TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Merit Advisors, Inc.

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Market Timing Australia

Saturday, December 28, 2019

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

• The Australian All Ords index rose 0.1% from 6931.2 to 6936.3
• The American S&P 500 Index rose 0.6% from 3221.2 to 3240.0

Australia: The local market eked out a small gain this week as a solid rise in commodity prices lifted the market on Friday. Copper, gold and iron ore prices rose strongly, boosting the resources sector and pushing the market into the black to finish the week, however trading volumes were low thanks to the holiday break. Strong leads from overseas also helped as the US market hit fresh highs.

America: US markets also rose again this week with the S&P 500 hitting a new record high. With a trade deal between the US and China expected to be signed soon and Chinese industrial firms posting good profit growth, hopes are high for a good rise in the market moving into the new year. Domestic demand in China remains a concern however improved trade conditions may well improve the situation.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, December 30, 2019

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 74% and remains at a high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 90%.  The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a new low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 50% (new medium risk).  

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) decreases to a score of 18% and remains at low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 24%.  The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 8%. Last week the score was 10% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a high-risk level. GUSDR increases to 73%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new high-risk level of 62%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes unchanged at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 0% (low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Four Seasons Capital Growth

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Performance Graph

Market Timing Australia

Saturday, December 21, 2019

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Market Movements over the last week:

The Australian All Ords index rose 1.3% from 6844.6 to 6931.2

The American S&P 500 Index rose 1.7% from 3168.8 to 3221.2

Australia: Last week's news of a trade deal between the US and China and the solid result in the UK elections continued to lift the local market this week. Unemployment figures released this week showed a decrease in unemployment, reducing the likelihood of a cut in interest rates in the short term. However, most experts are expecting that a fall in job advertisements is a sign that this situation is about to reverse, so the numbers should be viewed with caution.

America: the US posted a solid rise in his week on the same news on China and Brexit that boosted markets around the world. Consumer spending provided some welcome positive news along with other data suggesting that the chances of a recession are fading.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Leveraged Momentum

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Sniper Market Timing

Monday, December 16, 2019

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes higher at 76% and remains at a high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 69%.  The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a new low-risk reading of 25%. Last week the rating was 50% (new medium risk).  On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asian-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 89%. Last week the rating was 75% (high risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) decreases to a score of 29% and changes to a new low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a new medium risk level of 47%.  The regional stock risk score for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 14%. Last week the score was 42% (new medium risk).  On the contrary, the RSMR for the African regions is indicating the least positive reading with a new low-risk level of 39%. Last week the rating was 57% (medium risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a medium risk level. The GUSDR remains unchanged at 58%. Last week the GUSDR reached a medium risk level of 58%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes at a risk score of 0% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 13% (low risk).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, December 14, 2019

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Australia: The local market ended a flat week with a rise in the news of a trade deal between the US and China and on a solid result in the UK elections which looks likely to cement Brexit. With the likelihood of improved global growth, increased trade, and better economic stability, markets around the world lifted. Gains were broad-based with most sectors finishing the week on a positive note, the odds of an interest rate cut early in the new year lengthened, and the $A rose.

America: US markets also rose this week. News that China has agreed to increase imports of US agricultural produce in exchange for the suspension of some tariffs raised hopes of an improvement in global growth and trade. On the downside, weekly jobless claims rose significantly and retail sales fell, however an improvement in global trade could be seen as a trigger for improvement.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

KT Number

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Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Our Share Market Traffic Light is on Green this week.

(The Traffic Light is on Green when the Australian share market shows both positive short and long-term trends. It’s on Red when these trends are both negative. It’s on Amber when one of these trends is positive and the other is negative.)

Australia: The local market gave up last week's rise to post a solid fall this week. Tuesday's news that the US trade war might expand to include tariffs on South American steel and a range of French goods sent traders scurrying for the exits. Although the market posted good rises on Thursday and Friday it still finished heavily in the red for the week.

America: US markets posted a small rise this week. After falling heavily on suggestions of an expanded trade war, Friday's trading saw a recovery after the unemployment rate fell and nonfarm payrolls significantly beat expectations. Other economic news during the week was not as rosy, however, China's gesture in waiving tariffs on some US agricultural produce was seen in a positive light.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, December 9, 2019

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 69% and remains at a high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 81%.  The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a new medium risk reading of 50%. Last week the rating was 75% (high risk).  On the contrary, the RBMR for the Asian-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 75%. Last week the rating was 64% (high risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 47% and changes to a new medium risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 38%.  The regional stock risk score for Eastern Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 39%. Last week the score was 27% (low risk).  On the contrary, the RSMR for the African regions is indicating the least positive reading with a medium risk level of 57%. Last week the rating was 40% (new medium risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a medium risk level. GUSDR increases to 58%. Last week the GUSDR reached a medium risk level of 42%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes at a risk score of 13% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 19% (low risk).

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, December 9, 2019

The market continues to fluctuate between fear of lower earnings, lower GDP, and the ongoing trade war and greed spurred by the possibility of the end of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and stronger than expected actual earnings and sales.

Our LevBands signal gave us whiplash again when it sold UPRO recently due to its price falling to its trailing stop price (CYA) and then bought it again when it rose to its lower band (buy low; signal has generated an annualized return of 14.86% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 35.58% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 81.74% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex is invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Two Corner

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Leveraged Momentum

Monday, December 2, 2019

The market continues to fluctuate between fear of lower earnings, lower GDP, and the ongoing trade war and greed spurred by the possibility of the end of the trade war, strong consumer spending, and stronger than expected actual earnings and sales.

Our LevBands signal has been in UPRO for more than a week and has an order scheduled to sell when it falls to its trailing stop price (signal has generated an annualized return of 15.26% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16). LevCrosses remains in UPRO (an annualized return of 36.91% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (an annualized return of 86.48% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 11/24/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). LevIndex sold half of its UPRO holdings and used the proceeds to buy more EURL so it is now invested 25% in UPRO and 75% in EURL (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, November 30, 2019

Australia: The local market recovered this week, hitting a record high on Thursday before falling back a little on Friday to close the week with a solid rise. Positive economic news out of the US and continued hopes for a breakthrough in US-China trade talks saw the All Ords go within a whisker of breaking the 7000 level, an important psychological barrier.

America: US markets also rose this week. A raft of generally positive economic news included better-than-expected consumer spending, weekly jobless claims, and durable goods orders. There was some concern at China's reaction to the Hong Kong rights act which was signed into law this week, however, the general view is that it will not impact on trade negotiations.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, December 2, 2018

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) finishes higher at 81% and remains at a high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 74%. The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for the Asian-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a high-risk reading of 64%. Last week the rating was 82% (high risk). On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 92%. Last week the rating was 73% (high risk).

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) increases to a score of 38% and remains at low-risk reading. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 35%. The regional stock risk score for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 29%. Last week the score was 28% (low risk). On the contrary, the RSMR for the African regions is indicating the least positive reading with a new medium risk level of 40%. Last week the rating was 34% (low risk).

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) closes at a medium risk level. GUSDR decreases to 42%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new medium risk level of 50%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) finishes at a risk score of 19% and remains at a low-risk level. Last week the GXAUR closed at 31% (low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.