Previous month:
February 2020
Next month:
April 2020

TimerTrac Broadcast – Market Timers’ View Amid Covid-19

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Brian DejaBroadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(March 26, 2020)
KMW Timing, LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "KMW Timing SITTS TQQQ/SQQQ."
 
(March 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC starts tracking with four strategies called "Charles Capital Mega, High, Moderate, and Conservative Growth."
 
(March 20, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend ends the tracking of one strategy called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(March 14, 2020)
The Scary Guy Report ends the tracking of one strategy called "The Scary Guy Report Investment Portfolio."
 
(March 6, 2020)
RISXX Inc. starts tracking with two strategies called "RISXX US Stock Risk Strategy and Rating."
 
(February 28, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(February 28, 2020)
Glance Financial Advisors LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "GLANCE_VIX."
 
(February 21, 2020)
MG Timing ends tracking of one strategy called " MG Timing Tech Strategy."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 28, 2020

Even a perfect response won’t end the pandemic. As long as the virus persists somewhere, there’s a chance that one infected traveler will reignite fresh sparks in countries that have already extinguished their fires. This is already happening in China, Singapore, and other Asian countries that briefly seemed to have the virus under control. Under these conditions, there are three possible endgames: one that’s very unlikely, one that’s very dangerous, and one that’s very long.

The first is that every nation manages to simultaneously bring the virus to heel, as with the original SARS in 2003. The second is that the virus does what past flu pandemics have done: It burns through the world and leaves behind enough immune survivors that it eventually struggles to find viable hosts. The third scenario is that the world plays a protracted game of whack-a-mole with the virus, stamping out outbreaks here and there until a vaccine can be produced.

It depends, for a start, on making a vaccine. If this were a flu pandemic, that would be easier. The world is experienced in making flu vaccines and does so every year. But there are no existing vaccines for coronaviruses — until now, these viruses seemed to cause diseases that were mild or rare — so researchers must start from scratch. The first steps have been impressively quick.

It’s likely, then, that the new coronavirus will be a lingering part of American life for at least a year, if not much longer. If the current round of social-distancing measures works, the pandemic may ebb enough for things to return to a semblance of normalcy. Offices could fill and bars could bustle. Schools could reopen and friends could reunite. But as the status quo returns, so too will the virus. This doesn’t mean that society must be on continuous lockdown until 2022. But “we need to be prepared to do multiple periods of social distancing,” says Stephen Kissler of Harvard.

Much about the coming years, including the frequency, duration, and timing of social upheavals, depends on two properties of the virus, both of which are currently unknown. First: seasonality. Second: duration of immunity. Whether through accumulating herd immunity or the long-awaited arrival of a vaccine, the virus will find spreading explosively more and more difficult. It’s unlikely to disappear entirely. The vaccine may need to be updated as the virus changes, and people may need to get revaccinated on a regular basis, as they currently do for the flu. Models suggest that the virus might simmer around the world, triggering epidemics every few years or so. In this future, COVID-19 may become like the flu is today — a recurring scourge of winter.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 30, 2020

Fear of the impact of the coronavirus continues to guide behavior. We are at the beginning of a very unusual recession and the duration depends on how quickly the virus plays out. While we have had and will likely continue to have opportunities to profit from inverse funds, neglecting to liquidate at optimum times tends to wipe out any gains.

Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the recent selloff.

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.51% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).  LevCrosses was in UPRO yesterday but its indicator turned negative so it was sold (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when its indicator turns positive (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of -2.85% since tracking began on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends is in cash and will buy TQQQ when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 28.47% since tracking began on 11/24/18). UPROTrends is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 100% in TMF (performance data will be referenced 15 days after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Enhanced TimerTrac Broadcast

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Armando AlizoBroadcast Script

News 0.3
News Items:

(March 20, 2020)
Charles Capital LLC starts tracking with four strategies called "Charles Capital Mega, High, Moderate, and Conservative Growth."
 
(March 20, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend ends the tracking of one strategy called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(March 14, 2020)
The Scary Guy Report ends the tracking of one strategy called "The Scary Guy Report Investment Portfolio."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Martone Capital Management, Inc.

Saturday, March 21, 2020

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) finished last week below major underlying support at 2347. This major breakdown was corroborated by a similarly important breakdown below 223.47 per share in market-leading Apple Inc. (AAPL).

 

Our tactical models turned negative on February 24th and still warn of more market weakness next week. The next significant underlying support level in SPX is an additional -7.5% below the market at 2133. 

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, March 21, 2020

The huge stimulus packages announced by central banks and government around the world could boost stock markets next week, but until either a herd-immunity to the virus develops or an antidote is discovered the pandemic could persist.  

 

A doctor friend tells me that with highly infectious viruses like COVID-19 almost no one is spared, though only a minority will feel severe symptoms and a fraction of these dies. The elderly and infirmed with weak immunity symptoms are the most vulnerable. In this doctor’s view, the absence of new home-grown cases in China and Vietnam is false dawn because when their residents return to work the virus will reignite and do a second round. For this reason, it could be a year or more before it runs its course.

 

If he is right the current bear market might undergo a series of rallies and corrections before a new bull market resumes. Any quick V-shaped recovery in the share index would only last if normal economic activity resumed with workers safely returning to work, consumers safely returning to shopping malls and travelers safely using mass transport.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Enhanced TimerTrac Broadcast

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

WM Reversal DetectionBroadcast Script

 

News 0.3
News Items:

(March 14, 2020)
The Scary Guy Report ends the tracking of one strategy called "The Scary Guy Report Investment Portfolio."
 
