TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

David R Kern Asset Management

News Items:

Trade          History

Developer Information

Performance Graph

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Australia: The All Ords clawed back half of last week's losses as optimism over a US-China trade deal prompted by positive comments, admittedly heard before, from President Trump lifted sentiment. Acknowledgment by both the UK and Ireland of a possible pathway to a deal over Brexit was also well received and the week finished with most sectors rising. After some gyrations, the prices of iron ore and crude oil are showing signs of stabilizing, which is positive for the local economy.

America: US markets rose strongly on Friday to finish the week with a modest gain as President Trump announced that the US and China had reached a partial trade deal, however with new tariffs on some EU goods coming into effect and existing tariffs on Chinese goods remaining, there is still significant downward pressure on growth. In economic news, the CPI for September was zero and consumer sentiment rose.

Leveraged Momentum

Monday, October 14, 2019

The Market continues to fluctuate between fear of lower earnings, lower GDP, and the ongoing trade war and greed spurred by strong consumer spending, wage growth, the probability of the Fed continuing to lower rates, and stronger than expected actual earnings and sales.

Our LevBands model (annualized return of 15.02% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/27/16) is experiencing whiplash as it sold and bought UPRO again in the last week. LevCrosses remains in UPRO (annualized return of 27.19% since began tracking on TimerTrac on 4/10/18). UPROTrends also remains in UPRO (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 3/25/19). TQQQTrends remains in TQQQ (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 11/24/18). We recently added our LevIndex signal on TimerTrac and it is currently 50% in UPRO and 50% in TMF (performance data will be referenced after one year of tracking on TimerTrac which began 9/16/19).

Performance data and charts for each of these strategies along with the index of your choice (for comparison) can be obtained on the Graphs page of the TimerTrac site

Sniper Market Timing

Sunday, October 13, 2019

US stock markets finished higher on Friday. The US stock market risk decreased to a new medium risk level of 45%. US tech stock risk closed lower at a new medium risk reading of 43%.

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) sunk to a new medium risk reading of 46%.

The regional stock risk score for the US, Canada, and Western Europe finished lower at a new medium risk reading of 41%.

The global bond risk benchmark (GBMR) closed higher at a low-risk reading of 31%.

The regional bond risk indication for the US, Canada, and Western Europe rose to a low-risk indication of 38%.

The global US Dollar risk score (GUSDR) closed at a new medium risk level. GUSDR increased to 46%.

The Global Gold Risk Rating (GXAUR) closed higher at a new medium risk reading of 44%.

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