TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

WM Reversal Detection

News Items:

Developer Information

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Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, March 14, 2020

The S&P 500 index moved up or down by at least 4% for five consecutive trading sessions last week, the longest such streak since 1929 according to Dow Jones Market Data. This wild volatility indicates the market is deeply torn between bears and bulls.

The bulls think the war against Coronavirus is being won because the number of new daily cases has been dropping in China since mid-February. That suggests it can be turned around in two months since it started in Wuhan city in December. That will be disruptive, but not cataclysmic.

The bears say the onset of the Coronavirus is in its early stages outside China and an antidote is 6 to 18 months away. Also enforcing strict quarantine rules in Western countries is harder than in police states. Furthermore, economic disruption will have global multiplier effects that could seize up the financial system.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 16, 2020

Fear of the impact of the coronavirus continues to guide behavior. We are likely at the beginning of a very unusual correction or a recession depending on how quickly the virus plays out. While we have had and will likely continue to have opportunities to profit from inverse funds, neglecting to liquidate at optimum times tends to wipe out any gains.

Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the recent selloff.

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.30% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).
LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 19.34% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).
TQQQTrends sold TQQQ yesterday after it fell to its trailing stop price (CYA). This strategy will buy TQQQ when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 64.80% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends sold UPRO last week after it fell to its trailing stop price (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

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