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Performance Graph

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 9, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 7% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a low-risk level of 12%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with an unchanged low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 8%. Last week the rating was 4% (low risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) decreases to a score of 42% and remains at a medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a new medium risk level of 56%. The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a new low-risk reading of 31%. Last week the score was 62% (new high-risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new medium risk level of 43%. Last week the rating was 64% (new high-risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a new low-risk level. The GUSDR declines to 27%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new medium risk level of 50%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes higher at a risk score of 44% and changes to a new medium risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 8, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose fractionally from 7121.2 to 7121.4
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 3.2% from 3225.5 to 3327.7

Australia: The local market ended the week flat, with a steep fall on Monday and another smaller one on Friday balancing rises through the middle of the week. The Chinese Coronavirus outbreak is expected to have a major impact on China's economy and this drove the falls, with the local mining, education and tourism sectors bracing for a slowdown.

America: US markets posted a strong rise this week as jobs growth accelerated and a number of other positive economic reports boosted sentiment, however, the Chinese Coronavirus outbreak has rattled markets around the world and there is considerable uncertainty over how much of an impact it will have on the global economy.

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