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Q5 Research

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Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 1, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index fell 1.1% from 7203.2 to 7121.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 2.1% from 3295.5 to 3225.5

Australia: The local market lost ground this week. The threat from the Chinese coronavirus outbreak has rattled markets around the world, and those with heavy exposure to China's economy suffered. Mining stocks were hit especially hard as any contraction in China's economy would have a marked impact on that sector.

America: US markets also fell heavily this week as fears over the coronavirus outbreak spread. The market also suffered a heavy fall on Friday after the Chicago PMI, a key indicator of Midwest manufacturing activity, fell to its lowest level in 4 years to cap off a week of mixed economic data.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, February 3, 2020

The market is fluctuating between fear of the impact the coronavirus and impeachment may have on future earnings and greed spurred by the preliminary resolution of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and relatively strong reported earnings and sales.

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that lower band (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA; the strategy has generated an annualized return of 19.96% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16).LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 47.88% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 117.67% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 2, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 12% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new low-risk level of 31%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a new low-risk reading of 29%. Last week the rating was 43% (medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 56% and changes to a medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 33%. The regional stock risk score for the Middle East and North Africa is showing the best performance, indicating a new medium risk reading of 50%. Last week the score was 27% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new high-risk level of 64%. Last week the rating was 33% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a new medium risk level. GUSDR declines to 50%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 75%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

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