(March 6, 2020)
RISXX Inc. starts tracking with two strategies called "RISXX US Stock Risk Strategy and Rating."
 
(February 28, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(February 28, 2020)
Glance Financial Advisors LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "GLANCE_VIX."
 
(February 21, 2020)
MG Timing ends tracking of one strategy called " MG Timing Tech Strategy."
 
(January 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 29, 2020)
Zeelotes' MI Solutions adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Zeelotes' SMETS."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, March 14, 2020

The S&P 500 index moved up or down by at least 4% for five consecutive trading sessions last week, the longest such streak since 1929 according to Dow Jones Market Data. This wild volatility indicates the market is deeply torn between bears and bulls.

The bulls think the war against Coronavirus is being won because the number of new daily cases has been dropping in China since mid-February. That suggests it can be turned around in two months since it started in Wuhan city in December. That will be disruptive, but not cataclysmic.

The bears say the onset of the Coronavirus is in its early stages outside China and an antidote is 6 to 18 months away. Also enforcing strict quarantine rules in Western countries is harder than in police states. Furthermore, economic disruption will have global multiplier effects that could seize up the financial system.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 16, 2020

Fear of the impact of the coronavirus continues to guide behavior. We are likely at the beginning of a very unusual correction or a recession depending on how quickly the virus plays out. While we have had and will likely continue to have opportunities to profit from inverse funds, neglecting to liquidate at optimum times tends to wipe out any gains.

Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the recent selloff.

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.30% for the LevBands strategy since tracking began on 4/27/16).
LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 19.34% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).
TQQQTrends sold TQQQ yesterday after it fell to its trailing stop price (CYA). This strategy will buy TQQQ when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 64.80% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends sold UPRO last week after it fell to its trailing stop price (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Enhanced TimerTrac Broadcast

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

WMBBroadcast Script

 

News 0.3
News Items:

(March 6, 2020)
RISXX Inc. starts tracking with two strategies called "RISXX US Stock Risk Strategy and Rating."
 
(February 28, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(February 28, 2020)
Glance Financial Advisors LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "GLANCE_VIX."
 
(February 21, 2020)
MG Timing ends tracking of one strategy called " MG Timing Tech Strategy."
 
(January 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 29, 2020)
Zeelotes' MI Solutions adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Zeelotes' SMETS."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 9, 2020

The fear of the impact of the coronavirus is dominant.
Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the recent selloff.

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 18.61% since tracking began on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 45.31% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 118.49% since tracking began on 11/24/18). UPROTrends was in UPRO before the market opened today but UPRO fell to its trailing stop price so it was sold (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when it rises back to its buy indicator (buy low; performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is also invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, March 7, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on AMBER this week.

The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.

Market Movements over the last week:

  • The Australian All Ords index fell 3.4% from 6511.5 to 6287.5
  • The American S&P 500 Index rose 0.6% from 2954.2 to 2972.4 
Australia: The Chinese Coronavirus again was the main factor driving the local market this week as the impact on supply chains and the world economy in general starts to become better understood. The banks were especially hard hit as bond yields collapsed and fears of a rise in bad debts grew. Retail and technology stocks also suffered a rout.

America:  US markets had a mixed week with wild gyrations on a daily basis, however by week's end they managed to post a modest rise, powered in part by a big rise in nonfarm payrolls. Fears linger, however, as a potential disruption to the global economy from the coronavirus has yet to be quantified accurately.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

 


Enhanced TimerTrac Broadcast

Broadcast ScriptTimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

W. B. BusinBroadcast Script

 

News 0.3
News Items:

(February 28, 2020)
AheadOfTheTrend adds one new strategy to be tracked called "AheadOfTheTrend Strike."
 
(February 28, 2020)
Glance Financial Advisors LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "GLANCE_VIX."
 
(February 21, 2020)
MG Timing ends tracking of one strategy called " MG Timing Tech Strategy."
 
(January 31, 2020)
ReturnStream LLC adds one new strategy to be tracked called "ReturnStream XAUGold."
 
(January 29, 2020)
Zeelotes' MI Solutions adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Zeelotes' SMETS."
 
(January 25, 2020)
Zeelotes' MI Solutions adds one new strategy to be tracked called "Zeelotes' Seeking Alpha Safely."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

Medallion link pic

Developer Information

Medallion link pic

        Trade           History

Medallion link pic

Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light changed to AMBER this week as our active strategy went to SELL.

The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.

Market Movements over the last week:

  • The Australian All Ords index fell 10% from 7230.4 to 6511.5
  • The American S&P 500 Index fell 11.5% from 3337.8 to 2954.2

Australia: Optimism that the economic impact of the Chinese Coronavirus would be less than feared gave way to panic selling this week as markets around the world went into a sudden correction this week. The Chinese Coronavirus is now present in a large number of countries and investors are fearful of major economic impacts from quarantines and border closures.

America: US markets had a similar experience to Australia's this week with the Coronavirus dominating traders' thinking. With the likely level of economic downturn from the response to the virus is entirely unpredictable, many investors are fleeing the market.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, March 2, 2020

The market has shifted its fear of the impact of the coronavirus into overdrive.

*Please keep in mind that the return figures below are delayed by 15 days so current return figures are substantially lower due to the selloff*

Our LevBands strategy is in cash and will buy UPRO when it rises to its lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 19.91% since tracking began on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 48.91% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 131.87% since tracking began on 11/24/18).

UPROTrends also remain in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is also invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.