Growth."
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Developer Information |
Trade History |
Performance Graph |
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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 The optimistic V-shape versus pessimistic L-shape bear market debate continues to heat up. The Bulls points to the V-shaped recovery during the Spanish Flu in 1917 and 1918, the best precedent for the health crisis happening now. A total of 50-100 million people died worldwide during that pandemic and the stock market early on had a crash of a similar magnitude to now that turned around quickly. Bulls also says both governments and central banks will do whatever it takes to avoid a depression. The Bears say the economic shock from the pandemic will take a long time to heal and the current bounce is based on false hope, not realistic assessment. Bear markets normally go through three stages; crash, dead cat bounce and a further crash before bottoming. |
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Monday, April 13, 2020 Fear of the impact of the Covid-19 or Coronavirus is temporarily being overwhelmed by government intervention and stimulus. We are at the beginning of a very unusual recession and the duration will probably depend on if the virus plays out or becomes part of the new normal. While we have had and will likely continue to have opportunities to profit from various long and inverse tactics, neglecting to liquidate at optimum times tends to wipe out any gains and will probably lead to a season of whipsaws. Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures may be substantially lower due to the recent selloff and whipsaws. Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.35% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16). LevCrosses is in cash and will buy UPRO when its indicator turns positive (buy low; TimerTrac shows annualized return of -17.09% since tracking began on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends is in cash and will buy TQQQ when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -7.08% since tracking began on 11/24/18). UPROTrends is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -16.74% since tracking began on 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19). FNGUTrends (Leveraged FANG) was added to TimerTrac this week and is in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 4/7/20) Performance data and charts for the each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site. |
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