TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

AheadofTheTrend

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Sniper Market Timing

Monday, July 29, 2018

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) remains at a medium risk reading. The GSMR increases to a score of 43%. Last week the GSMR reached a new medium risk level of 40%.

The regional stock market risk rating (RSMR) for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential market risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 31%. Last week the score was at 40% (new medium risk).

On the contrary, the RSMR for Africa is indicating the least positive reading with a medium risk level of 48%. Last week the rating was at 46% (medium risk).

All other regional stock market risk ratings are showing new low-risk readings.

US stock market risk sinks to a new low-risk level of 33% (last week: 42%, new medium risk). US tech stock risk closes lower at a low-risk reading of 31% (last week: 39%, low risk).

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, July 27, 2019

Australia: Boosted by strong rises overseas, local markets hit an all-time high this week, eclipsing the pre-GFC high of 6853.6 which was reached on November 1st 2007. As the housing market stabilizes thanks to low interest rates and iron ore continues to attract high prices, the local market has thrived. Comments this week by Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe that further interest rate cuts might be in the offing also lifted sentiment. All eyes will be on a number of corporate earnings reports over the next few weeks as expectations are that profits will be subdued.

America:  US markets posted a strong rise this week as economic growth slowed by a smaller margin than had been expected and consumer spending rose. Some concern over a fall in business investment soured the mood and comments by President Trump that China may delay any settlement in the tariff war until after the next presidential election also unsettled traders.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Saturday, July 27, 2019

Teabull Stock Market.1:  Our Stock Market.1 oscillator sits squarely below its TBX Index. Thus, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Stock market as of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

Teabull Bond Market.1:  Our Bond Market.1 oscillator is situated just below its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Bond Marketas of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

Teabull Gold Market.1:  Our Gold Market.1 oscillator is positioned slightly above its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Sell” signal for the Gold Market as of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

We invite you to sign up for our free Current Signals by clicking here.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

News Items:

Developer Information

Trade History

Performance Graph

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Saturday, July 20, 2019

Teabull Stock Market.1  -  Our Stock Market.1 oscillator sits squarely below its TBX Index. Thus, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Stock market as of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

Teabull Bond Market.1  -  Our Bond Market.1 oscillator is situated just below its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Bond Marketas of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

Teabull Gold Market.1  -  Our Gold Market.1 oscillator is positioned slightly above its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Sell” signal for the Gold Market as of the close of trade on July 19, 2019.

We invite you to sign up for our free Current Signals by clicking here.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, July 22, 2018

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) changes to a new medium risk reading. The GSMR increases to a score of 40%. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 31%.

The regional stock market risk rating (RSMR) for Eastern Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 37%. Last week the score was at 26% (low risk).

On the contrary, the RSMR for Africa is indicating the least positive reading with a medium risk level of 46%. Last week the rating was at 40% (medium risk).

All other regional stock market risk ratings are showing medium risk readings.

US stock market risk rises to a new medium risk level of 42% (last week: 26%, low risk). US tech stock risk closes higher at a low-risk reading of 39% (last week: 25%, low risk).
 

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, July 20, 2019

Australia: Local markets had a flat week with trade war uncertainty continuing to depress sentiment. The oil price fell, driving a sharp fall in energy stocks. Resources and financials were relatively flat but small rises in other areas including healthcare, materials and consumer staples kept the market steady for the week.

America:  US markets fell back this week as a report that the next interest rate cut will be smaller than expected took traders by surprise. There were, however, some upbeat corporate results and with fresh optimism on Friday (US time) over talks to resolve the US-China trade war the falls could be short-lived. In economic news there were few surprises although retail sales beat expectations.

Paul Glance & Brian Glance

Monday, July 22, 2019

How will the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts effect the bond market? Bond markets can be difficult to predict for price movements and trends. Will a 1/4-point basis cut lead to a rally or will it require a full ½ percent cut to significantly move the markets higher? What if the Fed decides to wait and keep rates unchanged surprising the markets, will a large sell off follow? Predictive models cannot account for unknown news events, geopolitical risks or decisions like the Feds but can accurately model long-term trends. A short-term market move of a knee jerk reaction to news can account for a large move in the markets but the long-term trend will likely remain. Knowing when and how to time the markets is key to investing success. Glance Financial Advisors LLC. has developed a proprietary computerized quantitative Bond market timing strategy that has been shown to be highly effective.

The GLANCE Bond plus Energy portfolio {ENERGY(1X)+BONDS(2X) 2.8-YR AR 56% MDD 15%} has 5 times the return of the S&P500 with better downside risk metrics over the past 2.8 years.

To view the performance, please click here.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Paul Glance & Brian Glance

News Items:

Developer Information

Performance Rank

Performance Graph

Paul Glance & Brian Glance

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Gold has been highly sought after and valued throughout the ages as a precious metal. Gold was the primary currency for trade for most of history.

The 2011 bubble in gold was followed by a 3-year bear market and then 4 years of sideways price movement, and now the recent1-month rally. It has been difficult to quantitatively model the gold market. Glance financial advisors have developed a gold strategy that is tracked on timertrac.com.The strategy is based on a proprietary computer model that generates buy/sell signals and has proven highly accurate.

The GLANCE_GLD strategy trades at 2X leverage utilizing GLD for buy long positions and T-bills on sell signals. Performance is an annual return of +10.32% over its past 4 years on its TimerTrac trading record.

