TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Mojena Market Timing

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Leveraged Momentum

Monday, January 27, 2020

The market is reacting in fear of the coronavirus's implications on future earnings. Our LevBands signal was in UPRO before the market opened today but its price fell to its trailing stop price so it was sold (CYA).

This strategy will buy UPRO when it falls below its lower band and then rises back to that lower band (buy low; signal has generated an annualized return of 18.29% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 43.89% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 108.07% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 50% in UPRO and 50% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, January 27, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 31% and changes to a new low-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new medium risk level of 58%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (new low-risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a medium risk reading of 43%. Last week the rating was 57% (new medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 33% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 22%. The regional stock risk score for Eastern Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 26%. Last week the score was 16% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for the Asia-Pacific region is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 37%. Last week the rating was 20% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. GUSDR declines to 75%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 77%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, January 25, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 0.3% from 7180.3 to 7203.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 1.0% from 3330.0 to 3295.5

Australia: The local market rose a little this week. After a bright start to the week, a surprise drop in the unemployment rate dampened expectations of a fall in official interest rates and sent the market tumbling on Thursday. The emerging threat of the Chinese coronavirus outbreak, which has now spread to a number of countries, put downward pressure on mining and resource stocks as uncertainty over the immediate prospects of an epidemic rattled markets.

America:  US markets fell heavily to close the week, with fears over the coronavirus outbreak paramount after several cases were detected in the US. Optimism that further talks with China on a "phase 2" trade deal might be imminent were overshadowed by the prospect of another trade war, this time with the EU.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

MIPS Timing Systems, LLC

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Sniper Market Timing

Monday, January 20, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 58% and changes to a new medium risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new high-risk level of 77%.  The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a new low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 50% (new medium risk).  On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 69%. Last week the rating was 88% (new high risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 22% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 21%.  The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 12%. Last week the score was 13% (low risk).  On the contrary, the RSMR for the Middle East and North Africa is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 21%. Last week the rating was 19% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. The GUSDR remains at 77%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 77%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 2.0% from 7041.9 to 7180.3
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 1.4% from 3265.4 to 3330.0

Australia: The local market rose strongly again this week. The signing of the phase one US-China trade deal and better than expected Chinese economic data fuelled a surging market to new record highs on a daily basis with the banks, consumer staples, healthcare, mining and materials all pushing higher.

America: US markets also posted a solid rise this week. New housing starts were much stronger than expected and weekly jobless claims fell. The signing of a trade deal with China also helped reduce uncertainty. The CPI was a little lower than expected, however.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, January 20, 2020

The market continues to fluctuate between fear of lower earnings, lower GDP, and the ongoing trade war and greed spurred by the possibility of the end of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and stronger than expected actual earnings and sales.

Our LevBands signal has been in UPRO since early December and has an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (CYA; signal has generated an annualized return of 17.48% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 42.11% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 100.12% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Custodio Asset Management

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Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 2.7% from 6855.2 to 7041.9
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 0.9% from 3234.9 to 3265.4

Australia: The local market surged this week, led by rises in the US and breaking the 7000 marks for the first time. Financial, technology and healthcare stocks led the way while the miners had a flat week despite strong demand for iron ore from China. Retail sales for November were surprisingly strong, although there is an expectation that December's figures will be disappointing.

America: US markets posted a rise this week amid slowing employment growth. Crude oil and gold prices spiked this week amid growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The $US fell a little and speculation increased that interest rate cuts might be forthcoming later in the year as signs of a slowing economy become stronger.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, January 13, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes higher at 77% and changes to a new high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a new medium risk level of 55%.  The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a new medium risk reading of 50%. Last week the rating was 0% (low risk).  On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 88%. Last week the rating was 58% (new medium risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 21% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 20%. The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 13%. Last week the score was 16% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for the African region is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 22%. Last week the rating was 24% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. GUSDR increases to 77%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 73%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Dynamic Investing

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Sniper Market Timing

Monday, January 6, 2020

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 55% and changes to a new medium risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 74%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 0% (new low risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 64%. Last week the rating was 79% (high risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 20% and remains at a low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 18%. The regional stock risk score for emerging markets is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 14%. Last week the score was 13% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for the African region is indicating the least positive reading with a low-risk level of 24%. Last week the rating was 22% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. The GUSDR remains unchanged at 73%. Last week the GUSDR reached a high-risk level of 73%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, January 4, 2020

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index fell 1.2% from 6936.3 to 6855.2
• The American S&P 500 Index fell 0.2% from 3240.0 to 3234.9

Australia: The local market fell back this week. After some profit-taking pushed the market down early in the week it clawed back some ground, however, the US airstrike on Iran's military commander caused concern as crude oil prices rose sharply. The banks and miners both had a tough week however there were some rises elsewhere to soften the blow.

America: US markets lost a little ground this week as factory output fell to a post-GFC low, fuelled in part by the trade war with China. The impending phase 1 trade deal will likely limit the contraction however it could be several months before the impact is felt. Geopolitical tensions with Iran and a consequent spike in the price of crude oil could become a major factor in the coming weeks.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.