TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Tilden Research LLC

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Performance Graph

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, February 24, 2020

The market has shifted its focus to fear of the impact the coronavirus may have on future earnings. Any greed spurred by the first phase of the trade war resolution, Trump's acquittal, and relatively strong earnings and sales has been set aside until the virus is contained and declining.

Our LevBands strategy was in UPRO before the market opened today but its price fell to its trailing stop price so it was sold (CYA). This strategy will buy UPRO when it falls below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low). (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 18.55% since tracking began on 4/27/16).

LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 45.78% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).
TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 122.09% since tracking began on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends also remain in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is also invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 22, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose fractionally from 7227.1 to 7230.4
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 1.3% from 3380.2 to 3337.8

Australia: Optimism that the economic impact of the Chinese Coronavirus will be less than feared and a company reporting season that produced few surprises combined to help the local market finish the week flat. The number of companies offered increased dividends and other cash benefits to investors, however, there remains some concern over commodity prices in the short term as the virus will continue to depress Chinese industrial activity for the coming weeks or months.

America: US markets were mostly flat this week until Friday when a Purchasing Managers Index report was released indicating contraction inactivity. Weakened demand in China-sensitive sectors and growing uncertainty due to the upcoming Presidential election also depressed sentiment.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, February 24, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 5% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a low-risk level of 7%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with an unchanged low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 7%. Last week the rating was 14% (low risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 41% and changes to a new medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a new low-risk level of 38%. The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 23%. Last week the score was 21% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 38%. Last week the rating was 37% (new low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a low-risk level. The GUSDR decreases to 19. Last week the GUSDR reached a low-risk level of 35%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes lower at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 38% (new low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

The TSP Strategist

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 15, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 1.5% from 7121.4 to 7227.1
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 1.6% from 3327.7 to 3380.2

Australia: Despite the December company reporting season coming in with disappointing results so far, the local market rose strongly this week as the banks, notably CBA and NAB, rose steeply, more than offsetting a flat week for resources and falls in energy stocks. Overseas leads were also strong as hopes rose that the impact of the Chinese coronavirus might be contained, although a high death toll from the virus on Friday may yet signal more headwinds.

America: US markets also posted a strong rise this week despite falls in consumer spending and industrial production, and a fall in GDP growth for the 2019 calendar year from 2018's result also cast a shadow over the mood. Emboldened by progress in the trade war with China, President Trump is now aiming his sights at the EU with increased tariffs on aircraft, and should this prove to be the start of another tit-for-tat trade war the impact on the global economy could be significant.

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 16, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes unchanged at 7% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a low-risk level of 7%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with an unchanged low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 14%. Last week the rating was 8% (low risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) decreases to a score of 38% and changes to a new low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a medium risk level of 42%. The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 21%. Last week the score was 31% (new low-risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new low-risk level of 37%. Last week the rating was 43% (new medium risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a low-risk level. GUSDR increases to 35%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new low-risk level of 27%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes lower at a risk score of 38% and changes to a new low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 44% (new medium risk).

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, February 17, 2020

The market is fluctuating between fear of the impact the coronavirus may have on future earnings and greed spurred by the first phase of the trade war resolution, Trump's acquittal, strong consumer spending, and relatively strong earnings and sales.

Our LevBands strategy is in UPRO and order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA; TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 15.72% since tracking began on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 38.94% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (TimerTrac shows an annualized return of 100.92% since tracking began on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remain in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is also now invested 100% in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

SMTiming.com (SMS)

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 9, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 7% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a low-risk level of 12%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with an unchanged low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 8%. Last week the rating was 4% (low risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) decreases to a score of 42% and remains at a medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a new medium risk level of 56%. The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a new low-risk reading of 31%. Last week the score was 62% (new high-risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new medium risk level of 43%. Last week the rating was 64% (new high-risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a new low-risk level. The GUSDR declines to 27%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new medium risk level of 50%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes higher at a risk score of 44% and changes to a new medium risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 8, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose fractionally from 7121.2 to 7121.4
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 3.2% from 3225.5 to 3327.7

Australia: The local market ended the week flat, with a steep fall on Monday and another smaller one on Friday balancing rises through the middle of the week. The Chinese Coronavirus outbreak is expected to have a major impact on China's economy and this drove the falls, with the local mining, education and tourism sectors bracing for a slowdown.

America: US markets posted a strong rise this week as jobs growth accelerated and a number of other positive economic reports boosted sentiment, however, the Chinese Coronavirus outbreak has rattled markets around the world and there is considerable uncertainty over how much of an impact it will have on the global economy.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Q5 Research

News Items:

Developer Information

        Trade           History

Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, February 1, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index fell 1.1% from 7203.2 to 7121.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 2.1% from 3295.5 to 3225.5

Australia: The local market lost ground this week. The threat from the Chinese coronavirus outbreak has rattled markets around the world, and those with heavy exposure to China's economy suffered. Mining stocks were hit especially hard as any contraction in China's economy would have a marked impact on that sector.

America: US markets also fell heavily this week as fears over the coronavirus outbreak spread. The market also suffered a heavy fall on Friday after the Chicago PMI, a key indicator of Midwest manufacturing activity, fell to its lowest level in 4 years to cap off a week of mixed economic data.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, February 3, 2020

The market is fluctuating between fear of the impact the coronavirus and impeachment may have on future earnings and greed spurred by the preliminary resolution of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and relatively strong reported earnings and sales.

Our LevBands strategy bought UPRO recently when it fell below its lower band and then rose back to that lower band (buy low). An order is scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA; the strategy has generated an annualized return of 19.96% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16).LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 47.88% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18).

TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 117.67% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18).
UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19).
LevIndex is invested 75% in UPRO and 25% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, February 2, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 12% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new low-risk level of 31%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a new low-risk reading of 29%. Last week the rating was 43% (medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 56% and changes to a medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 33%. The regional stock risk score for the Middle East and North Africa is showing the best performance, indicating a new medium risk reading of 50%. Last week the score was 27% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for Emerging markets is indicating the least positive reading with a new high-risk level of 64%. Last week the rating was 33% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a new medium risk level. GUSDR declines to 50%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 75%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.