The strategy has been historically backtested using the frozen computer code employed by Glance financial advisors LLC and has shown similar performance over a 28-year period as shown in the chart below. The red line shows daily growth of the GLANCE_GLD 1Xleverage strategy and the blue line is the price of gold (divided by 10 for scaling of Gold vs GLD)

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, July 13, 2019

Australia: Local markets fell heavily on Monday after positive US economic data created uncertainty about the likelihood of interest rate cuts, making up some ground over the remainder of the week but never recovering. Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary stocks generally performed well but most other sectors were down.

America:  Strong non-farm payroll figures and a higher than expected CPI raised concerns about the future of interest rate cuts. However, these fears were largely calmed by Jerome Powell's testimony before congress in which he reinforced the market's expectations of an interest rate cut this month.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, July 8, 2019

Teabull Stock Market.1 - Our Stock Market.1 oscillator sits firmly above its TBX Index. Thus, it is generating a short-term “Sell” signal for the Stock market as of the close of trade on July13, 2019.

Teabull Bond Market.1 - Our Bond Market.1 oscillator is situated well belowits TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Bond Marketas of the close of trade on July 13, 2019.

Teabull Gold Market.1 - Our Gold Market.1 oscillator is positioned slightly above its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Sell” signal for the Gold Market as of the close of trade on July 13, 2019.

We invite you to check out our TimerTrac.com third-party verified results here.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, July 15, 2018

The Global Stock Market Risk Rating (GSMR) remains at a low-risk reading. The GSMR increases to a score of 31%. Last week the GSMR reached a low-risk level of 23%.

The regional stock market risk rating (RSMR) for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia, and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential market risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 24%. Last week the score was at 13% (low risk).

On the contrary, the RSMR for Africa is indicating the least positive reading with a new medium risk level of 40%. Last week the rating was at 38% (low risk).

All other regional stock market risk ratings are showing low-risk readings.

US stock market risk rises to a low-risk level of 26% (last week: 17%, low risk). US tech stock risk closes higher at a low-risk reading of 25% (last week: 16%, low risk).

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers. 

TimerTrac Developer Spotlight: 

Paul Glance & Brian Glance

News Items:

Developer Information

Performance Rank

Performance Graph

Paul Glance & Brian Glance

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Gold has been highly sought after and valued throughout the ages as a precious metal. Gold was the primary currency for trade for most of history.

The 2011 bubble in gold was followed by a 3-year bear market and then 4 years of sideways price movement, and now the recent1-month rally. It has been difficult to quantitatively model the gold market. Glance financial advisors have developed a gold strategy that is tracked on timertrac.com.The strategy is based on a proprietary computer model that generates buy/sell signals and has proven highly accurate.

The GLANCE_GLD strategy trades at 2X leverage utilizing GLD for buy long positions and T-bills on sell signals. Performance is an annual return of +10.32% over its past 4 years on its TimerTrac trading record.

The strategy has been historically backtested using the frozen computer code employed by Glance financial advisors LLC and has shown similar performance over a 28-year period as shown in the chart below. The red line shows daily growth of the GLANCE_GLD 1Xleverage strategy and the blue line is the price of gold (divided by 10 for scaling of Gold vs GLD)

Martone Capital Management

Monday, July 8, 2019

Although some near term negative market factors have emerged this week (options volume and investor sentiment), the stock market's major and minor trends remain positive, along with key market internals that we follow.

If the market was to stall on the upside this week, the first places we would likely see some emerging weakness would be a rise above 15.13 in the VIX and a decline back below 81.33 on the NASDAQ Composite Index. Otherwise our near to intermediate term US market outlook remains positive.

Teabull Asset Timer Ltd

Monday, July 8, 2019

Teabull Stock Market.1:  Our Stock Market.1Oscillator sits well above its TBX Index. Thus, it is generating a short-term “Sell” signal for the Stock market as of the close of trade on July 5, 2019.

Teabull Bond Market.1:  Our Bond Market.1Oscillator is situated just below its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Bond Market as of the close of trade on July 5, 2019.

Teabull Gold Market.1:  Our Gold Market.1Oscillator is positioned firmly below its TBX Index. Therefore, it is generating a short-term “Buy” signal for the Gold Market as of the close of trade on July 5, 2019.

We invite you to sign up for our free Current Signals by clicking here.

Sniper Market Timing

Monday, July 8, 2018

The Global US Dollar Risk Rating (GUSDR) remains at a high-risk level. The GUSDR closes higher at 63%. Last week the GUSDR reached a new high-risk level of 62%.

Market Timing in Australia

Saturday, July 6, 2019

Australia: Local markets reacted strongly to the latest cut in official interest rates and positive leads from overseas, driving the All Ords to within a whisker of its pre-GFC highs. The interest rate cuts particularly boosted the real estate sector, with SLF up over 6.5%. Positive news on trade from the G20 meeting and rising iron ore prices also helped the sentiment.

America:  A softening in US-China trade relations after the G20 meeting lifted spirits. The US has agreed to put additional tariffs on hold and ease some restrictions on Huawei, China has agreed to some new purchases of US agricultural products, and some other agreements have been reached as the parties will now restart negotiations.

If you are an active TimerTrac Developer and would like to submit your commentary to our broadcast, send your submissions to [email protected].  

Please review our broadcast policies before submitting your commentary. *

The TimerTrac Broadcast is an e-mail broadcast available to the public.  Anyone can subscribe or unsubscribe to the TimerTrac Broadcast list at any time, free of charge. A subscription to the TimerTrac Broadcast does not include a subscription to TimerTrac.com.  TimerTrac Developers DO NOT see a list of TimerTrac Broadcast subscribers.